Willenhall Fillies' Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:30

Willenhall Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-11-21

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,051

Winning Time 2m 4.80s (slow by 2.50s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Rosa Chinensis (GB) Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	9/2	Won
2nd	Emma Emilleen (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	7/2F	0.3
3rd	Turner Girl (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Ed Dunlop	8/1	1
4th	Pearly Star (GB) Jack Mitchell · Hugo Palmer	10/1	.5
5th	Night At Sea (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	10/1	0.2
6th	Brassavola (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Kevin Philippart De Foy	12/1	.5
7th	Clipsham Gold (IRE) Kyle Strydom · Dylan Cunha	11/1	.5
8th	Placated (GB) Trevor Whelan · Dr Jon Scargill	20/1	2.25
9th	Eloped (FR) Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	20/1	1.5
10th	Corymbosa (GB) Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	14/1	0.3
11th	So Farhh So Good (IRE) Hector Crouch · Owen Burrows	7/1	8
12th	Rogue Warrior (IRE) David Egan · Tom Clover	10/1	3.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (12)	Emma Emilleen Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	139	—	248542	70	76	54	24d	—	—	-4	15.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
0-8 but can win races at this level; return to 1m2f shouldn't be a hindrance; contender
5 (4)	Rosa Chinensis Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	138	—	462467	69	75	52	47d	—	—	-3	9.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Consistent rather than progressive; needs to better latest seventh in a similar C&D event
7 (1)	So Farhh So Good Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Owen Burrows	J:Hector Crouch T:Owen Burrows	137	—	463566	68	73	56	41d	—	—	-2	8.5	1.50/1	7 14%
Placed off 7lb higher on handicap debut in July but less good since; others look safer
1 (9)	Turner Girl Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	141	p	184223	69	76	59	19d	—	—	+8	16.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two wins over further; comes here in top form but drop in trip asks new question of her
2 (11)	Brassavola Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Billy Loughnane T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	141	—	04548	69	71	54	27d	—	—	-2	7.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Only midfield on stable debut but that is strong form and today's trip could spark extra
11 (5)	Pearly Star Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jack Mitchell T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	166254	64	75	38	21d	—	—	0	8.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Consistent 7.5f turf winner; new trip needs to have a positive effect for her to take this
9 (10)	Rogue Warrior Bay J:David Egan T:Tom Clover	J:David Egan T:Tom Clover	136	—	233	67	69	14	35d	—	—	+5	14.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Clear promise at up to 1m2f in novice/maiden runs; capable of better now handicapping
6 (7)	Night At Sea Brown J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	138	—	0423	69	69	15	19d	—	—	+6	13.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Perhaps needed her recent return and she has untapped potential now handicapping
3 (3)	Clipsham Gold Chestnut J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	140	—	526072	68	75	58	14d	—	—	-1	14.9	2.00/1	9 11%
Four-time winner at up to 8.5f; 2nd over 1m here last time; stamina not assured up to 1m2f
8 (2)	Corymbosa Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	137	—	7-35	68	69	24	76d	—	—	0	6.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Too keen upped to 1m4f last time; makes handicap debut at a realistic level; can do better
10 (6)	Eloped Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	136	—	252137	67	74	55	34d	—	—	+10	14.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Progressive for H Palmer this summer; latest run can be ignored; still not fully exposed
12 (8)	Placated Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Dr Jon Scargill	J:Trevor Whelan T:Dr Jon Scargill	129	—	414-55	57	74	-	36d	—	—	-1	2.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Two wins over further last season; fair run at Windsor latest; drop in trip a query

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Emma Emilleen	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Rosa Chinensis	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	5
So Farhh So Good	7	7	7	7	7
Turner Girl	8	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Brassavola	9	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Pearly Star	10	10	11	10	10
Rogue Warrior	10	10	9	10	10
Night At Sea	12	11	11	11	12
Clipsham Gold	8	9	9	9	9
Corymbosa	14	14	12	14	14
Eloped	20	18	16	18	20
Placated	33	25	25	22	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Turner Girl

16.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 9 Odds: 2.4

17/2

2nd

Emma Emilleen

15.7

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Clipsham Gold

14.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 6 Odds: 4.4

Rogue Warrior

14.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.5

Eloped

14.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.2

Night At Sea

13.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.9

Rosa Chinensis

9.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

So Farhh So Good

8.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.1

Pearly Star

8.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.4

Brassavola

7.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Corymbosa

6.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Placated

2.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Emma Emilleen	70	76	54
Rosa Chinensis	69	75	52
Turner Girl	69	76	59
Brassavola	69	71	54
Night At Sea	69	69	15
So Farhh So Good	68	73	56
Clipsham Gold	68	75	58
Corymbosa	68	69	24
Rogue Warrior	67	69	14
Eloped	67	74	55
Pearly Star	64	75	38
Placated	57	74	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Clipsham Gold	14d ago	Fit
Turner Girl	19d ago	Fit
Night At Sea	19d ago	Fit
Pearly Star	21d ago	Fit
Emma Emilleen	24d ago	Fit
Brassavola	27d ago	Fit
Eloped	34d ago	Fit
Rogue Warrior	35d ago	Fit
Placated	36d ago	Fit
So Farhh So Good	41d ago	Fit
Rosa Chinensis	47d ago	Fresh
Corymbosa	76d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Rosa Chinensis	Mid-Pack
Brassavola	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.