Betsi Handicap (Div II) – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:00

Betsi Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-11-16

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (8)	Outreach Grey J:David Probert T:Mark Usher	J:David Probert T:Mark Usher	130	—	704562	51	69	58	23d	—	—	-10	11.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Nearly opened his account in 7f event at Wolverhampton last month; possibilities
2 (9)	Adace Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	133	p	741263	53	66	47	14d	—	—	-3	14.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Close third over 1m here last time; likely player if coping with drop back in trip
3 (2)	Pontius Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Charles Hills	J:Rob Hornby T:Charles Hills	132	—	42023-	52	-	-	471d	—	—	-5	14.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Maiden; absent since his creditable third over C&D in August 2022; market helpful
8 (5)	Fast Flo Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	126	b	307324	46	61	43	7d	—	—	-3	8.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
In-form maiden who made the frame in C&D contests the last twice; now 0-21
7 (6)	Safe Passage Bay J:Luke Morris T:Luke Dace	J:Luke Morris T:Luke Dace	126	h	269-94	46	61	32	12d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.00/1	9 11%
Maiden; signs of retaining ability here this month; well treated on peak effort
1 (10)	Indie Skies Brown J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Denis Quinn	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Denis Quinn	136	—	8554	57	63	47	19d	—	—	-4	4.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Encouraging handicap debut here (6f) last month; out of a 7f winner; interesting
5 (3)	Macho Mania Bay J:Jack Gilligan T:Phil McEntee	J:Jack Gilligan T:Phil McEntee	127	p	903579	48	66	52	3d	—	—	-5	3.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Inconsistent maiden; unappealing
9 (7)	College Wizard b/br J:Dylan Hogan T:Christine Dunnett	J:Dylan Hogan T:Christine Dunnett	126	b	070074	46	61	48	10d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Appeared to run well at Wolverhampton last week but isn't sure to back up that form
6 (1)	Kangaroo Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	127	t	579009	48	62	47	15d	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Poor chance on his handicap form
10 (4)	Craggy Range Bay J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil McEntee	J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil McEntee	125	v	-78669	46	55	20	94d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Holds weak claims on form; second start for new yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Outreach	10/3	10/3	10/3	3	10/3
Adace	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Pontius	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Fast Flo	13/2	13/2	13/2	6	13/2
Safe Passage	9	8	8	15/2	9
Indie Skies	10	9	9	8	10
Macho Mania	9	10	10/1	9	10
College Wizard	16	16	16	16	16
Kangaroo	40	40	40/1	40	40
Craggy Range	80	66	66	50	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Adace

14.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Pontius

14.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 8 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Outreach

11.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Fast Flo

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Indie Skies

4.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Macho Mania

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Safe Passage

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

College Wizard

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Kangaroo

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Craggy Range

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Indie Skies	57	63	47
Adace	53	66	47
Pontius	52	—	—
Outreach	51	69	58
Macho Mania	48	66	52
Kangaroo	48	62	47
Fast Flo	46	61	43
Safe Passage	46	61	32
College Wizard	46	61	48
Craggy Range	46	55	20

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Macho Mania	3d ago	Quick return
Fast Flo	7d ago	Quick return
College Wizard	10d ago	Quick return
Safe Passage	12d ago	Quick return
Adace	14d ago	Fit
Kangaroo	15d ago	Fit
Indie Skies	19d ago	Fit
Outreach	23d ago	Fit
Craggy Range	94d ago	Long break
Pontius	471d ago	Long break