Join The Harry Fry Racing Syndicate Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Wincanton

16:10

Date 2023-11-11

Distance 1m7f50y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize £2,722

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Roman Roy Brown J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	156	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Described as a "big, scopey chasing sort" by his trainer who wins plenty of bumpers here
1	Horaces Pearl Bay J:Connor Brace T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Connor Brace T:Fergal O'Brien	163	—	1-	-	109	83	209d	—	—	-3	15.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Beat a good horse here in April and not without hope of defying a penalty
2	Baskerville Chestnut J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	156	—	2	-	113	39	72d	—	—	-3	8.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Clear of the remainder when finishing second at Stratford in August
NR	Kattegat Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Dan Skelton	J:NON-RUNNER T:Dan Skelton	149	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-50	20	2.25/1	10 10%
Non-runner
7	Mr Monopoly Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Fifth foal; dam unraced half-sister to 11.7f Flat/2m hurdle winner Sonapour
4	George Henry Bay J:Miss Olive Nicholls(7) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Miss Olive Nicholls(7) T:Paul Nicholls	156	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	10 10%
£60,000 3yo; the stable second string according to jockey bookings
11	Saint Anapolino Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	156	—	1-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+4	12.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Winner of a point bumper on good ground in March; since joined a top yard
14	Windsurfer Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:Ben Case	J:Jack Quinlan T:Ben Case	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Half-brother to bumper winner Baby Sage; stable only 1-31 in bumpers recent seasons
10	Roysse Bay J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	156	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	3.75/1	16 6%
75,000euros 3yo; fourth foal; brother to 2m4f hurdle winner Rattle Owl
18	Oneandahalfdegrees Chestnut J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	149	—	5-	-	107	82	219d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.75/1	20 5%
8-1 at Hereford in April when soon outpaced once the tempo increased
12	Solstice Saint Bay J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Anthony Honeyball	156	—	5	-	102	41	187d	—	—	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
Beaten 13l at Worcester but it wasn't a bad race and he was one of the favourites
3	Don Occhetti Bay J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
Third foal; half-brother to 2m3f hurdle winner The Street; dam placed 6f
15	Elusiveness Brown J:Rex Dingle T:Jeremy Scott	J:Rex Dingle T:Jeremy Scott	149	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	6.00/1	25 4%
Half-sister by Elusive Pimpernel to a Group 3 winner on the Flat at around 1m2f
8	Nelson's Shadow Grey J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Fifth foal; brother to 2m hurdle winner Nelson's Touch
17	Marooned Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Keiran Burke	J:Adam Wedge T:Keiran Burke	149	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Half-sister to 2m1f-2m4f hurdle winner Soul Icon; yard 1-24 in bumpers recent seasons
13	Stardhem Bay J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Ben Pauling	J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Ben Pauling	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
First foal; dam unraced half-sister to 2m4 chase winner Enemenemynemo
6	Maximum Effort Brown J:James Davies T:Noel Williams	J:James Davies T:Noel Williams	156	—	9-	-	102	26	198d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Showed a little bit when midfield at Warwick in April; could improve
5	Illico De Montave Grey J:Ben Poste T:Tom Weston	J:Ben Poste T:Tom Weston	156	—	7-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Tailed off in a 2m4f point at Larkhill a year ago and can be readily opposed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Roman Roy	7/2	7/2	10/3	3	10/3
Horaces Pearl	9/2	9/2	7/2	10/3	4
Baskerville	6	6	11/2	11/2	11/2
Kattegat	10	SP	SP	SP	SP
Mr Monopoly	7	7	6	13/2	13/2
George Henry	10	9	17/2	9	17/2
Saint Anapolino	10	12	11	10	11
Windsurfer	12	12	12	12	14
Roysse	14	14	11	12	16
Oneandahalfdegrees	20	18	14	18	18
Solstice Saint	25	28	20	25	25
Don Occhetti	25	25	20	25	25
Elusiveness	25	22	20	20	25
Nelson's Shadow	50	50	50	40	40
Marooned	50	50	50	50	33
Stardhem	40	40	40	40	40
Maximum Effort	66	66	66	66	50
Illico De Montave	100	100	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kattegat

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Horaces Pearl

15.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Saint Anapolino

12.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

Baskerville

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Roman Roy

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Mr Monopoly

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

George Henry

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Windsurfer

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Roysse

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Oneandahalfdegrees

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Elusiveness

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Solstice Saint

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Don Occhetti

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Nelson's Shadow

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Marooned

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Stardhem

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Maximum Effort

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Illico De Montave

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Roman Roy	—	—	—
Horaces Pearl	—	109	83
Baskerville	—	113	39
Kattegat	—	—	—
Mr Monopoly	—	—	—
George Henry	—	—	—
Saint Anapolino	—	—	—
Windsurfer	—	—	—
Roysse	—	—	—
Oneandahalfdegrees	—	107	82
Solstice Saint	—	102	41
Don Occhetti	—	—	—
Elusiveness	—	—	—
Nelson's Shadow	—	—	—
Marooned	—	—	—
Stardhem	—	—	—
Maximum Effort	—	102	26
Illico De Montave	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Baskerville	72d ago	Fresh
Solstice Saint	187d ago	Long break
Maximum Effort	198d ago	Long break
Horaces Pearl	209d ago	Long break
Oneandahalfdegrees	219d ago	Long break
Roman Roy	—	—
Kattegat	—	—
Mr Monopoly	—	—
George Henry	—	—
Saint Anapolino	—	—
Windsurfer	—	—
Roysse	—	—
Don Occhetti	—	—
Elusiveness	—	—
Nelson's Shadow	—	—
Marooned	—	—
Stardhem	—	—
Illico De Montave	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Solstice Saint	Prominent
Maximum Effort	Mid-Pack
Baskerville	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 18 runners classified.