Racing TV Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

13:30

Racing TV Handicap

Date 2023-11-06

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (4)	Island Of Skye Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	133	b	263323	57	71	63	12d	—	—	-6	17.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
C&D winner; threatening in four runs for new stable; change of headgear today
6 (1)	Wake Up Harry Bay J:J F Egan T:Simon Dow	J:J F Egan T:Simon Dow	135	—	426008	59	75	44	19d	—	—	-14	10.5	0.50/1	3 33%
On a dangerous mark and more promise here last month; should be winning soon
7 (6)	Curtiz Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Hughie Morrison	J:Rossa Ryan T:Hughie Morrison	134	—	3356-5	58	78	35	19d	—	—	-14	8.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Promising return from a year off here last month; well handicapped; leading contender
1 (7)	Glory Sky Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	137	—	186564	63	70	63	16d	—	—	-8	7.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
7f winner here in May; consistent rather than progressive since; each-way shout
3 (5)	Jumeira Vision Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	136	—	578	62	69	45	27d	—	—	0	4.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Faces a more realistic task now handicapping but not obviously thrown in
5 (10)	Dourado Bay J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	135	v	171587	59	72	35	19d	—	—	+2	6.5	4.25/1	18 6%
C&D winner in May and also won at Windsor in July; midfield over C&D latest; others safer
2 (3)	Dynakite Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Lee Carter	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Lee Carter	137	—	124010	61	69	61	105d	—	—	+8	11.6	6.75/1	28 4%
All four wins have come over C&D; can go well after a break; still on a handy mark
8 (11)	Roar Emotion Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	134	b	V00600	60	70	49	19d	—	—	+1	3.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
C&D winner off 7lb higher in April; struggled badly since; new headgear now tried
11 (2)	Adaayinourlife Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Mark Usher	J:Joe Fanning T:Mark Usher	122	—	050488	46	68	42	110d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
This summer's best efforts have come over much further; opposable over 1m after a break
4 (9)	Evasive Power Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Robyn Brisland	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Robyn Brisland	136	—	774510	60	69	53	19d	—	—	+8	10.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Followed 7f win at Brighton with modest C&D effort 19 days ago; needs a quick bounce back
10 (8)	Red Dwarf Chestnut J:David Egan T:John Butler	J:David Egan T:John Butler	132	—	3/33-8	56	69	49	14d	—	—	+1	3.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Should come on for recent return from long absence; worth a market check

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Island Of Skye	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Wake Up Harry	3	3	3	3	3
Curtiz	3	11/4	3	3	11/4
Glory Sky	5	9/2	4/1	9/2	5
Jumeira Vision	22	22	22	22	22
Dourado	18	16	16	16	16/1
Dynakite	28	28	22/1	28	28
Roar Emotion	33	33	33/1	33	33
Adaayinourlife	33	33	40	33	33
Evasive Power	33	33	28	33	33
Red Dwarf	40	40	50	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Island Of Skye

17.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 8.9 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Dynakite

11.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 8 Odds: 0.9

3rd

Wake Up Harry

10.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 1 Odds: 7.3

Evasive Power

10.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

Curtiz

8.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Glory Sky

7.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Dourado

6.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

Jumeira Vision

4.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Red Dwarf

3.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

Roar Emotion

3.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Adaayinourlife

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Glory Sky	63	70	63
Jumeira Vision	62	69	45
Dynakite	61	69	61
Roar Emotion	60	70	49
Evasive Power	60	69	53
Wake Up Harry	59	75	44
Dourado	59	72	35
Curtiz	58	78	35
Island Of Skye	57	71	63
Red Dwarf	56	69	49
Adaayinourlife	46	68	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Island Of Skye	12d ago	Quick return
Red Dwarf	14d ago	Fit
Glory Sky	16d ago	Fit
Wake Up Harry	19d ago	Fit
Curtiz	19d ago	Fit
Dourado	19d ago	Fit
Roar Emotion	19d ago	Fit
Evasive Power	19d ago	Fit
Jumeira Vision	27d ago	Fit
Dynakite	105d ago	Long break
Adaayinourlife	110d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.