Boost Your Acca With BetMGM Nursery Handicap (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:25

Boost Your Acca With BetMGM Nursery Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-10-26

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Cuban Harry Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	137	v	6445	67	72	47	21d	—	—	-13	11.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Fair effort in stronger nursery at Lingfield latest; new headgear tried; not yet exposed
6 (6)	Rukaana Grey J:Ben Curtis T:Charles Hills	J:Ben Curtis T:Charles Hills	133	—	789	63	71	44	34d	—	—	-12	9.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Down the field in three 7f runs but appeals as an improver now handicapping in Class 6s
8 (9)	Compton Bay Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Oisin Murphy T:Eve Johnson Houghton	130	—	4037	60	69	43	19d	—	—	-5	8.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Return to 7f can help and did too much too soon on nursery debut; not fully exposed
2 (7)	Professor Tickle Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	135	b	454833	65	70	41	16d	—	—	+2	11.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
6f maiden winner in June but not progressed since; step up to 7f needs to spark extra
7 (8)	Madame Christine Grey J:Joe Fanning T:Ann Duffield	J:Joe Fanning T:Ann Duffield	132	—	64306	62	70	46	33d	—	—	-2	6.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Drops in class after two nursery defeats but she comes here with something to prove
3 (2)	Asian Tide Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	135	—	058	65	69	33	29d	—	—	-4	6.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
One promising run at Newmarket (7f) but not entirely solid and others appeal more
5 (3)	Aljadel Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	133	—	9718	63	70	40	26d	—	—	+4	12.6	2.75/1	12 8%
7f AW winner on stable debut (form not franked); stiff task latest & this more manageable
4 (10)	Krysdanjord Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Darryll Holland	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Darryll Holland	134	—	99855	64	68	48	42d	—	—	+1	4.3	8.00/1	33 3%
No real improvement for handicapping the last twice; drawn widest on return to 7f
10 (4)	Dylan's Ashes Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:Marco Botti	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Marco Botti	126	tb	077	56	66	29	26d	—	—	0	2.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Modest form in three 7f runs thus far; blinkered for nursery debut & bred to do better
9 (5)	Timely Chance Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Trevor Whelan T:Steph Hollinshead	129	—	0950	59	65	14	31d	—	—	+2	2.4	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Remote last of 11 on nursery debut last month; not easily recommended

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cuban Harry	5/2	5/2	11/4	11/4	5/2
Rukaana	3	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Compton Bay	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Professor Tickle	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Madame Christine	8	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Asian Tide	13/2	8	8	8	17/2
Aljadel	11	11	12	11	11
Krysdanjord	28	33	33	28/1	33
Dylan's Ashes	28	33	33	33	33
Timely Chance	100	125	125	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aljadel

12.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4

2nd

Cuban Harry

11.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Professor Tickle

11.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Rukaana

9.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Compton Bay

8.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Madame Christine

6.9

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Asian Tide

6.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Krysdanjord

4.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Timely Chance

2.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Dylan's Ashes

2.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cuban Harry	67	72	47
Professor Tickle	65	70	41
Asian Tide	65	69	33
Krysdanjord	64	68	48
Rukaana	63	71	44
Aljadel	63	70	40
Madame Christine	62	70	46
Compton Bay	60	69	43
Timely Chance	59	65	14
Dylan's Ashes	56	66	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Professor Tickle	16d ago	Fit
Compton Bay	19d ago	Fit
Cuban Harry	21d ago	Fit
Aljadel	26d ago	Fit
Dylan's Ashes	26d ago	Fit
Asian Tide	29d ago	Fit
Timely Chance	31d ago	Fit
Madame Christine	33d ago	Fit
Rukaana	34d ago	Fit
Krysdanjord	42d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.