Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle – Market Rasen

Market Rasen

12:30

Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-11-23

Distance 2m125y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Lady Gwen Bay J:Kai Lenihan(7) T:Kim Bailey	J:Kai Lenihan(7) T:Kim Bailey	165	—	-15241	97	106	94	7d	—	—	+1	38	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Escapes a penalty for last Thursday's big-field handicap win at Taunton; tough to beat
1	Minella Plus Bay J:Charlie Maggs(10) T:Donald McCain	J:Charlie Maggs(10) T:Donald McCain	168	—	7-8365	100	106	91	43d	—	—	0	17.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has a regressive profile but is on a reduced mark and is not discounted now down in grade
9	Tropical Talent Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	153	—	44-	85	89	49	—	—	—	-2	13.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
A doubt regarding stamina for this game but new stable is in excellent form; check betting
6	Hugueneau Bay J:Mr Ben Sutton(7) T:Dan Skelton	J:Mr Ben Sutton(7) T:Dan Skelton	161	t	1/50-6	93	97	53	189d	—	—	+7	19.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Goes handicapping off lowly mark on first run for Dan Skelton; one to watch in the betting
10	Climate Precedent Chestnut J:Jack Quinlan T:James Owen	J:Jack Quinlan T:James Owen	152	—	24	100	106	60	16d	—	—	+10	18.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Promise on first of his two hurdle starts; valuable 16lb 3yo allowance today; interesting
4	Blue Bear Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:Sue Smith	J:Daryl Jacob T:Sue Smith	163	—	6P-P85	95	96	55	26d	—	—	+8	12.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Fair fifth at Kelso last time and he could continue to improve now handicapping
2	Racy Lacey Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	168	—	1/4-	100	96	-	565d	—	—	+16	20.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Off since April 2022 but trainer has shown this autumn he can ready one after an absence
5	Royal Max Bay J:Charlie Todd T:Charles & Adam Pogson	J:Charlie Todd T:Charles & Adam Pogson	162	—	54-73P	94	104	62	51d	—	—	+9	11.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Stretched by 3m on yard debut; drops back in trip here but claims aren't overly compelling
7	Seaborough Bay J:James Davies T:Derek Shaw	J:James Davies T:Derek Shaw	158	—	635-7P	90	98	69	6d	—	—	+8	10.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Runs off last winning mark but a long way below his best in his four starts this year
8	We Still Believe b/br J:Callum Bewley T:Daragh Bourke	J:Callum Bewley T:Daragh Bourke	157	—	432/5P	89	92	62	—	—	—	+8	10.3	12.25/1	50 2%
Three Flat wins this year but struggled in the summer on last two hurdle starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lady Gwen	15/8	6/4	13/8	6/4	6/4
Minella Plus	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Tropical Talent	4	5	4	9/2	5
Hugueneau	11/2	7	15/2	13/2	15/2
Climate Precedent	9	8	17/2	8	8
Blue Bear	18	18	18	16	16
Racy Lacey	18	18	18	18	18
Royal Max	25	28/1	28	25	25
Seaborough	33	33	33	28	33
We Still Believe	50	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lady Gwen

OR: 11.8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 11.8

15/8

2nd

Racy Lacey

20.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

3rd

Hugueneau

19.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Climate Precedent

18.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Minella Plus

17.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Tropical Talent

13.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Blue Bear

12.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Royal Max

11.9

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Seaborough

10.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

We Still Believe

10.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Minella Plus	100	106	91
Climate Precedent	100	106	60
Racy Lacey	100	96	—
Lady Gwen	97	106	94
Blue Bear	95	96	55
Royal Max	94	104	62
Hugueneau	93	97	53
Seaborough	90	98	69
We Still Believe	89	92	62
Tropical Talent	85	89	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Seaborough	6d ago	Quick return
Lady Gwen	7d ago	Quick return
Climate Precedent	16d ago	Fit
Blue Bear	26d ago	Fit
Minella Plus	43d ago	Fit
Royal Max	51d ago	Fresh
Hugueneau	189d ago	Long break
Racy Lacey	565d ago	Long break
Tropical Talent	—	—
We Still Believe	—	—