Tom Calvert Memorial Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II)

Ludlow

14:55

Date 2023-10-26

Distance 1m7f169y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,901

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Ittack Blue Grey J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	156	—	124-	118	124	102	256d	—	—	+5	34.9	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Impressive Irish point winner; placed over hurdles last season; retains huge potential
2	Choccabloc Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	156	—	32-1	-	-	-	167d	—	—	-7	17.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Placed in two good bumpers last season before winning at Market Rasen in May; big player
8	Adjuvant Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Michael Bell	J:Harry Cobden T:Michael Bell	155	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-18	8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Very useful Flat stayer with 4-18 strike-rate; fascinating recruit to hurdling
12	Recoup Bay J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	155	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Fairly useful on the Flat in France (1m6f winner); with good yard for hurdling career
11	Jour D'Evasion Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Henry Daly	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Henry Daly	155	t	3	-	-	-	157d	—	—	0	4.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Third of six on bumper debut in May; needs a big step forward here
9	Getaway Glory Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Jack Quinlan T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	155	—	1-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+8	10.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Bought for £40,000 after winning Irish point debut in April; may need further than 2m
15	Inchiquin Spirit Bay J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Alastair Ralph	J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Alastair Ralph	149	—	233P6-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+1	2.7	16.25/1	66 2%
0-9 in Irish points, albeit placed five times; makes rules debut after six-month absence
13	Breccia Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Robert Stephens	J:Sean Houlihan T:Robert Stephens	149	t	3	-	105	76	14d	—	—	+2	3.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Placed in run-of-the-mill mares' maiden on hurdling debut; this is much tougher
14	Chantilly Rose Grey J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	149	—	3/44	-	95	73	22d	—	—	+1	2.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Placed in a bumper in spring 2022 but safely held on both hurdling starts this autumn
5	Myfanwy's Magic Bay J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	156	—	58-	-	-	-	188d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Midfield in Exeter bumper in April; faces tall order on hurdling debut
3	Exclusive Getaway Bay J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Fergus Gillard(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	156	h	P5U-26	-	64	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Struggled when 100-1 for recent hurdling debut
6	Present De Vango Brown J:David England T:Olly Murphy	J:David England T:Olly Murphy	156	—	45-55	-	101	55	18d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Fifth of eight on all three starts under rules in a bumper and two maiden hurdles
7	Yogi's Trail Bay J:Conor Ring(3) T:Sophie Leech	J:Conor Ring(3) T:Sophie Leech	156	h	8	-	-	-	38d	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Always behind when 33-1 for Worcester bumper last month
10	James Baie Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Max Young	J:Charlie Hammond T:Max Young	155	—	56-3	-	-	-	167d	—	—	+3	3.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Minor promise in two spring bumpers; looks up against it on stable/hurdle debut
1	Blagthebookies Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	156	—	44D1-00	-	77	-	13d	—	—	0	0.1	124.75/1	500 0%
Irish point winner in March but a well-beaten outsider in two hurdles this month
16	Ballet Blanc Chestnut J:Ben Poste T:Richard Price	J:Ben Poste T:Richard Price	148	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Lowly rated Flat maiden; makes no appeal on hurdling debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ittack Blue	2	7/4	7/4	2	13/8
Choccabloc	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4	5/2
Adjuvant	2	2/1	9/4	9/4	2
Recoup	7	11/2	13/2	13/2	7
Jour D'Evasion	25	20	20	20	20
Getaway Glory	50	33/1	40	40	40
Inchiquin Spirit	66	66	66	66	66
Breccia	100	80	80	100	80
Chantilly Rose	150	125	125	125	125
Myfanwy's Magic	200/1	150	150	150	150
Exclusive Getaway	250/1	150	150	200	150
Present De Vango	200/1	125/1	100	125	125
Yogi's Trail	250/1	150	150	200	200
James Baie	200/1	125	125	150	125
Blagthebookies	500	400	500	500	400
Ballet Blanc	500	400	500	500	400

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ittack Blue

34.9

OR: 17 Form: 8.5 Odds: 9.4

7/4

2nd

Choccabloc

17.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Getaway Glory

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

Adjuvant

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Recoup

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

13/2

Jour D'Evasion

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

Breccia

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

100

James Baie

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Inchiquin Spirit

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.4 Odds: 0.4

Chantilly Rose

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.2

150

Myfanwy's Magic

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Exclusive Getaway

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Present De Vango

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Yogi's Trail

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ballet Blanc

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Blagthebookies

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ittack Blue	118	124	102
Choccabloc	—	—	—
Adjuvant	—	—	—
Recoup	—	—	—
Jour D'Evasion	—	—	—
Getaway Glory	—	—	—
Inchiquin Spirit	—	—	—
Breccia	—	105	76
Chantilly Rose	—	95	73
Myfanwy's Magic	—	—	—
Exclusive Getaway	—	64	—
Present De Vango	—	101	55
Yogi's Trail	—	—	—
James Baie	—	—	—
Blagthebookies	—	77	—
Ballet Blanc	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blagthebookies	13d ago	Quick return
Breccia	14d ago	Fit
Present De Vango	18d ago	Fit
Chantilly Rose	22d ago	Fit
Exclusive Getaway	22d ago	Fit
Yogi's Trail	38d ago	Fit
Jour D'Evasion	157d ago	Long break
Choccabloc	167d ago	Long break
James Baie	167d ago	Long break
Myfanwy's Magic	188d ago	Long break
Ittack Blue	256d ago	Long break
Adjuvant	—	—
Recoup	—	—
Getaway Glory	—	—
Inchiquin Spirit	—	—
Ballet Blanc	—	—