Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

12:45

Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap

Date 2023-11-10

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (1)	Street Parade Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Attwater	J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Attwater	128	p	678234	53	71	58	8d	—	—	-13	13.4	0.25/1	2 50%
C&D winner off 10lb higher last November; more promising signs of late; considered
3 (2)	Stay Smart Bay J:David Probert T:Mark Loughnane	J:David Probert T:Mark Loughnane	133	t	221343	58	74	55	17d	—	—	-4	16.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
On a handy mark and ran well on recent stable debut; leading contender
2 (3)	Man On A Mission Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:Kieran Shoemark T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	134	p	207856	59	72	67	5d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-12	8	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Thrown in on last winter's AW form but yet to get going this autumn; others are safer
1 (7)	Josies Kid Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	137	p	036123	62	73	62	13d	—	—	+2	20.5	0.75/1	4 25%
Two promising efforts back from a summer break and more appealing than many
4 (6)	Triple Jaye Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Charlie Wallis	J:Darragh Keenan T:Charlie Wallis	131	hp	648033	56	71	43	31d	—	—	+3	7.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Fair third at Southwell latest; sold 2,000gns last month; dangerous mark on stable debut
7 (5)	Arzaak Brown J:Marco Ghiani T:Charlie Wallis	J:Marco Ghiani T:Charlie Wallis	121	p	324835	46	72	38	45d	—	—	0	4.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Over three years since his last win; retains minor ability but others look stronger today
5 (4)	Jacquelina Bay J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil McEntee	J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil McEntee	129	—	224457	54	71	42	8d	—	—	-1	3.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Not at her absolute peak in two C&D runs back from a short break; needs to raise her game

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Street Parade	2	2	2	2	2
Stay Smart	3	3	3/1	3	3
Man On A Mission	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Josies Kid	4	4	4	4	4
Triple Jaye	20	18	18	18	18
Arzaak	25	22	22	22	22
Jacquelina	25	22	22	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Josies Kid

20.5

OR: 3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 5.4

2nd

Stay Smart

16.7

OR: 2 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.2

3/1

3rd

Street Parade

13.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 4.6 Odds: 8

Man On A Mission

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Triple Jaye

7.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.2

Arzaak

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.1

Jacquelina

3.1

OR: 1 Form: 1 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Josies Kid	62	73	62
Man On A Mission	59	72	67
Stay Smart	58	74	55
Triple Jaye	56	71	43
Jacquelina	54	71	42
Street Parade	53	71	58
Arzaak	46	72	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Man On A Mission	5d ago	Quick return
Street Parade	8d ago	Quick return
Jacquelina	8d ago	Quick return
Josies Kid	13d ago	Quick return
Stay Smart	17d ago	Fit
Triple Jaye	31d ago	Fit
Arzaak	45d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Jacquelina	Front Runner
Stay Smart	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 7 runners classified.