Lorna Brooke Ireland V Britain (Q.R.) Challenge Handicap Chase

Fairyhouse

13:30

Date 2023-11-24

Distance 3m74y

Class

Going Soft To Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Broken Ice Bay J:Miss M O'Sullivan(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Miss M O'Sullivan(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	170	—	240754	110	117	103	42d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	20	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Modest strike rate is a concern, jumping let him down at Chepstow last time, top rider
2	Lizrona Bay J:Mr D Andrews(7) T:Eric Larkin	J:Mr D Andrews(7) T:Eric Larkin	171	—	1P-207	111	107	-	13d	—	—	+7	18.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Showed good stamina winning twice last season, down the field twice since Roscommon second
5	Croi Corcra Bay J:Miss Georgie Benson(7) T:Colin Bowe	J:Miss Georgie Benson(7) T:Colin Bowe	163	—	P63318	103	103	11	29d	—	—	+15	25.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Four wins from six in points, trip too short last time, better judged on Tramore win
8	Kilashee Bay J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:John Patrick Ryan	147	—	7254F2	87	111	97	29d	—	—	+3	18.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
0-9 chasing, tends to make errors, including when 12l second of three finishers last time
1	Dragon Rock Bay J:Mr B O'Neill T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Mr B O'Neill T:John Joseph Hanlon	172	—	F-42U6	112	114	57	44d	—	—	+9	18.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has plenty of weight here and there are concerns about the quality of his jumping
7	Wild Caprice Bay J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	147	—	0-9290	87	104	48	28d	—	—	-1	13.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-26, placed seven times; form has lacked consistency, has place claims on her best form
4	Weihnachts Bay J:Miss N Parker(7) T:P J Rothwell	J:Miss N Parker(7) T:P J Rothwell	164	p	157-7P	104	112	69	120d	—	—	+5	16.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won a 2m4f handicap at Cork in January, not certain to stay as far as this
9	Thehairyfella Bay J:Mr L P Shanahan(7) T:D J Barry	J:Mr L P Shanahan(7) T:D J Barry	147	p	F7P56/	87	106	-	664d	—	—	+5	10.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Struggled in handicap chases two seasons ago, hard to fancy now after a long absence
6	School Lane Bay J:Miss Lucy Turner(7) T:Liam Lennon	J:Miss Lucy Turner(7) T:Liam Lennon	159	—	2153-0	99	114	-	13d	—	—	+6	14.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Suited by trip and ground, was entitled to need his recent outing after a lengthy break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Broken Ice	4	4	7/2	7/2	4
Lizrona	13/2	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Croi Corcra	13/2	13/2	6	6	13/2
Kilashee	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Dragon Rock	8	15/2	15/2	8	15/2
Wild Caprice	7	13/2	15/2	13/2	17/2
Weihnachts	15/2	13/2	13/2	7	13/2
Thehairyfella	16	12	12	12	14/1
School Lane	17/2	9	9	9	9

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Croi Corcra

25.7

OR: 13.3 Form: 9.4 Odds: 3.1

13/2

2nd

Broken Ice

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Lizrona

18.6

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Kilashee

18.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Dragon Rock

18.2

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Weihnachts

16.8

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

School Lane

14.5

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Wild Caprice

13.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

17/2

Thehairyfella

10.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dragon Rock	112	114	57
Lizrona	111	107	—
Broken Ice	110	117	103
Weihnachts	104	112	69
Croi Corcra	103	103	11
School Lane	99	114	—
Kilashee	87	111	97
Wild Caprice	87	104	48
Thehairyfella	87	106	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lizrona	13d ago	Quick return
School Lane	13d ago	Quick return
Wild Caprice	28d ago	Fit
Croi Corcra	29d ago	Fit
Kilashee	29d ago	Fit
Broken Ice	42d ago	Fit
Dragon Rock	44d ago	Fit
Weihnachts	120d ago	Long break
Thehairyfella	664d ago	Long break