Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

12:50

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-10-27

Distance 6f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,292

Winning Time 1m 12.30s (slow by 2.90s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mart (GB) David Probert · Dylan Cunha	7/2J	Won
2nd	Chapman (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · George Scott	7/2J	0.2
3rd	Charlie Mason (GB) Rossa Ryan · David Evans	4/1	0.3
4th	She Is A Keeper (IRE) Alec Voikhansky · Gay Kelleway	7/1	0.1
5th	Horse Whisperer (IRE) Liam Wright · Chris Dwyer	9/1	.5
6th	Black Jack Davey (GB) Gina Mangan · Rachel Cook & John Bridger	18/1	1.5
7th	Fly Pass (IRE) Kevin Stott · Amy Murphy	8/1	0.2
8th	Cypriot Diaspora (GB) Rob Hornby · Rod Millman	8/1	0.2
9th	Quiet Affair (GB) David Egan · Amy Murphy	150/1	5
10th	Alwedad (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	40/1	0.3

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (5)	Mart Grey J:David Probert T:Dylan Cunha	J:David Probert T:Dylan Cunha	128	—	645668	61	72	54	7d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 2 runs	-12	8.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Has not lived up to his market billing lately but leaves impression there's better to come
4 (9)	Charlie Mason Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	132	v	332214	65	74	71	31d	—	—	+2	21.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Improved for a visor, winning at Kempton last month; unexposed on AW; solid contender
5 (4)	Chapman Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Scott	J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Scott	131	t	870	64	65	-	77d	—	—	-7	7.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Looks a likely improver now switched to nurseries; AW debut; check the betting moves
1 (1)	She Is A Keeper Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Gay Kelleway	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Gay Kelleway	137	b	532221	70	76	62	44d	—	—	+13	27.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Won stable debut at Kempton (first-time blinkers) last month; 5lb rise looks stiff
3 (7)	Fly Pass Chestnut J:Kevin Stott T:Amy Murphy	J:Kevin Stott T:Amy Murphy	132	—	827442	65	73	65	68d	—	—	+2	12.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Good 2nd to a handicap blot when last seen; up 3lb and the headgear worn there is left off
2 (10)	Cypriot Diaspora Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Rod Millman	J:Rob Hornby T:Rod Millman	134	—	56461	67	75	-	32d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	17.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Game effort to win at Leicester (6f) last month; up 4lb and drawn widest here
7 (2)	Horse Whisperer Bay J:Liam Wright(7) T:Chris Dwyer	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Chris Dwyer	129	—	966126	62	75	-	17d	—	—	+6	13.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won at Brighton on nursery debut; below best last time; improvement needed on AW debut
9 (8)	Black Jack Davey Brown J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	123	—	848374	56	74	47	8d	—	—	0	4.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Has hinted at ability, including last week, but failed to fire in his one AW start
10 (3)	Alwedad Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	116	tp	790	49	73	44	27d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Hasn't confirmed debut promise in two runs since; down in trip/headgear for h'cap debut
6 (6)	Quiet Affair Chestnut J:David Egan T:Amy Murphy	J:David Egan T:Amy Murphy	131	ht	3066	64	74	46	13d	—	—	+3	4.9	19.75/1	80 1%
Promise on debut but not much since; opposable after a low-key recent nursery debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mart	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Charlie Mason	9/2	4/1	7/2	3	4
Chapman	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1	11/2
She Is A Keeper	5	9/2	5	9/2	5/1
Fly Pass	8	8	15/2	15/2	8
Cypriot Diaspora	8/1	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Horse Whisperer	10	10	10	10	10/1
Black Jack Davey	20	22	22	20	22
Alwedad	40	50/1	40	40	40
Quiet Affair	80	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

She Is A Keeper

27.1

OR: 5 Form: 18.1 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Charlie Mason

21.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 11.6 Odds: 5.7

9/2

3rd

Cypriot Diaspora

17.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Horse Whisperer

13.6

OR: 3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Fly Pass

12.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Mart

8.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Chapman

7.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Quiet Affair

4.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.5

Black Jack Davey

4.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

Alwedad

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
She Is A Keeper	70	76	62
Cypriot Diaspora	67	75	—
Charlie Mason	65	74	71
Fly Pass	65	73	65
Chapman	64	65	—
Quiet Affair	64	74	46
Horse Whisperer	62	75	—
Mart	61	72	54
Black Jack Davey	56	74	47
Alwedad	49	73	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mart	7d ago	Quick return
Black Jack Davey	8d ago	Quick return
Quiet Affair	13d ago	Quick return
Horse Whisperer	17d ago	Fit
Alwedad	27d ago	Fit
Charlie Mason	31d ago	Fit
Cypriot Diaspora	32d ago	Fit
She Is A Keeper	44d ago	Fit
Fly Pass	68d ago	Fresh
Chapman	77d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 6f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.