Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Book Now Nursery Handicap

Dundalk (AW)

18:30

Date 2023-10-27

Distance 5f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize €6,785

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (2)	Beano Power Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Edward Lynam	J:NON-RUNNER T:Edward Lynam	122	—	04662	64	81	-	9d	—	—	-42	28.5	—	—
Respectable 2nd in maiden latest and now back on a realistic mark for second h'cap start
4 (3)	Clonmacash Bay J:W J Lee T:Miss Natalia Lupini	J:W J Lee T:Miss Natalia Lupini	131	b	536664	73	71	59	35d	—	—	-7	12.1	0.75/1	4 25%
Slowly away when 5th over C&D latest; could go well if he gets away on terms; h'cap bow
5 (11)	Moral Turpitude Chestnut J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Daniel James Murphy	130	p	5345	72	78	-	121d	—	—	-7	12.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Not beater far in any of her 4 maiden runs; latest form boosted; cheekpieces on; new yard
8 (8)	Milliethemollie Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	J:Leigh Roche T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	124	ht	8642	66	82	-	43d	—	—	+2	11.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Marked improvement when beaten half a length on h'cap debut; up 3lb but more to come on AW
6 (5)	Harry The Rogue Bay J:Ben Coen T:Andrew Slattery	J:Ben Coen T:Andrew Slattery	128	—	523548	70	82	53	7d	—	—	-6	12.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Promise in turf maidens before 4th here; slowly away last week and needs to break on terms
1 (4)	Buddy Batt Chestnut J:Dean Curran(7) T:D J Bunyan & G O'Leary	J:Dean Curran(7) T:D J Bunyan & G O'Leary	138	—	360158	80	75	68	21d	—	—	+6	15	2.25/1	10 10%
Maiden winner; not disgraced in C&D Listed race but h'capper didn't miss him; more needed
11 (7)	Scorchio Bay J:Wesley Joyce(7) T:Jack W Davison	J:Wesley Joyce(7) T:Jack W Davison	121	p	27906	63	77	-	39d	—	—	-4	7.3	1.50/1	7 14%
Modest form in 5 starts so far and needs improvement for drop to 5f
2 (10)	Blame Thechampagne Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	135	p	445657	77	80	-	114d	—	—	+3	8.4	3.75/1	16 6%
0-6 but only beaten 7l when 7th in Listed race on turf in July; may go well on AW debut
7 (6)	Seven Eleven Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:J F Levins	J:Donagh O'Connor T:J F Levins	127	—	0501	69	83	-	32d	—	—	+10	16.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Left maiden form behind with heavy ground win at Down Royal 7lb higher now on AW debut
10 (9)	Mary Shoelaces Brown J:Chris Hayes T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Chris Hayes T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	121	—	800	63	72	-	20d	—	—	0	4.3	4.75/1	20 5%
Shown very little in three runs so far and this opening mark looks tough
3 (1)	Valentino Express Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:D J Bunyan & G O'Leary	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:D J Bunyan & G O'Leary	132	t	648	74	80	-	20d	—	—	+1	7.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Promising form in his last couple of runs in maidens and gives the impression 5f may suit

Horse	bet365	Coral
Beano Power	SP	SP
Clonmacash	4	4
Moral Turpitude	3	10/3
Milliethemollie	15/2	15/2
Harry The Rogue	11/2	5
Buddy Batt	10	8
Scorchio	7	7
Blame Thechampagne	16	14
Seven Eleven	14	16
Mary Shoelaces	20	20
Valentino Express	12	12

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Beano Power

28.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Seven Eleven

16.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

3rd

Buddy Batt

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

Moral Turpitude

12.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Clonmacash

12.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 5.7

Harry The Rogue

12.1

OR: 5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 5.2

11/2

Milliethemollie

11.7

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Blame Thechampagne

8.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Valentino Express

7.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Scorchio

7.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 1 Odds: 3.1

Mary Shoelaces

4.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Buddy Batt	80	75	68
Blame Thechampagne	77	80	—
Valentino Express	74	80	—
Clonmacash	73	71	59
Moral Turpitude	72	78	—
Harry The Rogue	70	82	53
Seven Eleven	69	83	—
Milliethemollie	66	82	—
Beano Power	64	81	—
Scorchio	63	77	—
Mary Shoelaces	63	72	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Harry The Rogue	7d ago	Quick return
Beano Power	9d ago	Quick return
Mary Shoelaces	20d ago	Fit
Valentino Express	20d ago	Fit
Buddy Batt	21d ago	Fit
Seven Eleven	32d ago	Fit
Clonmacash	35d ago	Fit
Scorchio	39d ago	Fit
Milliethemollie	43d ago	Fit
Blame Thechampagne	114d ago	Long break
Moral Turpitude	121d ago	Long break