Duncan Smith Over The Hill Birthday Mares' Novices' Handicap Chase (Challenger Series Qual') (GBB)

Warwick

14:40

Date 2023-11-22

Distance 2m4f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,281

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Lagonda Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	163	—	43251-	115	125	96	226d	—	—	+9	39	0.53/1	17/8 32%
Has run just once over fences, when going close behind a highly progressive winner
8	Kraqueline Grey J:Liam Harrison T:Kerry Lee	J:Liam Harrison T:Kerry Lee	154	—	4375-1	106	126	112	24d	—	—	+8	30.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Won against males on chase debut at Wincanton and could play a leading role up 8lb
3	Moviddy Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Noel Williams	J:Jonathan Burke T:Noel Williams	166	t	1291-2	118	125	109	34d	—	—	+14	25.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Runner-up on chase debut at Wincanton and there's room for improvement in her jumping
6	Malaita Bay J:Alex Edwards T:Mel Rowley	J:Alex Edwards T:Mel Rowley	160	—	411-22	112	119	69	27d	—	—	+9	17.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two handicap hurdle wins this year and could improve upon last month's chase debut second
5	Annie Magic Brown J:Rex Dingle T:Jeremy Scott	J:Rex Dingle T:Jeremy Scott	162	—	1263P-	114	-	-	242d	—	—	+14	22.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Returns having had wind op and this point winner could improve for the switch to fences
2	Game On For Glory Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Lucy Wadham	J:Tom Cannon T:Lucy Wadham	167	p	1124/4	119	-	-	18d	—	—	+11	19.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Returned from very long absence with fair Listed hurdle fourth; could have more to offer
1	Marsh Wren Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	170	—	1/191-	122	-	-	235d	—	—	+19	27.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
4-8 over hurdles; brings potential to chase debut & she won on last season's reappearance
7	Lily Glitters Bay J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Henry Daly	J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Henry Daly	155	—	9154-2	107	117	99	29d	—	—	+15	21	4.25/1	18 6%
Bumped into a fast-improving winner when 23l second at Hereford; not discounted
9	Moon Eagle Bay J:Luke Scott(5) T:Tom Gretton	J:Luke Scott(5) T:Tom Gretton	142	tp	84023-	94	124	98	210d	—	—	+16	17.9	24.75/1	100 1%
13-race maiden who is 0-7 in chases and others are preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lagonda	2	15/8	17/8	15/8	15/8
Kraqueline	5/2	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Moviddy	7	13/2	7/1	13/2	13/2
Malaita	8	8	17/2	8	17/2
Annie Magic	11	9	11/1	9	10
Game On For Glory	10	9	17/2	9	10
Marsh Wren	17/2	11	11/1	12/1	11
Lily Glitters	18	16	16	16	16
Moon Eagle	100	80	100	50/1	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lagonda

OR: 16.3 Form: 13.4 Odds: 9.4

17/8

2nd

Kraqueline

30.7

OR: 14 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Marsh Wren

27.2

OR: 18 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Moviddy

25.1

OR: 17 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Annie Magic

22.3

OR: 16 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Lily Glitters

OR: 14.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Game On For Glory

19.5

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Malaita

17.9

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Moon Eagle

17.9

OR: 11 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Marsh Wren	122	—	—
Game On For Glory	119	—	—
Moviddy	118	125	109
Lagonda	115	125	96
Annie Magic	114	—	—
Malaita	112	119	69
Lily Glitters	107	117	99
Kraqueline	106	126	112
Moon Eagle	94	124	98

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Game On For Glory	18d ago	Fit
Kraqueline	24d ago	Fit
Malaita	27d ago	Fit
Lily Glitters	29d ago	Fit
Moviddy	34d ago	Fit
Moon Eagle	210d ago	Long break
Lagonda	226d ago	Long break
Marsh Wren	235d ago	Long break
Annie Magic	242d ago	Long break