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Wolverhampton (AW)

18:15

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Date 2023-10-27
Distance 7f36y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3-5yo
Prize £4,104

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (3)
Initio
Bay
J:P J McDonald
T:Edward Bethell
J:P J McDonald
T:Edward Bethell
 133 — 3370
75
84
-
 14d — — -22
24
0.23/1
10/11
52%
Stopped quickly on soft ground a fortnight ago; is better judged on his earlier turf work
4 (11)
Fianian
Bay
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Brian O'Rourke
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Brian O'Rourke
 129 — 5
-
56
-
 51d — — -13
5.4
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Outsider of five when finishing a remote last on his 1m debut in Ireland early last month
8 (4)
So Glorious
Bay
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Tom Ward
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Tom Ward
 128 — 8-0
-
65
29
 11d — — -7
2.9
2.50/1
10/1
9%
Related to winners, including here, and has shown more than the majority of these
9 (5)
Maruna
Bay
J:Christian Howarth(3)
T:Michael Appleby
J:Christian Howarth(3)
T:Michael Appleby
 126 — —
-
-
-
 — — — -6
2.1
2.75/1
12
8%
Newcomer; market strength would see her enter calculations in a weak affair
12 (8)
Won't Stand Down
Chestnut
J:James Sullivan
T:Rod Millman
J:James Sullivan
T:Rod Millman
 124 — —
-
-
-
 — — — -6
2.5
3.25/1
14
7%
Yard wouldn't be noted for newcomers but she wouldn't need to be any great shakes
6 (9)
National Health
Bay
J:Shane Gray
T:Olly Murphy
J:Shane Gray
T:Olly Murphy
 129 t 874
-
56
-
 10d — — -4
1.4
4.25/1
18
6%
Said to have struggled with his breathing last time; some sort of chance on that though
2 (7)
Hailey Ya Mal
Grey
J:Cam Hardie
T:Antony Brittain
J:Cam Hardie
T:Antony Brittain
 131 — 7
-
53
18
 183d — — -6
2.2
3.75/1
16
6%
Bombed on debut and has since been sold for 11,000gns and gelded; watch the market
10 (2)
Teah
Bay
J:Franny Norton
T:Tony Carroll
J:Franny Norton
T:Tony Carroll
 126 — 5
-
48
-
 53d — — -2
0.6
12.25/1
50
2%
Likely she's one for handicaps but is worth tracking in the market
7 (1)
Pachelbel
Bay
J:Neil Callan
T:Conrad Allen
J:Neil Callan
T:Conrad Allen
 128 t 8
-
15
-
 21d — — -1
0.5
19.75/1
80
1%
Started 125-1 when finishing a remote last on her Newcastle debut three weeks ago
5 (10)
Jesse Luc
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady
J:Luke Morris
T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady
 129 — 50
-
39
-
 18d — — -1
0.5
19.75/1
80
1%
Similar profile to his two stablemates, having twice been beaten a long way at big prices
3 (12)
Timely Artist
Bay
J:Luke Catton(5)
T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady
J:Luke Catton(5)
T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady
 131 t 00
-
-
-
 58d — — -1
0.3
31.00/1
125
1%
First-time tongue-tie and switch to Tapeta will need to make a massive difference
11 (6)
Hedenham
Bay
J:Georgia Dobie(3)
T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady
J:Georgia Dobie(3)
T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady
 124 — 70
-
31
-
 18d — — -1
0.5
31.00/1
125
1%
Beaten miles on debut and again when just behind stablemate Jesse Luc last time
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Initio
 4/5 5/6 10/11 5/6 5/6
Fianian
 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 7/2
So Glorious
 10/1 17/2 17/2 17/2 10/1
Maruna
 12 10 10 10 11
Won't Stand Down
 12 12 12 12 14
National Health
 16 16 16 16 18
Hailey Ya Mal
 16 14 14 14 16
Teah
 50 50 50 50 40/1
Pachelbel
 80 66 66 66 66
Jesse Luc
 80 80 80 80 50/1
Timely Artist
 125 125 125 125 80/1
Hedenham
 125 125 125 125 100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Initio
24
OR: 6.3 Form: 2.4 Odds: 15.4
10/11
2nd Fianian
5.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4
7/2
3rd So Glorious
2.9
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9
10/1
4 Won't Stand Down
2.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5
14
5 Hailey Ya Mal
2.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2
16
6 Maruna
2.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
12
7 National Health
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
18
8 Teah
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
50
9 Pachelbel
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
80
10 Jesse Luc
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
80
11 Hedenham
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
125
12 Timely Artist
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
125

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Initio
75
84
 —
Fianian —
56
 —
So Glorious —
65
29
Maruna — — —
Won't Stand Down — — —
National Health —
56
 —
Hailey Ya Mal —
53
18
Teah —
48
 —
Pachelbel —
15
 —
Jesse Luc —
39
 —
Timely Artist — — —
Hedenham —
31
 —

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
National Health 10d ago Quick return
So Glorious 11d ago Quick return
Initio 14d ago Fit
Jesse Luc 18d ago Fit
Hedenham 18d ago Fit
Pachelbel 21d ago Fit
Fianian 51d ago Fresh
Teah 53d ago Fresh
Timely Artist 58d ago Fresh
Hailey Ya Mal 183d ago Long break
Maruna — —
Won't Stand Down — —

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.