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Taunton

15:33

Date 2023-11-16

Distance 2m7f3y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,624

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11	Justshortofabubble Bay J:Ben Jones T:Grace Harris	J:Ben Jones T:Grace Harris	155	tp	123214	87	102	90	14d	—	—	+10	25.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won at Bangor (3m, soft) last month but was vulnerable in his follow-up bid at Stratford
NR	Meechlands Magic b/br J:Harry Reed T:Debra Hamer	J:Harry Reed T:Debra Hamer	153	p	4-491U	85	102	72	30d	—	—	-4	13.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
10l win at Worcester last month and he was hampered when unseating last time; key player
10	Getthepot Bay J:Bryony Frost T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	J:Bryony Frost T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	161	tp	-5P6P2	93	110	54	35d	—	—	+6	17.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Runner-up back over fences at Exeter and has possibilities on this step back up in trip
15	Seymour Promise Bay J:Freddie Gingell(7) T:Joe Tizzard	J:Freddie Gingell(7) T:Joe Tizzard	153	t	7-52P0	85	109	96	86d	—	—	0	12.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
16-race maiden and he needs to get back on track after wind surgery
NR	My Bad Lucy Bay J:James Davies T:Nick Gifford	J:James Davies T:Nick Gifford	162	—	36141-	94	106	96	203d	—	—	+11	33.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won two of his final three starts last term and he's open to more progress this season
9	Catuaba Chestnut J:James Best T:Charlie Longsdon	J:James Best T:Charlie Longsdon	161	—	9-1F43	93	-	-	17d	—	—	+3	13.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Held in his last two runs over hurdles and he needs to find more on this switch to fences
16	Time To Bite Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	151	—	3323-3	83	109	98	38d	—	—	+4	14.1	1.75/1	8 13%
Overall record of 0-32 but he's reached the frame in last five chase runs; not ruled out
3	Lock Out Bay J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	166	tp	4334-5	98	98	81	18d	—	—	+5	14.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Unexposed chaser but he's not progressed under rules and needs more at this new trip
12	Cobra Commander Bay J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Tom Symonds	J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Tom Symonds	154	—	P4-6V3	86	109	88	23d	—	—	+3	11.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Two chase wins in April 2022 but he hasn't matched that form since; needs to step up
7	Malinas Island Chestnut J:Brendan Powell T:Neil Mulholland	J:Brendan Powell T:Neil Mulholland	162	t	12124/	94	-	-	604d	—	—	+19	24.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Dual hurdle winner but he's been off for 604 days and looks opposable on his chase debut
8	Delgany Monarch Chestnut J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Richard Rowe	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Richard Rowe	162	—	64321-	94	106	87	220d	—	—	+22	27.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Easy win over 3m1f in final run last term; big player if he can pick up where he left off
2	Dindin Bay J:Gearoid Harney(7) T:David Pipe	J:Gearoid Harney(7) T:David Pipe	167	tb	524P26	99	107	88	21d	—	—	+13	17.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Two chase wins this year but he's not easy to predict and comes with risks attached
1	Midnight Glance Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Alan King	J:Tom Bellamy T:Alan King	168	v	25-56P	100	102	-	30d	—	—	+9	13.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Won at Exeter last November but he's lost his way since and needs a major turnaround
14	Barrowmount Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	153	—	8F3-46	85	-	-	38d	—	—	+6	10	4.75/1	20 5%
Struggled in both previous runs over fences and sole hurdle win was in May 2021; opposable
6	William Philo Chestnut J:Gavin Sheehan T:Ben Lund	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Ben Lund	162	—	F2331-	94	104	65	226d	—	—	+23	27	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won at Fontwell in April, despite jumping left throughout; up 2lb on his stable debut
4	Dreamsundermyfeet Brown J:Adam Wedge T:Martin Keighley	J:Adam Wedge T:Martin Keighley	163	p	323P-5	95	107	90	74d	—	—	+9	12.1	6.75/1	28 4%
On dangerous mark but he's been out of sorts in last two runs and needs a major revival

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Justshortofabubble	9/2	4	4	4	4
Meechlands Magic	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	SP
Getthepot	13/2	13/2	6	6/1	6
Seymour Promise	7	13/2	7	7	7
My Bad Lucy	8	17/2	17/2	9	9
Catuaba	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Time To Bite	8	8	8	8	8
Lock Out	17/2	8	17/2	17/2	8
Cobra Commander	8	9	9	9	9
Malinas Island	14	14	14	14	16
Delgany Monarch	16	14/1	14	14/1	16
Dindin	20	18	18	18	20
Midnight Glance	20	18	18	18	20
Barrowmount	20	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
William Philo	18	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Dreamsundermyfeet	28	25	25	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

My Bad Lucy

33.3

OR: 11 Form: 15.6 Odds: 6.7

17/2

2nd

Delgany Monarch

27.6

OR: 11 Form: 15 Odds: 1.6

3rd

William Philo

OR: 11 Form: 14.8 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Justshortofabubble

25.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 11.4 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Malinas Island

24.6

OR: 11 Form: 12 Odds: 1.6

Getthepot

17.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Dindin

17.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 3.8 Odds: 1.1

Lock Out

14.7

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Time To Bite

14.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

Meechlands Magic

13.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.1

11/2

Catuaba

13.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Midnight Glance

13.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Seymour Promise

12.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Dreamsundermyfeet

12.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Cobra Commander

11.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Barrowmount

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Midnight Glance	100	102	—
Dindin	99	107	88
Lock Out	98	98	81
Dreamsundermyfeet	95	107	90
My Bad Lucy	94	106	96
Malinas Island	94	—	—
Delgany Monarch	94	106	87
William Philo	94	104	65
Getthepot	93	110	54
Catuaba	93	—	—
Justshortofabubble	87	102	90
Cobra Commander	86	109	88
Meechlands Magic	85	102	72
Seymour Promise	85	109	96
Barrowmount	85	—	—
Time To Bite	83	109	98

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Justshortofabubble	14d ago	Fit
Catuaba	17d ago	Fit
Lock Out	18d ago	Fit
Dindin	21d ago	Fit
Cobra Commander	23d ago	Fit
Meechlands Magic	30d ago	Fit
Midnight Glance	30d ago	Fit
Getthepot	35d ago	Fit
Time To Bite	38d ago	Fit
Barrowmount	38d ago	Fit
Dreamsundermyfeet	74d ago	Fresh
Seymour Promise	86d ago	Fresh
My Bad Lucy	203d ago	Long break
Delgany Monarch	220d ago	Long break
William Philo	226d ago	Long break
Malinas Island	604d ago	Long break