Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)

Dundalk (AW)

16:00

Date 2023-11-01

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (1)	International Lady Bay J:Colin Keane T:Kevin Michael Smith	J:Colin Keane T:Kevin Michael Smith	134	b	0R8-72	57	73	47	5d	—	—	-17	10.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Pipped over C&D last week on second run back from layoff; has trap 1 again and Keane
4 (14)	Storm Eric Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Jamie Flynn	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Jamie Flynn	136	t	009004	59	76	-	50d	—	—	-12	8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
A win and two seconds over C&D in the spring and will enjoy return to this surface
2 (7)	Stormie Outlook Bay J:W J Lee T:E J O'Grady	J:W J Lee T:E J O'Grady	138	t	404062	61	73	54	12d	—	—	0	10.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Second to in-form rival over C&D on AW debut; now 4lb higher
1 (9)	Gosford Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Edward Lynam	J:James Ryan(5) T:Edward Lynam	141	t	671290	65	73	-	25d	—	—	+2	12.1	1.75/1	8 13%
Trip is right and has form on good ground; tongue-tie fitted for AW debut
13 (4)	Tynamite Chestnut J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	124	—	443805	47	78	60	40d	—	—	-4	2.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Regular visitor was only beaten 1l when fifth over 1m here last time; will be played late
6 (13)	Golden Days Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	131	p	401190	54	77	-	20d	—	—	+2	11.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
One placed effort on AW; 7f is her trip and won on soft and good turf in July; held since
NR (2)	Super Cub Bay J:TBC T:Philip M Byrne	J: T:Philip M Byrne	135	b	944506	58	74	52	12d	—	—	-6	5.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Lots of placed form on turf last couple of years; not beaten far over C&D latest; reserve
NR (11)	Finke River Bay J:TBC T:James McAuley	J: T:James McAuley	125	b	457060	48	76	43	33d	—	—	-8	3.1	5.25/1	22 5%
C&D winner a year ago; not beaten far over 1m two starts back; blinkers reserve
3 (5)	Han Solo Chestnut J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Augustine Leahy	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Augustine Leahy	137	b	6-4721	60	71	-	56d	—	—	-3	4.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Has placed form here; made all to beat 24 rivals at Cork eight weeks ago; now 13lb higher
8 (15)	Sunset Nova Chestnut J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Amy Jo Hayes(7) T:Andrew Slattery	125	tv	818607	48	78	56	40d	—	—	-2	3.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Not a bad run without headgear over 1m here last time and goes well for this rider
11 (6)	Happenstance Bay J:Alan Persse(7) T:Patrick J Flynn	J:Alan Persse(7) T:Patrick J Flynn	124	—	607487	48	70	-	112d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.75/1	20 5%
C&D nursery winner just under a year ago and fair efforts on turf in the summer; gelded
12 (17)	Theriverrunsdeep Bay J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:Seamus G O'Donnell	J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:Seamus G O'Donnell	124	p	870700	47	77	62	95d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Three wins here; back from a break and well handicapped on best form; new headgear
7 (10)	Famous Enough Brown J:J M Sheridan T:Liam G O'Brien	J:J M Sheridan T:Liam G O'Brien	125	tp	099090	49	77	-	56d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Caught the eye on handicap debut at the Curragh but hasn't built on that; AW debut
14 (3)	Tip The Can Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Damian Joseph English	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Damian Joseph English	123	t	0966	47	66	39	33d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Fair sixth here on handicap debut where he didn't see out 1m; this trip might suit better
NR (16)	River Derwent Bay J:TBC T:R Donohoe	J: T:R Donohoe	126	tp	000067	49	66	45	19d	—	—	-8	3.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Not shown much this year although not shamed in midfield last twice; back in trip; reserve
9 (8)	Contradanza Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:John Patrick Hayes	J:Chris Hayes T:John Patrick Hayes	124	tp	-06005	47	76	-	56d	—	—	-2	0.9	9.75/1	40 3%
Modest form so far; half-sister won on AW; cheekpieces added for first try on the surface
10 (12)	Gormanston Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	124	t	06-000	47	75	26	162d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Dual course winner, including over this trip; decent C&D run last winter; off since May

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
International Lady	9/4	5/2	9/4	5/2	11/4
Storm Eric	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Stormie Outlook	15/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Gosford	8	7	7	7	7
Tynamite	16	12	11	12	12
Golden Days	8	17/2	9	17/2	17/2
Super Cub	12	12	12	12	12
Finke River	22	20	20	20	20
Han Solo	12	10	9	10	10
Sunset Nova	20	18	18	20	18
Happenstance	20	18	18	20	18
Theriverrunsdeep	25	25	22	25	25
Famous Enough	18	16	18	18	18
Tip The Can	25	28	28	28	22
River Derwent	50	50	50	50	50
Contradanza	40	28	33	33	28
Gormanston	150	100	80	100	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gosford

12.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.9

2nd

Golden Days

11.7

OR: 1 Form: 8 Odds: 2.7

17/2

3rd

Stormie Outlook

10.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

International Lady

10.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

11/4

Storm Eric

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Super Cub

5.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Han Solo

4.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Sunset Nova

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

Finke River

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

River Derwent

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Tynamite

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

Happenstance

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Famous Enough

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Theriverrunsdeep

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Tip The Can

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Contradanza

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Gormanston

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gosford	65	73	—
Stormie Outlook	61	73	54
Han Solo	60	71	—
Storm Eric	59	76	—
Super Cub	58	74	52
International Lady	57	73	47
Golden Days	54	77	—
Famous Enough	49	77	—
River Derwent	49	66	45
Finke River	48	76	43
Sunset Nova	48	78	56
Happenstance	48	70	—
Tynamite	47	78	60
Theriverrunsdeep	47	77	62
Tip The Can	47	66	39
Contradanza	47	76	—
Gormanston	47	75	26

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
International Lady	5d ago	Quick return
Stormie Outlook	12d ago	Quick return
Super Cub	12d ago	Quick return
River Derwent	19d ago	Fit
Golden Days	20d ago	Fit
Gosford	25d ago	Fit
Finke River	33d ago	Fit
Tip The Can	33d ago	Fit
Tynamite	40d ago	Fit
Sunset Nova	40d ago	Fit
Storm Eric	50d ago	Fresh
Han Solo	56d ago	Fresh
Famous Enough	56d ago	Fresh
Contradanza	56d ago	Fresh
Theriverrunsdeep	95d ago	Long break
Happenstance	112d ago	Long break
Gormanston	162d ago	Long break