Play Beat Sav At PlanetSportBet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Hereford

15:50

Date 2023-11-06

Distance 2m53y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Fiveonefive Bay J:Denis O'Regan T:Cian Collins	J:Denis O'Regan T:Cian Collins	166	—	-12163	129	133	116	22d	—	—	-4	49.9	0.15/1	8/13 62%
Dual handicap winner who returns to novice company in a race lacking depth
7	Johnny Blue Brown J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	154	—	1	-	-	-	156d	—	—	-7	17.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
The second has won since but it was still an ordinary bumper he won during the summer
2	Gaius Bay J:Dylan Johnston(7) T:Olly Murphy	J:Dylan Johnston(7) T:Olly Murphy	161	—	221026	107	119	94	38d	—	—	+13	25.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Worcester winner during the summer who looks vulnerable with his penalty
11	Omaha Wish Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	147	—	139-3	-	119	94	33d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Improved on her bumper efforts when third in a small-field novice hurdle at Bangor
9	Muskoka Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	154	—	76-5	-	-	-	179d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Finished closer in each of his bumpers, last time going down by about 10l at Huntingdon
NR	Party Vibes Bay J:NON-RUNNER(7) T:Henry Daly	J:NON-RUNNER(7) T:Henry Daly	147	—	F2-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+1	4.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Bought for £45,000 after finishing second in a 3m Irish point; winner run well since
NR	My Friend Sean Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Lacey	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Lacey	154	t	6	-	-	-	13d	—	—	-3	1	8.00/1	33 3%
Only 13-2 for a bumper here two weeks ago (on good) but was always towards the rear
NR	Fresh Speculation Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Henry Daly	J:NON-RUNNER T:Henry Daly	154	—	6	-	-	-	182d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Lacked the gears to get competitive in a bumper (good)
6	Grandmaster Flash Chestnut J:Conor Ring(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Conor Ring(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	154	p	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
High mileage on the Flat with a record of 3-22 on the AW and 0-15 on turf
3	Beau Nash Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Mitchell Hunt	J:Sean Houlihan T:Mitchell Hunt	154	ht	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	31.00/1	125 1%
Impossible to fancy on what he's shown in three Flat starts for this yard
4	Deadlock Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Alastair Ralph	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Alastair Ralph	154	—	40	-	102	57	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Beaten 16l in a 1m4f AW maiden for this yard and it's been a quiet start over hurdles
13	Tara Vango Bay J:Dylan Whelan(7) T:Jake Thomas Coulson	J:Dylan Whelan(7) T:Jake Thomas Coulson	147	h	6	-	-	-	101d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
66-1 for a Uttoxeter bumper in July and he finished a tailed-off last of six
NR	Molly's Third Man Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Henry Daly	J:NON-RUNNER T:Henry Daly	154	—	4-8	-	-	-	177d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Beaten 40l and 17l in his two bumpers on good to soft ground

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Fiveonefive	8/13	8/13	8/13	8/13	8/13
Johnny Blue	11/4	3	11/4	11/4	11/4
Gaius	7	7	15/2	6	17/2
Omaha Wish	10	9	10	8	8
Muskoka	16	16	16	18	18
Party Vibes	25	22	20	22	22
My Friend Sean	33	22	25	25	25
Fresh Speculation	40	33	40	40	40
Grandmaster Flash	66	40	50	50	66
Beau Nash	125	100	125	100	125
Deadlock	150	125	125	125	125
Tara Vango	250	150	150	150	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fiveonefive

49.9

OR: 19.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 18.7

8/13

2nd

Gaius

25.4

OR: 14.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 3.6

17/2

3rd

Johnny Blue

17.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Omaha Wish

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

Party Vibes

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 1

Muskoka

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

My Friend Sean

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Fresh Speculation

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Grandmaster Flash

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Beau Nash

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125

Deadlock

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Tara Vango

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Molly's Third Man

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fiveonefive	129	133	116
Gaius	107	119	94
Johnny Blue	—	—	—
Omaha Wish	—	119	94
Muskoka	—	—	—
Party Vibes	—	—	—
My Friend Sean	—	—	—
Fresh Speculation	—	—	—
Grandmaster Flash	—	—	—
Beau Nash	—	—	—
Deadlock	—	102	57
Tara Vango	—	—	—
Molly's Third Man	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Deadlock	11d ago	Quick return
My Friend Sean	13d ago	Quick return
Fiveonefive	22d ago	Fit
Omaha Wish	33d ago	Fit
Gaius	38d ago	Fit
Tara Vango	101d ago	Long break
Johnny Blue	156d ago	Long break
Molly's Third Man	177d ago	Long break
Muskoka	179d ago	Long break
Fresh Speculation	182d ago	Long break
Party Vibes	—	—
Grandmaster Flash	—	—
Beau Nash	—	—