Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle (IRE Incentive Race)

Clonmel

13:05

Date 2023-11-09

Distance 2m80y

Class

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Theatre Native Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	159	—	F4-	-	-	-	215d	—	—	-37	20	0.14/1	4/7 64%
Should have won a point' and 8l 4th in a Listed bumper on rules debut; should go close
1	Any Road Bay J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:E J O'Grady	J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:E J O'Grady	166	—	4242-6	-	-	-	191d	—	—	-12	5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Consistent in defeat in bumpers until running a poor race when last seen; be involved
12	Purse Price Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	155	tp	234-74	104	123	90	25d	—	—	+6	16.6	1.25/1	6 17%
Has run well in defeat a number of times over hurdles; below form on her last three runs
11	Pampar Lady Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	155	h	-4628F	-	124	100	21d	—	—	-5	3.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Was 2nd on hurdling debut and was still in with a chance when fell two out at Thurles
7	Roccovango Brown J:Keith Donoghue T:M M Lynch	J:Keith Donoghue T:M M Lynch	162	—	/0353-	-	113	71	242d	—	—	-1	6.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ability in bumpers and UK novice hurdles; could run well back with original trainer
6	On Lovers Walk Bay J:J J Slevin T:Gerard Kelleher	J:J J Slevin T:Gerard Kelleher	162	—	5411-3	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	4.9	4.25/1	18 6%
A dual point' winner from 9 starts in that sphere; has to step up making hurdles debut
3	Mount Frisco Bay J:Philip Donovan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Philip Donovan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	164	—	335589	-	99	71	25d	—	—	-1	1.1	16.25/1	66 2%
Hasn't gone on from his 3rd in a Sligo maiden hurdle in August; plenty to find
4	Safran Et Bleu b/br J:Jack Doyle T:P M J Doyle	J:Jack Doyle T:P M J Doyle	164	—	5	-	84	38	12d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Beaten 28l on debut at Galway and will have to improve plenty from that
10	La Tene Bay J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	155	—	—	-	99	-	18d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Beaten 23l on recent debut at Limerick and will have to improve plenty
5	Coulrophobia Chestnut J:Michael O'Sullivan T:N Stokes	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:N Stokes	162	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Cost 6,000Euros as a 3yo; best watched unless the market suggests otherwise
2	Captain Dillon Grey J:Richard Deegan T:S Curling	J:Richard Deegan T:S Curling	164	—	0-7	-	14	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Tailed-off in two maiden hurdles and can't be fancied
9	Bridie Whittle Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Robert Tyner	J:Phillip Enright T:Robert Tyner	155	—	80	-	72	57	25d	—	—	-1	0.2	74.75/1	300 0%
Never involved in two maiden hurdles and has loads to find

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Theatre Native	4/7	8/15	1/2	4/7	1/2
Any Road	6	11/2	6	6	6
Purse Price	6	6	6	6	6
Pampar Lady	10/1	17/2	8	8	8
Roccovango	12/1	11	11	11	10
On Lovers Walk	10/1	14	16	14	18
Mount Frisco	66	50	50	50	66
Safran Et Bleu	100	80	80	80	66
La Tene	150	100	100	100	100
Coulrophobia	200	125	125	125	66
Captain Dillon	300/1	150	150	150	200
Bridie Whittle	300	150	150	150	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Theatre Native

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

4/7

2nd

Purse Price

16.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

3rd

Roccovango

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Any Road

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

11/2

On Lovers Walk

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

Pampar Lady

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Mount Frisco

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.5

Safran Et Bleu

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

La Tene

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Coulrophobia

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Captain Dillon

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Bridie Whittle

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Purse Price	104	123	90
Theatre Native	—	—	—
Any Road	—	—	—
Pampar Lady	—	124	100
Roccovango	—	113	71
On Lovers Walk	—	—	—
Mount Frisco	—	99	71
Safran Et Bleu	—	84	38
La Tene	—	99	—
Coulrophobia	—	—	—
Captain Dillon	—	14	—
Bridie Whittle	—	72	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Safran Et Bleu	12d ago	Quick return
Captain Dillon	12d ago	Quick return
La Tene	18d ago	Fit
Pampar Lady	21d ago	Fit
Purse Price	25d ago	Fit
Mount Frisco	25d ago	Fit
Bridie Whittle	25d ago	Fit
Any Road	191d ago	Long break
Theatre Native	215d ago	Long break
Roccovango	242d ago	Long break
On Lovers Walk	—	—
Coulrophobia	—	—