BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

16:15

BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap

Date 2023-10-27

Distance 6f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,559

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (10)	Papabella Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Stuart Kittow	J:NON-RUNNER T:Stuart Kittow	135	—	4-7054	56	65	-	9d	—	—	-52	21.5	—	—
Lightly-raced 3yo who has shown promise; down in grade for AW debut; may do better
2 (11)	Nordic Glory Chestnut J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	135	—	765412	55	69	54	3d	—	—	-5	21.3	0.25/1	2 50%
Comes here in top form but this C&D winner has the widest stall to contend with
8 (2)	Moorgate Bay J:J F Egan T:Pat Murphy	J:J F Egan T:Pat Murphy	126	—	824502	46	68	18	8d	—	—	-9	12.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
In good form since down in trip, finishing 2nd at Brighton last week; not yet shone on AW
1 (5)	Sparked Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Jim Boyle	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Jim Boyle	136	p	275138	56	67	34	18d	—	—	-5	14.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Course winner (5f); stays this far and comes here with less to prove than most; contender
4 (1)	Doctor Mozart Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Philip Kirby	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Philip Kirby	133	b	540000	54	67	43	11d	—	—	-6	3.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Well beaten for new yard but quickly become dangerously handicapped; 6f the worry here
7 (7)	Havechatma Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dean Ivory	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dean Ivory	126	—	-90860	47	54	35	16d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
2yo 6f form gives her a shout but she's struggled in 5 runs over further this year; risky
9 (9)	Dazzerling Chestnut J:Kevin Stott T:Phil McEntee	J:Kevin Stott T:Phil McEntee	126	—	069079	46	51	-	73d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
0-17 and he has yet to get going for his current yard; not easily recommended at present
6 (4)	Doc Sportello Bay J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Tony Carroll	130	—	936-60	50	67	11	6d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Well beaten in two runs back from a year off; down in weights but hard to fancy
5 (8)	Lethal Angel Grey J:William Cox T:Brett Johnson	J:William Cox T:Brett Johnson	132	p	559440	52	68	14	23d	—	—	-2	1.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Inconsistent this year but she retains ability and is down in the weights; not discounted
11 (3)	Mick Says No Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Michael Attwater	125	—	246479	46	64	60	15d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Whiff of ability in the spring but well beaten on this month's return from a break
10 (6)	Poppyequiano Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Paddy Butler	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Paddy Butler	126	—	055897	46	43	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Huge prices and poor form in six runs this year; no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Papabella	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Nordic Glory	2	2	2	2	2
Moorgate	7/2	10/3	3	10/3	3/1
Sparked	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Doctor Mozart	10/1	9	13/2	9	9/1
Havechatma	10	10	10	10	11/1
Dazzerling	10	12	12	14/1	14/1
Doc Sportello	12	12	12	12	14/1
Lethal Angel	25/1	25	22	25	25/1
Mick Says No	50	50	50	66/1	66/1
Poppyequiano	100	100	100	100	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Papabella

21.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Nordic Glory

21.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 12 Odds: 8

3rd

Sparked

14.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Moorgate

12.2

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Doctor Mozart

3.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

10/1

Havechatma

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Dazzerling

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Doc Sportello

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Lethal Angel

1.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Mick Says No

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Poppyequiano

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Papabella	56	65	—
Sparked	56	67	34
Nordic Glory	55	69	54
Doctor Mozart	54	67	43
Lethal Angel	52	68	14
Doc Sportello	50	67	11
Havechatma	47	54	35
Moorgate	46	68	18
Dazzerling	46	51	—
Mick Says No	46	64	60
Poppyequiano	46	43	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nordic Glory	3d ago	Quick return
Doc Sportello	6d ago	Quick return
Moorgate	8d ago	Quick return
Papabella	9d ago	Quick return
Doctor Mozart	11d ago	Quick return
Mick Says No	15d ago	Fit
Havechatma	16d ago	Fit
Sparked	18d ago	Fit
Poppyequiano	22d ago	Fit
Lethal Angel	23d ago	Fit
Dazzerling	73d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 6f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.