EBF Stallions "National Hunt" Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Kempton

12:50

Date 2023-11-27

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-6yo

Prize £4,901

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Secret Squirrel Chestnut J:David Bass T:Hughie Morrison	J:David Bass T:Hughie Morrison	154	—	11-	-	-	-	220d	—	—	-3	25.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Won good-ground bumpers at Taunton and Fontwell; promising sort for novice hurdles
10	Floating Line Grey J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	147	—	2-	-	-	-	231d	—	—	-11	11.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Runner-up in Fakenham bumper for Olly Murphy; open to progress; interesting
5	Perfect Nelson Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Jeremy Scott	J:Harry Cobden T:Jeremy Scott	154	—	5-226	-	93	49	29d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Solid chance on Irish bumper form; soft ground was an excuse on hurdles debut
2	Dancing In Brazil Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	154	—	1343-U	-	-	-	16d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Unseated rider on hurdles debut; remains a likely player judged on bumper form
3	Highway One O Five b/br J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	154	—	33-0	-	-	-	30d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Form dipped sharply at Cheltenham (back from layoff) on latest bumper start
4	Jolyjump Bay J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Gary Moore	J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Gary Moore	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
40,000euros 3yo; sole newcomer in the field; market instructive
1	Borodale Brown J:Fergus Gregory T:Olly Murphy	J:Fergus Gregory T:Olly Murphy	154	—	44-5B	-	108	-	26d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Has the best hurdles form but that effort is modest; brought down last time
9	The Cox Express Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Robert Walford	J:Bryan Carver T:Robert Walford	154	—	16-9	-	96	63	19d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Form of bumper win lacks strength; well held in maiden hurdles since
8	Thank You Ma'am Chestnut J:Miss Olive Nicholls(7) T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Miss Olive Nicholls(7) T:Georgina Nicholls	154	—	23-0	-	79	49	27d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.00/1	125 1%
Placed in point/rules bumpers; beaten long way on debut over hurdles
7	Spicy Nelson Chestnut J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	154	—	86P-	-	90	51	280d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Holds poor claims on his form shown last winter

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Secret Squirrel	7/4	7/4	15/8	7/4	15/8
Floating Line	10/3	10/3	10/3	5/2	10/3
Perfect Nelson	4	4	9/2	4	4
Dancing In Brazil	5	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2
Highway One O Five	8	9	10/1	9	9
Jolyjump	22	20	22/1	20	20
Borodale	22	25	25	25	25
The Cox Express	33	25	28/1	25	28/1
Thank You Ma'am	125	125	125	125	125
Spicy Nelson	250	125	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Secret Squirrel

25.9

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Floating Line

11.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

3rd

Perfect Nelson

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Dancing In Brazil

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Highway One O Five

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Jolyjump

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Borodale

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

The Cox Express

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Thank You Ma'am

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Spicy Nelson

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Secret Squirrel	—	—	—
Floating Line	—	—	—
Perfect Nelson	—	93	49
Dancing In Brazil	—	—	—
Highway One O Five	—	—	—
Jolyjump	—	—	—
Borodale	—	108	—
The Cox Express	—	96	63
Thank You Ma'am	—	79	49
Spicy Nelson	—	90	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dancing In Brazil	16d ago	Fit
The Cox Express	19d ago	Fit
Borodale	26d ago	Fit
Thank You Ma'am	27d ago	Fit
Perfect Nelson	29d ago	Fit
Highway One O Five	30d ago	Fit
Secret Squirrel	220d ago	Long break
Floating Line	231d ago	Long break
Spicy Nelson	280d ago	Long break
Jolyjump	—	—