Racing TV London Middle Distance Series (Final) Handicap (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)

Kempton (AW)

16:00

Date 2023-11-06

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £41,232

Winning Time 2m 22.56s (slow by 4.66s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Max Mayhem (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Kevin Philippart De Foy	4/1J	Won
2nd	Andaleep (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Daniel & Claire Kubler	16/1	1.25
3rd	Capital Theory (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	6/1	0.1
4th	Liseo (IRE) David Probert · Simon & Ed Crisford	10/1	0.05
5th	Jack Sparowe (IRE) Luke Morris · John Butler	15/2	.5
6th	Maso Bastie (GB) Callum Shepherd · Michael Bell	33/1	.5
7th	Duke Of Oxford (GB) David Egan · Michael Bell	28/1	0.2
8th	Wadacre Gomez (GB) Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	12/1	.5
9th	Tenerife Sunshine (GB) Andrew Mullen · Charlie Johnston	6/1	0.1
10th	Graignes (FR) William Buick · George Baker	4/1J	.75
11th	Savvy Knight (IRE) Robert Havlin · S Woods	10/1	0.3
12th	Civil Law (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Teal	18/1	.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Max Mayhem Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	138	—	-18628	99	111	73	86d	—	—	+6	22.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won good C&D h'cap in April; mixed in 1m4f turf handicaps since; could rate higher on AW
2 (2)	Graignes Bay J:William Buick T:George Baker	J:William Buick T:George Baker	131	ht	112320	92	108	80	37d	—	—	+7	24	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Fair run in the Cambridgeshire; unexposed & progressive on AW; W Buick 1-1 on him
11 (5)	Jack Sparowe Bay J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	114	—	-51513	75	108	61	35d	—	—	+12	21.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
C&D win in September can be upgraded & should win more races; 3lb out of the weights here
4 (6)	Capital Theory Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	126	—	273016	87	108	66	20d	—	—	+9	20.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Four AW wins at other tracks; turf win in September was followed by midfield finish latest
9 (4)	Tenerife Sunshine Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	119	v	17-168	84	109	92	24d	—	—	0	11.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Beat Maso Bastie over C&D on belated reappearance; less good on turf since; visored now
12 (12)	Wadacre Gomez Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	114	—	7V3124	79	105	76	12d	—	—	+10	19.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
No obvious reason he'd reverse C&D form with Jack Sparowe & even that wouldn't be enough
3 (10)	Savvy Knight Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	128	—	814205	89	109	88	35d	—	—	+9	16.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Conditions no problem and feasibly weighted on this year's best; easy lead unlikely today
8 (11)	Liseo Bay J:David Probert T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:David Probert T:Simon & Ed Crisford	120	tp	272214	81	106	85	21d	—	—	+14	20.5	3.75/1	16 6%
AW winner in September (1m2f) and ran well enough on turf latest; improvement required
6 (3)	Andaleep Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	122	t	214086	83	106	89	40d	—	—	+5	12.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Much lower mark on AW than turf but he's 0-17 in this sphere; others are more appealing
5 (9)	Civil Law Grey J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Teal	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Teal	124	—	544945	85	110	86	45d	—	—	+6	10	4.75/1	20 5%
Not beaten far on last AW run but form dipped on turf latest; others stronger for the win
10 (8)	Duke Of Oxford Bay J:David Egan T:Michael Bell	J:David Egan T:Michael Bell	118	t	114039	83	107	91	19d	—	—	+9	13.4	5.25/1	22 5%
Won first two starts but subsequent efforts more miss than hit; now tried in a tongue-tie
7 (1)	Maso Bastie Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	120	b	-13920	85	107	97	40d	—	—	+12	16.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Won 2 of his 7 runs for J Fanshawe; sold 37,000gns since latest start; new headgear today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Max Mayhem	4/1	7/2	9/2	4	4
Graignes	4	4	5/1	9/2	4
Jack Sparowe	7/1	7/1	15/2	8	15/2
Capital Theory	15/2	7	8/1	11/2	7
Tenerife Sunshine	7	7	13/2	7	15/2
Wadacre Gomez	9	8	17/2	7	8/1
Savvy Knight	12	11	11	12	11
Liseo	14	12	12	16	14
Andaleep	14	14	11	14	14
Civil Law	20	18	18	16	18
Duke Of Oxford	22	20	18/1	22	22
Maso Bastie	22	20	18/1	20	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Graignes

OR: 10.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

5/1

2nd

Max Mayhem

22.8

OR: 12.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Jack Sparowe

21.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 13 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Capital Theory

20.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Liseo

20.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 11 Odds: 1.7

Wadacre Gomez

19.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 9.4 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Savvy Knight

16.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.9

Maso Bastie

16.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 6.4 Odds: 1.1

Duke Of Oxford

13.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.1

Andaleep

12.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 2 Odds: 1.9

Tenerife Sunshine

11.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Civil Law

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Max Mayhem	99	111	73
Graignes	92	108	80
Savvy Knight	89	109	88
Capital Theory	87	108	66
Civil Law	85	110	86
Maso Bastie	85	107	97
Tenerife Sunshine	84	109	92
Andaleep	83	106	89
Duke Of Oxford	83	107	91
Liseo	81	106	85
Wadacre Gomez	79	105	76
Jack Sparowe	75	108	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wadacre Gomez	12d ago	Quick return
Duke Of Oxford	19d ago	Fit
Capital Theory	20d ago	Fit
Liseo	21d ago	Fit
Tenerife Sunshine	24d ago	Fit
Jack Sparowe	35d ago	Fit
Savvy Knight	35d ago	Fit
Graignes	37d ago	Fit
Andaleep	40d ago	Fit
Maso Bastie	40d ago	Fit
Civil Law	45d ago	Fit
Max Mayhem	86d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Graignes	Mid-Pack
Capital Theory	Mid-Pack
Jack Sparowe	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.