Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div II)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:30

Date 2023-12-04

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 29.12s (slow by 3.12s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Fircombe Hall (GB) Andrew Breslin · Philip Kirby	10/1	Won
2nd	Brave Display (IRE) Dougie Costello · Deborah Faulkner	100/30F	.5
3rd	Liberty Breeze (GB) Ben Sanderson · Simon Whitaker	6/1	0.3
4th	Lupset Flossy Pop (IRE) Harry Burns · Phillip Makin	14/1	.75
5th	Fieldsman (USA) William Carson · Tony Carroll	15/2	.75
6th	Reve De Magritte (FR) Liam Wright · Ed de Giles	20/1	0.3
7th	White Mist (GB) Laura Pearson · Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	11/2	2.75
8th	Liv Lucky (IRE) Ben Robinson · Roy Bowring	7/1	2.5
9th	Desert Illusion (IRE) Josephine Gordon · Andi Brown	100/1	2
10th	Sirius White (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Henry Spiller	9/2	.5
11th	Probable (GB) Liam Keniry · Patrick Morris	80/1	16

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (8)	Brave Display Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Deborah Faulkner	J:Dougie Costello T:Deborah Faulkner	133	e/s	628363	53	71	65	16d	—	—	-6	11.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
A possible if getting strong pace to aim at; second when favourite over 7f here yesterday
5 (6)	Sirius White Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Spiller	J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Spiller	132	p	625071	52	64	55	25d	—	—	-1	16.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Likely player if backing up the form of his Chelmsford win last month
2 (3)	Liberty Breeze Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Simon Whitaker	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Simon Whitaker	135	—	842329	55	67	45	39d	—	—	-1	11.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
0-12 on AW but went close over C&D on penultimate start; not dismissed
11 (4)	White Mist Grey J:Laura Pearson T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	J:Laura Pearson T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	129	t	745256	49	67	50	12d	—	—	-7	6.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Maiden; below par here last time but has a chance on earlier course form
3 (12)	Liv Lucky Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Roy Bowring	J:Ben Robinson T:Roy Bowring	133	—	3-8803	53	69	51	16d	—	—	-4	5.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Holds place claims if backing up latest effort (66-1 third over C&D)
12 (9)	Fircombe Hall Chestnut J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Philip Kirby	128	p	6-9692	48	68	58	24d	—	—	-6	2.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
All wins over 6f, mostly at Newcastle; not the percentage call
7 (7)	Fieldsman Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	131	—	326557	51	70	29	72d	—	—	-6	4.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Veteran who is 0-13 this year; absent since September; others preferred
10 (1)	Lupset Flossy Pop Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Phillip Makin	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Phillip Makin	129	b	356575	49	71	58	25d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Had a wide trip last time; unexposed at this distance; possibilities
NR (11)	Swiss Rowe Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mark Loughnane	135	—	510840	55	67	52	14d	—	—	-3	5.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Inconsistent of late but penultimate effort gives him frame possibilities
6 (10)	Reve De Magritte Bay J:Liam Wright(7) T:Ed de Giles	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Ed de Giles	132	—	303580	52	67	54	16d	—	—	-3	3.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Competitively weighted on best efforts but form dipped the last twice
9 (2)	Probable Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Patrick Morris	J:Liam Keniry T:Patrick Morris	130	—	04-525	50	62	-	303d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
0-9 for Archie Watson; absent since February; heed the market signals
8 (5)	Desert Illusion Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Andi Brown	J:Josephine Gordon T:Andi Brown	130	t	239809	50	63	-	32d	—	—	0	0.8	37.25/1	150 1%
3yo maiden who has badly lost her form; first run beyond 6f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Brave Display	7/2	9/2	9/2	7/2	9/2
Sirius White	9/2	9/2	9/2	7/2	4
Liberty Breeze	6	6	11/2	11/2	11/2
White Mist	11/2	6	11/2	11/2	6
Liv Lucky	15/2	8	15/2	15/2	15/2
Fircombe Hall	8	8	15/2	15/2	8
Fieldsman	9	17/2	9	10	8
Lupset Flossy Pop	11	11	10	10	10
Swiss Rowe	16	14	14	16	16
Reve De Magritte	14	14	12	12	14
Probable	40	40	33	40	40
Desert Illusion	150	100	80/1	80	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sirius White

16.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 11 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Liberty Breeze

11.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Brave Display

11.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 5

9/2

White Mist

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Swiss Rowe

5.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 2 Odds: 2.3

Liv Lucky

5.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Fieldsman

4.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.9

Reve De Magritte

3.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

Fircombe Hall

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Lupset Flossy Pop

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Desert Illusion

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.2

150

Probable

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Liberty Breeze	55	67	45
Swiss Rowe	55	67	52
Brave Display	53	71	65
Liv Lucky	53	69	51
Sirius White	52	64	55
Reve De Magritte	52	67	54
Fieldsman	51	70	29
Probable	50	62	—
Desert Illusion	50	63	—
White Mist	49	67	50
Lupset Flossy Pop	49	71	58
Fircombe Hall	48	68	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
White Mist	12d ago	Quick return
Swiss Rowe	14d ago	Fit
Brave Display	16d ago	Fit
Liv Lucky	16d ago	Fit
Reve De Magritte	16d ago	Fit
Fircombe Hall	24d ago	Fit
Sirius White	25d ago	Fit
Lupset Flossy Pop	25d ago	Fit
Desert Illusion	32d ago	Fit
Liberty Breeze	39d ago	Fit
Fieldsman	72d ago	Fresh
Probable	303d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.