Newcastle (AW)

18:50

Build Your Acca With BetUK Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-11-10
Distance 6f
Class Class 4
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £4,868

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (3)
Bellagio Man
Bay
J:Mr Kevin Skelton(5)
T:Antony Brittain
J:Mr Kevin Skelton(5)
T:Antony Brittain
156 p 358014
80
70
52
17d +2
19.7
0.88/1
7/2
22%
2 C&D wins & did well to finish as close as he did having made a mess of the start latest
4 (10)
Gold Medal
Bay
J:Mr Fletcher Yarham(3)
T:Dylan Cunha
J:Mr Fletcher Yarham(3)
T:Dylan Cunha
151 119666
75
74
62
21d -3
12.7
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Two AW wins in the spring; sharper for recent run and good amateur booked; shortlisted
2 (2)
Fortamour
Bay
J:Miss Brodie Hampson
T:Ben Haslam
J:Miss Brodie Hampson
T:Ben Haslam
155 027104
79
72
-
20d +5
16.6
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Two course wins; only 2lb higher than for September's Ripon win but others appeal more
9 (9)
Trilby
Bay
J:Mr Jack Nicholls(5)
T:Sam England
J:Mr Jack Nicholls(5)
T:Sam England
144 -46462
68
70
51
32d +2
12.4
1.50/1
7
14%
0-8 but the ease with which he made up ground when second last month bodes well
6 (1)
Beauty Choice
Bay
J:Miss Serena Brotherton
T:Michael & David Easterby
J:Miss Serena Brotherton
T:Michael & David Easterby
148 v 562315
72
72
63
13d +6
19.1
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Two Tapeta wins to his name and scored on turf last month; chance back on AW
8 (6)
Sacred Falls
Bay
J:Mr Eireann Cagney
T:Katie Scott
J:Mr Eireann Cagney
T:Katie Scott
146 222212
70
73
-
21d +14
25.3
1.75/1
7/1
13%
Progressing steadily and the best could still be to come; good amateur booked; contender
3 (8)
Dickieburd
Bay
J:Miss Pippa Brown(5)
T:Craig Lidster
J:Miss Pippa Brown(5)
T:Craig Lidster
154 016846
78
72
-
20d +3
11.5
2.50/1
11
9%
Came from well back to win at Catterick (5f, good) in August; less good since; 6f a query
5 (4)
Glendown
Bay
J:Mrs Emily Roberts
T:Tim Easterby
J:Mrs Emily Roberts
T:Tim Easterby
149 p 542141
73
71
-
21d +16
24.6
2.75/1
12
8%
Won two of his last three and latest win franked since; should handle AW; respected
7 (7)
Sibyl Charm
Bay
J:Mr Dominic Hislop(5)
T:Iain Jardine
J:Mr Dominic Hislop(5)
T:Iain Jardine
146 -73306
70
72
-
25d +2
9.5
3.25/1
14
7%
Chance on her Irish form and her jockey has made a fine start to his career; not dismissed
10 (5)
Athollblair Boy
Chestnut
J:Miss Alice Cooke(7)
T:Nigel Tinkler
J:Miss Alice Cooke(7)
T:Nigel Tinkler
142 851590
66
70
50
10d +4
8
6.00/1
25
4%
Conditions ideal and sharper for latest run; should give inexperienced amateur a good spin
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Bellagio Man
4 7/2 7/2 7/2 4
Gold Medal
5 9/2 4 9/2 9/2
Fortamour
15/2 6 13/2 6 6
Trilby
7 7 7 7 7
Beauty Choice
13/2 6 11/2 6 11/2
Sacred Falls
6 13/2 13/2 13/2 7/1
Dickieburd
11 10 9 10 10
Glendown
9 11 11 10 12
Sibyl Charm
10 12 12 11/1 14
Athollblair Boy
20 25 22 22 25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Sacred Falls
25.3
OR: 5 Form: 17 Odds: 3.3
7/1
2nd Glendown
24.6
OR: 5.8 Form: 16.5 Odds: 2.4
12
3rd Bellagio Man
19.7
OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2
7/2
4 Beauty Choice
19.1
OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6
13/2
5 Fortamour
16.6
OR: 7.3 Form: 6 Odds: 3.3
15/2
6 Gold Medal
12.7
OR: 6.3 Form: 2 Odds: 4.4
9/2
7 Trilby
12.4
OR: 4.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9
7
8 Dickieburd
11.5
OR: 7 Form: 2 Odds: 2.5
11
9 Sibyl Charm
9.5
OR: 5 Form: 2.4 Odds: 2.1
14
10 Athollblair Boy
8
OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 1
25

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Bellagio Man
80
70
52
Fortamour
79
72
Dickieburd
78
72
Gold Medal
75
74
62
Glendown
73
71
Beauty Choice
72
72
63
Sacred Falls
70
73
Sibyl Charm
70
72
Trilby
68
70
51
Athollblair Boy
66
70
50

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Athollblair Boy 10d ago Quick return
Beauty Choice 13d ago Quick return
Bellagio Man 17d ago Fit
Fortamour 20d ago Fit
Dickieburd 20d ago Fit
Gold Medal 21d ago Fit
Sacred Falls 21d ago Fit
Glendown 21d ago Fit
Sibyl Charm 25d ago Fit
Trilby 32d ago Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.