NAF Racing Best Turned Out League "National Hunt" Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II)

Hereford

13:50

Date 2023-11-06

Distance 2m3f147y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Baltray Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	158	—	3-2	-	121	51	30d	—	—	-27	25.1	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Clear second on his switch to hurdling at Fontwell (2m3f, good) and the winner is useful
9	Saxons Lane Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Alan King	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Alan King	157	—	7-	-	-	-	233d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Seventh of 17 in a soft-ground bumper at Kempton, having weakened up the straight.
4	Saint Jaguen Bay J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	158	t	5-433	96	111	98	92d	—	—	+2	15.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Clearly no budding star but this longer trip should bring him on
2	Divilskin Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	158	t	145-P	-	-	-	25d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Hopes pinned on the longer trip and/or tongue-tie making a difference
NR	Strackan Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Henry Daly	J:NON-RUNNER T:Henry Daly	157	—	4-	-	-	-	221d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Stoutly bred and did well to be beaten only 10l in a Warwick bumper
8	Black Occ Brown J:Sean Houlihan T:Sheila Lewis	J:Sean Houlihan T:Sheila Lewis	157	—	242	102	105	55	33d	0W/1P 1 run	—	+16	22.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Should be better for going up in trip but others appeal more
NR	Illogical Logic Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Christian Williams	J:NON-RUNNER T:Christian Williams	158	—	34-6	-	91	21	24d	—	—	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
Returned last month and he was beaten 25l in a Chepstow novice when 40-1
5	Uncle Mac Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	158	—	F67-	-	-	-	246d	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
At 11-1, he was pretty much tailed off in a Huntingdon bumper
NR	Ballynaheer Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David Dennis	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Dennis	157	—	U2-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+2	4.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Close second in a 2m5f British point (good) and the winner is now with Dan Skelton
NR	Wexford Park Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Gary Hanmer	J:NON-RUNNER T:Gary Hanmer	158	—	33-8	-	-	-	33d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Loose before the race and ended up tailed off in a soft-ground bumper at Bangor
11	Conniegetaway Chestnut J:Max Kendrick T:Jake Thomas Coulson	J:Max Kendrick T:Jake Thomas Coulson	150	—	025	-	-	-	142d	—	—	+3	3.7	99.75/1	400 0%
Second in a Southwell bumper that lacked any depth and ended up well beaten at Uttoxeter
12	Mo Zola Bay J:Lee Edwards T:Belinda Clarke	J:Lee Edwards T:Belinda Clarke	150	h	1-P	-	-	-	11d	—	—	+5	5.7	37.25/1	150 1%
In trouble a good way out before pulling up on her switch to hurdling at Ludlow (125-1)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Baltray	8/11	4/6	8/11	4/6	8/13
Saxons Lane	5	9/2	11/2	9/2	5
Saint Jaguen	5	5	9/2	5	5
Divilskin	7	15/2	7	7	15/2
Strackan	10	9	11	9	10
Black Occ	16	14	12	14	16
Illogical Logic	25	25	28	25	25
Uncle Mac	22	22	22	22	25
Ballynaheer	33	33	28	33	33
Wexford Park	50	50	50	50	50
Conniegetaway	400	150	125	150	150
Mo Zola	150	150	125	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Baltray

25.1

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 18

8/11

2nd

Black Occ

22.1

OR: 13 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.6

3rd

Saint Jaguen

15.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Mo Zola

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0.2

150

Ballynaheer

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 0.7

Saxons Lane

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Conniegetaway

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.2

400

Divilskin

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Strackan

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Illogical Logic

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Uncle Mac

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Wexford Park

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Black Occ	102	105	55
Saint Jaguen	96	111	98
Baltray	—	121	51
Saxons Lane	—	—	—
Divilskin	—	—	—
Strackan	—	—	—
Illogical Logic	—	91	21
Uncle Mac	—	—	—
Ballynaheer	—	—	—
Wexford Park	—	—	—
Conniegetaway	—	—	—
Mo Zola	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mo Zola	11d ago	Quick return
Illogical Logic	24d ago	Fit
Divilskin	25d ago	Fit
Baltray	30d ago	Fit
Black Occ	33d ago	Fit
Wexford Park	33d ago	Fit
Saint Jaguen	92d ago	Long break
Conniegetaway	142d ago	Long break
Strackan	221d ago	Long break
Saxons Lane	233d ago	Long break
Uncle Mac	246d ago	Long break
Ballynaheer	—	—