Little Leighs Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Chelmsford (AW)

17:30

Date 2023-11-16

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £3,725

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Rogue Thunder Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Tom Clover	J:Billy Loughnane T:Tom Clover	133	h	444	73	80	33	258d	—	—	-11	13	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Consistent in three runs; possibilities if he shows any improvement for wind surgery
2 (5)	Moon Flight Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	h	424242	74	83	62	9d	—	—	-6	23.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Frustrating sort; major player on ratings but hasn't progressed and comes with risk
7 (8)	Fianian Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Brian O'Rourke	J:Oisin Murphy T:Brian O'Rourke	129	—	52	-	71	34	20d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Comfortably held on sole Irish start; fared much better at Wolverhampton for new stable
8 (4)	Tayanna Chestnut J:George Wood T:John Butler	J:George Wood T:John Butler	125	—	6	-	81	52	10d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Encouraging effort (sixth of 14) at Kempton last week on belated debut
10 (10)	David's Diva Bay J:George Rooke T:Rod Millman	J:George Rooke T:Rod Millman	124	—	5-3	-	78	-	296d	—	—	-2	4.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Showed ability in two AW races last winter; likely player if returning in similar form
1 (3)	Maruna Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Michael Appleby	133	—	41	-	79	26	13d	—	—	+5	11.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Not far behind Fianian at Wolverhampton, then won at Newcastle; may improve further
6 (2)	Maurices Men Bay J:Harry Davies T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Harry Davies T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	131	—	85	-	59	29	30d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Modest RPRs in AW novice event and turf seller
9 (7)	Button Bay Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Jones	J:David Probert T:Jack Jones	124	—	8	-	40	-	26d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Attracted support at Catterick and is evidently thought capable of better
4 (11)	Wee Geordie Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Williams	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Williams	133	—	—	-	-	-	38d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Inauspicious debut in 6f maiden at Windsor
11 (6)	Won't Stand Down Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Rod Millman	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Rod Millman	124	—	9	-	53	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Finished behind two of these rivals at Wolverhampton on debut
5 (9)	Bringhomethebacon Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Charlie Wallis	J:Marco Ghiani T:Charlie Wallis	131	—	47	-	30	-	44d	—	—	-1	0.2	24.75/1	100 1%
Has trailed home last in a couple of 5f races

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Rogue Thunder	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Moon Flight	2	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Fianian	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Tayanna	13/2	6	6	6	13/2
David's Diva	12	12/1	12	12	14
Maruna	12	12	12	11	11
Maurices Men	16	16	16	16	18
Button Bay	33	40	40	40	40
Wee Geordie	66	66	66	66	66
Won't Stand Down	100/1	66	66/1	66	66
Bringhomethebacon	100	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Moon Flight

23.4

OR: 6 Form: 8.5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Rogue Thunder

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Maruna

11.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

Fianian

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

David's Diva

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

Tayanna

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Maurices Men

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Button Bay

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Wee Geordie

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Won't Stand Down

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Bringhomethebacon

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Moon Flight	74	83	62
Rogue Thunder	73	80	33
Fianian	—	71	34
Tayanna	—	81	52
David's Diva	—	78	—
Maruna	—	79	26
Maurices Men	—	59	29
Button Bay	—	40	—
Wee Geordie	—	—	—
Won't Stand Down	—	53	—
Bringhomethebacon	—	30	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Moon Flight	9d ago	Quick return
Tayanna	10d ago	Quick return
Maruna	13d ago	Quick return
Fianian	20d ago	Fit
Won't Stand Down	20d ago	Fit
Button Bay	26d ago	Fit
Maurices Men	30d ago	Fit
Wee Geordie	38d ago	Fit
Bringhomethebacon	44d ago	Fit
Rogue Thunder	258d ago	Long break
David's Diva	296d ago	Long break