Betsi Handicap (Div I) – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:30

Betsi Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-11-16

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Intoxicata Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	137	v	624112	57	71	61	3d	—	—	-15	38.4	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Clear second over 8.5f on Monday when bidding for hat-trick all wins at 7f; respected
3 (4)	Last Date Brown J:Luke Morris T:Ivan Furtado	J:Luke Morris T:Ivan Furtado	133	v	758324	52	66	49	19d	—	—	-5	9.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Losing run is mounting up but he remains on a workable mark; suited by Chelmsford
2 (9)	Poetic Jack Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Robert Cowell	J:Marco Ghiani T:Robert Cowell	135	—	-45573	55	64	35	19d	—	—	-1	6.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Finished third over C&D most recently and may take another step forward; shortlisted
8 (8)	Brazen Arrow Brown J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	126	v	267503	45	62	40	7d	—	—	-4	5.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Placed over C&D last Thursday but strike-rate remains poor
6 (10)	Little Red Dancer Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Alan Brown	J:Clifford Lee T:Alan Brown	128	p	519703	48	67	52	9d	—	—	-2	7.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Creditable third over 6f at Newcastle last week; place claims
7 (1)	Vintage Fashion Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Matt Crawley	J:Billy Loughnane T:Matt Crawley	127	—	596-04	46	62	52	9d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Still a maiden but ran encouragingly at Lingfield last week on debut for new yard
9 (7)	Dazzerling Chestnut J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	126	t	079566	45	62	51	9d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Chance depends on whether the return to 7f helps; 0-20
5 (6)	Shorts On Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	131	p	551700	50	65	29	7d	—	—	+2	3.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Won at Yarmouth in June; hasn't matched that form since
4 (2)	Withy Rock Bay J:William Carson T:Bill Turner	J:William Carson T:Bill Turner	131	p	/64034	50	60	-	9d	—	—	+1	2.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Sole placed effort came in seller; weak claims
10 (3)	Ritarocks Bay J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Phil McEntee	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Phil McEntee	125	t	700600	45	46	25	47d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Has little worthwhile form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Intoxicata	4/6	4/6	8/13	4/6	4/6
Last Date	6	5	11/2	5	5
Poetic Jack	9	10	10	10	10
Brazen Arrow	13/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Little Red Dancer	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Vintage Fashion	20	14	14	14	14
Dazzerling	33	33	33	33	33
Shorts On	80	66	50	50	50
Withy Rock	200	100	100	100	100
Ritarocks	200	125	125	125	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Intoxicata

38.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 18 Odds: 18.7

4/6

2nd

Last Date

9.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Little Red Dancer

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Poetic Jack

6.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

Brazen Arrow

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Shorts On

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.5

Withy Rock

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.2

200

Vintage Fashion

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Dazzerling

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ritarocks

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Intoxicata	57	71	61
Poetic Jack	55	64	35
Last Date	52	66	49
Shorts On	50	65	29
Withy Rock	50	60	—
Little Red Dancer	48	67	52
Vintage Fashion	46	62	52
Brazen Arrow	45	62	40
Dazzerling	45	62	51
Ritarocks	45	46	25

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Intoxicata	3d ago	Quick return
Brazen Arrow	7d ago	Quick return
Shorts On	7d ago	Quick return
Little Red Dancer	9d ago	Quick return
Vintage Fashion	9d ago	Quick return
Dazzerling	9d ago	Quick return
Withy Rock	9d ago	Quick return
Last Date	19d ago	Fit
Poetic Jack	19d ago	Fit
Ritarocks	47d ago	Fresh