Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:20

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap

Date 2023-11-10

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Capuchinero Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	142	t	740551	69	77	48	6d	—	—	-5	23.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Value for a bit more than the winning margin at Chelmsford last Saturday; respected
5 (11)	Haworth Star Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	136	—	55703	64	72	65	20d	—	—	-7	12.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Improved effort at Wolverhampton (AW debut) last time; enters calculations
8 (10)	Bella Kopella Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	134	t	193752	62	79	66	10d	—	—	0	12.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Close second over 6f here last week; has form figures of 1213 over C&D; solid chance
10 (7)	Bobby Joe Leg Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	131	—	236584	58	76	69	7d	—	—	-5	5.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Multiple AW winner but is 0-14 this term; likely set for minor honours at best
2 (6)	Russco Bay J:Luke Morris T:Ann Duffield	J:Luke Morris T:Ann Duffield	138	b	0-7794	65	73	48	20d	—	—	-5	7.1	1.75/1	8 13%
Possibilities off current mark provided he takes well to first-time blinkers
4 (9)	Comedian Leader Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	J:Billy Loughnane T:Gay Kelleway	137	tp	073899	65	81	58	54d	—	—	-2	7.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has persuasive stats, being 2-4 under Billy Loughnane and 4-7 in Class 6; appealing
3 (1)	Pink Parfait Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	138	—	16-330	65	76	66	10d	—	—	-1	5.5	4.25/1	18 6%
Still has low mileage but needs to bounce back from a poor effort here last week
7 (3)	Swinging Eddie Bay J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	135	—	7-3174	62	75	58	153d	—	—	0	4.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Interesting on return from layoff, having scored twice when fresh
6 (8)	Plink Bay J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	136	—	574	64	66	-	24d	—	—	+1	4.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Ex-William Haggas; progress is possible at this level on stable/handicap debut
9 (2)	Turbo Command Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	134	—	642375	61	71	-	54d	—	—	+4	6.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Return to AW looks a plus but would have been more appealing at Southwell
11 (4)	Broomy Law Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	119	—	488907	46	64	54	17d	—	—	-1	0.5	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Longstanding maiden; holds very weak claims on 2023 form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Capuchinero	2	2	2	15/8	2/1
Haworth Star	7/2	4	7/2	7/2	7/2
Bella Kopella	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Bobby Joe Leg	13/2	7	6	7	7/1
Russco	8	7	7	7	7
Comedian Leader	17/2	8	17/2	8	17/2
Pink Parfait	18	14	11	12	14/1
Swinging Eddie	20	22	22	22	22
Plink	33	28	28	28	28
Turbo Command	66	50	50	50	40/1
Broomy Law	100	100	125	100	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Capuchinero

23.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Haworth Star

12.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Bella Kopella

12.2

OR: 3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Comedian Leader

7.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Russco

7.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Turbo Command

6.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

Bobby Joe Leg

5.7

OR: 2 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Pink Parfait

5.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Plink

4.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Swinging Eddie

4.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Broomy Law

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Capuchinero	69	77	48
Russco	65	73	48
Comedian Leader	65	81	58
Pink Parfait	65	76	66
Haworth Star	64	72	65
Plink	64	66	—
Bella Kopella	62	79	66
Swinging Eddie	62	75	58
Turbo Command	61	71	—
Bobby Joe Leg	58	76	69
Broomy Law	46	64	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Capuchinero	6d ago	Quick return
Bobby Joe Leg	7d ago	Quick return
Bella Kopella	10d ago	Quick return
Pink Parfait	10d ago	Quick return
Broomy Law	17d ago	Fit
Haworth Star	20d ago	Fit
Russco	20d ago	Fit
Plink	24d ago	Fit
Comedian Leader	54d ago	Fresh
Turbo Command	54d ago	Fresh
Swinging Eddie	153d ago	Long break