2023 Thoroughbred Census Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Cheltenham

15:20

Date 2023-10-27

Distance 2m3f166y

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £9,242

Winning Time 4m 54.65s (slow by 2.65s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Idalko Bihoue (FR) Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	5/1	Won
2nd	Railway Hurricane (IRE) Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	17/2	7
3rd	Way Out (IRE) Micheal Nolan · Syd Hosie	7/1	2.25
4th	Moon Hunter (GB) Daryl Jacob · Henry Daly	13/2	.5
5th	Atlanta Brave (IRE) Richard Patrick · Kerry Lee	4/1F	8.5
6th	Hurricane Bay (GB) Bryony Frost · Lucy Wadham	7/1	7.5
7th	Ginny's Destiny (IRE) Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	9/2	3.5
8th	Downtown Queen (IRE) Conor McNamara · Henry De Bromhead	14/1	22

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Mr Saxobeat (IRE) Darragh O'Keeffe · Thomas Gibney	25/1

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Ginny's Destiny Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	164	—	/4123-	135	-	-	260d	—	—	+19	38.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Grade 2-placed novice hurdler last season; makes stable/chase/handicap debut here
8	Atlanta Brave Bay J:Richard Patrick T:Kerry Lee	J:Richard Patrick T:Kerry Lee	153	—	12114-	124	-	-	216d	—	—	+22	39	0.75/1	4 25%
Point winner; 2-4 over hurdles last season; open to significant improvement over fences
4	Moon Hunter Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:Henry Daly	J:Daryl Jacob T:Henry Daly	158	—	11P20-	129	-	-	195d	—	—	+18	31.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Point winner; quickly developed into useful novice hurdler last season; chase debut today
7	Idalko Bihoue Brown J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	156	—	3PP5-F	127	-	-	22d	—	—	+11	22.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Lost way last season and fell on chasing debut but has plenty of time to get back on track
NR	Passing Well Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	151	—	14104-	122	-	-	189d	—	—	+18	27.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dual hurdle winner; had limitations exposed in Graded races but is a good chasing prospect
2	Hurricane Bay Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Lucy Wadham	J:Bryony Frost T:Lucy Wadham	162	—	331P2-	133	-	-	184d	—	—	+24	34.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
2-7 over hurdles last season; placed in 3m Grade 2 in January; a possible on chasing debut
3	Railway Hurricane Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	159	tb	-441P2	130	141	125	27d	—	—	+22	31.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Eventually off the mark over fences in July; others have a lot more potential
5	Way Out Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Syd Hosie	J:Micheal Nolan T:Syd Hosie	158	—	85-111	129	-	-	46d	—	—	+14	22	2.25/1	10 10%
Won last three hurdle races but recent 13lb rise asks a lot of him on this chasing debut
11	Downtown Queen Bay J:Conor McNamara T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Conor McNamara T:Henry De Bromhead	146	t	-77213	117	139	105	32d	—	—	+25	31	3.25/1	14 7%
Jumped well when winning at Wexford last month but will need to improve again here
NR	Latino Fling Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Donald McCain	J:NON-RUNNER T:Donald McCain	147	—	-11512	118	141	-	24d	—	—	-19	54	4.75/1	20 5%
No match for winner when second at Sedgefield this month and today's race is much stronger
6	Mr Saxobeat Chestnut J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	158	—	-12U23	129	137	121	30d	—	—	+26	30	6.75/1	28 4%
Has remained in good form since winning chase debut in June but others appeal more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ginny's Destiny	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Atlanta Brave	4	4	4	4	4
Moon Hunter	5	5	5	5	9/2
Idalko Bihoue	11/2	6	6	6	6
Passing Well	8	7	7	15/2	15/2
Hurricane Bay	8	15/2	8	8	8
Railway Hurricane	8	8	15/2	8	8
Way Out	10	10	10	10	10
Downtown Queen	11	14	14	14	14
Latino Fling	20	16	SP	SP	SP
Mr Saxobeat	28	25/1	25	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Latino Fling

OR: 17 Form: 17 Odds: 20

2nd

Atlanta Brave

OR: 18.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 5

3rd

Ginny's Destiny

38.5

OR: 21.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Hurricane Bay

34.1

OR: 20.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Railway Hurricane

31.6

OR: 20 Form: 9 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Moon Hunter

31.5

OR: 19.8 Form: 7.8 Odds: 4

9/2

Downtown Queen

OR: 16.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.7

Mr Saxobeat

OR: 19.8 Form: 9.3 Odds: 1

Passing Well

27.9

OR: 18 Form: 7 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Idalko Bihoue

22.6

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Way Out

OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ginny's Destiny	135	—	—
Hurricane Bay	133	—	—
Railway Hurricane	130	141	125
Moon Hunter	129	—	—
Way Out	129	—	—
Mr Saxobeat	129	137	121
Idalko Bihoue	127	—	—
Atlanta Brave	124	—	—
Passing Well	122	—	—
Latino Fling	118	141	—
Downtown Queen	117	139	105

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Idalko Bihoue	22d ago	Fit
Latino Fling	24d ago	Fit
Railway Hurricane	27d ago	Fit
Mr Saxobeat	30d ago	Fit
Downtown Queen	32d ago	Fit
Way Out	46d ago	Fresh
Hurricane Bay	184d ago	Long break
Passing Well	189d ago	Long break
Moon Hunter	195d ago	Long break
Atlanta Brave	216d ago	Long break
Ginny's Destiny	260d ago	Long break