Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

14:00

Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race

Date 2023-11-01

Distance 1m

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (16)	Dumb Love Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	140	b	430182	68	78	40	5d	—	—	-2	22.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Last Friday's claiming second here will appreciate longer trip but badly drawn
2 (8)	Brains Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:E McNamara	J:Seamie Heffernan T:E McNamara	142	tb	391606	82	86	69	53d	—	—	-9	19.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Front-runner has 10 AW wins in Britain; weighted to go well
1 (9)	Big Baby Bull Chestnut J:Daniel King(5) T:James McAuley	J:Daniel King(5) T:James McAuley	142	tb	314208	79	85	-	76d	—	—	+3	15.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Claimed at Leopardstown in August and hasn't run since; best form is at 7f
NR (5)	May Night Chestnut J:TBC T:James McAuley	J: T:James McAuley	137	p	641090	84	91	76	90d	—	—	-5	18.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Debuts for James McAuley and on his British AW form in the spring rates a major player
4 (14)	Rocky Dreams Bay J:W J Lee T:James McAuley	J:W J Lee T:James McAuley	142	b	818707	67	80	48	5d	—	—	0	8.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Best at shorter, badly drawn and fair bit to find on ratings with some of these
14 (12)	Spirit Of Paradise Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Nathan Crosse T:Mrs John Harrington	130	—	54495	68	85	-	16d	—	—	-2	7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Heavy ground hasn't suited of late; AW could suit so definitely one to consider
NR (1)	Monzoon Bay J:TBC T:Ross O'Sullivan	J: T:Ross O'Sullivan	132	—	868030	56	78	44	40d	—	—	0	5.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Regressive but C&D not one to entirely rule out; reserve
8 (4)	Pinball Wizard Bay J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:John J Nallen	J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:John J Nallen	137	—	-12779	60	81	-	56d	—	—	-2	9.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Kempton AW winner back on AW with a good draw but fair bit to find on ratings
11 (17)	Comfort Line Grey J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	135	v	698476	62	85	27	12d	—	—	-2	4.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Yet to convince on this surface and wide draw makes this difficult
3 (13)	Mads Black Eights Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Matthew J Smith	J:Declan McDonogh T:Matthew J Smith	142	—	508465	60	75	45	19d	—	—	-1	3.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Trip not ideal, plenty to find on ratings with some of these and draw hasn't been kind
13 (15)	Invincible Larne Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	134	—	270060	68	86	52	19d	—	—	+3	5.1	12.25/1	50 2%
AW wins in Britain over shorter; bit to prove now and first attempt at 1m
10 (10)	Zahee Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	137	ht	600790	65	82	30	40d	—	—	+2	4.5	6.75/1	28 4%
Dual C&D winner in 2021 but recent form none too encouraging
NR (11)	Big Dream Bay J:TBC T:Anthony McCann	J: T:Anthony McCann	132	t	7-0506	54	74	-	76d	—	—	-7	4.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Probably flattered when outrunning his odds in a Leopardstown claimer last time; reserve
NR (7)	Muhalhel Bay J:TBC T:Anthony McCann	J: T:Anthony McCann	132	tb	880797	50	83	-	50d	—	—	-3	1	19.75/1	80 1%
Now 0-10 on AW and unlikely to improve on recent modest record in claimers; reserve
9 (3)	Roderick Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Philip M Byrne	J:J M Sheridan T:Philip M Byrne	137	—	/40100	73	85	31	71d	—	—	+9	11.2	24.75/1	100 1%
Killarney claiming winner in July but not much since; yet to prove he's as effective on AW
12 (2)	Johnny The Star Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:M M Rice	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:M M Rice	135	—	50	-	43	-	18d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Two recent runs don't suggest he'll play a role although open to improvement
6 (6)	Ertikaaz Bay J:Joseph Harnett(10) T:John S O'Donoghue	J:Joseph Harnett(10) T:John S O'Donoghue	140	—	/4700-	45	60	-	577d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Absent since April 2022 and can only be watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dumb Love	9/4	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Brains	2	15/8	2	15/8	15/8
Big Baby Bull	8	8	8	8	17/2
May Night	9	17/2	8	8	17/2
Rocky Dreams	9	17/2	9	9	9
Spirit Of Paradise	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Monzoon	33	33	33	33	33
Pinball Wizard	8	15/2	8	17/2	8/1
Comfort Line	12	11	12	12	12
Mads Black Eights	20	22	20	20	22/1
Invincible Larne	40	50	50	50	50
Zahee	28	28	28	28	28
Big Dream	50	50	50	50	50
Muhalhel	80	66	66	66	66
Roderick	100	80	80	66	66
Johnny The Star	150	150	150	125	125
Ertikaaz	150	150	150	125	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dumb Love

22.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Brains

19.9

OR: 8 Form: 3 Odds: 8.9

15/8

3rd

May Night

18.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 3 Odds: 7

17/2

Big Baby Bull

15.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.6

17/2

Roderick

11.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.5

100

Pinball Wizard

9.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Rocky Dreams

8.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 2 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Spirit Of Paradise

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Monzoon

5.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.5

Invincible Larne

5.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Comfort Line

4.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Zahee

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Big Dream

4.1

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Mads Black Eights

3.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Muhalhel

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Johnny The Star

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ertikaaz

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
May Night	84	91	76
Brains	82	86	69
Big Baby Bull	79	85	—
Roderick	73	85	31
Dumb Love	68	78	40
Spirit Of Paradise	68	85	—
Invincible Larne	68	86	52
Rocky Dreams	67	80	48
Zahee	65	82	30
Comfort Line	62	85	27
Pinball Wizard	60	81	—
Mads Black Eights	60	75	45
Monzoon	56	78	44
Big Dream	54	74	—
Muhalhel	50	83	—
Ertikaaz	45	60	—
Johnny The Star	—	43	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dumb Love	5d ago	Quick return
Rocky Dreams	5d ago	Quick return
Comfort Line	12d ago	Quick return
Spirit Of Paradise	16d ago	Fit
Johnny The Star	18d ago	Fit
Mads Black Eights	19d ago	Fit
Invincible Larne	19d ago	Fit
Monzoon	40d ago	Fit
Zahee	40d ago	Fit
Muhalhel	50d ago	Fresh
Brains	53d ago	Fresh
Pinball Wizard	56d ago	Fresh
Roderick	71d ago	Fresh
Big Baby Bull	76d ago	Fresh
Big Dream	76d ago	Fresh
May Night	90d ago	Fresh
Ertikaaz	577d ago	Long break