BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:30

BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap (Rider Restricted Race)

Date 2023-12-04

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (2)	Ultramarine Bay J:Phil Dennis T:David Evans	J:Phil Dennis T:David Evans	128	—	380351	68	87	79	13d	—	—	-1	23.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Off the mark at the 21st attempt last time and may be able to kick on now
4 (4)	Tyger Bay Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Conrad Allen	J:William Carver(3) T:Conrad Allen	132	tb	456033	72	90	72	18d	—	—	-2	16	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Losing run up to 15, but he has dropped to a favourable mark; shortlisted
1 (9)	Brazen Idol Brown J:Harry Burns(3) T:John Butler	J:Harry Burns(3) T:John Butler	135	—	-43321	75	85	-	94d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+15	25	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Record over C&D reads 122 and he is consistent; a player if ready to go after a break
6 (3)	Absolutelyflawless Bay J:John Fahy T:David Loughnane	J:John Fahy T:David Loughnane	129	—	660497	69	89	67	11d	—	—	-2	7.3	2.00/1	9 11%
5lb lower than when winning over C&D in May, but seems to show her best form in the spring
11 (5)	Caesars Pearl Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	127	—	187076	67	89	68	11d	—	—	-2	6.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
3lb below sole winning mark and ran with credit last time, but still more needed
5 (1)	Yesterday's Hero Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:Richard Fahey	J:Ben Robinson T:Richard Fahey	130	—	1769	70	84	73	19d	—	—	+2	10.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Made a winning debut at Chelmsford in January, but out of the frame in three starts since
3 (11)	Bright Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	6321	73	85	65	39d	—	—	+15	23	2.50/1	11 9%
Won a novice here last time, but more needed on handicap debut and drawn wide
9 (7)	Honour Your Dreams Bay J:Kyle McHugh(7) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Kyle McHugh(7) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	128	—	208529	68	87	72	23d	—	—	+4	9.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Held over 7f last time, but had previously finished second over 5f; unexposed on the AW
NR (12)	Thaki Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Katie Scott	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Katie Scott	128	t	108025	68	89	66	11d	—	—	+6	8.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Dual C&D winner and won twice on turf this year, but he has to overcome the outside stall
12 (8)	Impeller Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Grace Harris	J:Duran Fentiman T:Grace Harris	126	t	230539	66	87	22	16d	—	—	+4	7.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Four-time winner for Tim Easterby, but well held on stable debut over C&D
2 (6)	Level Up Bay J:Alexandra McDonnell(7) T:David Evans	J:Alexandra McDonnell(7) T:David Evans	135	—	184287	75	89	50	16d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	9.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Back off last winning mark and dual 5f winner here, unplaced in all eight attempts at 6f
10 (10)	Midnightattheoasis Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	127	—	-21369	67	83	57	18d	—	—	+8	10.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Southwell maiden winner in January; well held on last month's stable debut after a break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ultramarine	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Tyger Bay	7/2	4	7/2	7/2	7/2
Brazen Idol	15/2	8	7	15/2	7
Absolutelyflawless	9	9	8	8	9
Caesars Pearl	8	9	17/2	8	9
Yesterday's Hero	9	9	17/2	8	17/2
Bright	11	10	9	9	9
Honour Your Dreams	12	18	16	16	16
Thaki	28	28	25	25	25
Impeller	20	22	22	20	22
Level Up	25/1	25	25	25/1	25
Midnightattheoasis	50/1	33	25	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brazen Idol

OR: 6.3 Form: 15.9 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

Ultramarine

23.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Bright

OR: 5.8 Form: 15 Odds: 2.2

Tyger Bay

OR: 5.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Midnightattheoasis

10.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Yesterday's Hero

10.4

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Honour Your Dreams

9.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

Level Up

9.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Thaki

8.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

Impeller

7.7

OR: 4 Form: 2.7 Odds: 1

Absolutelyflawless

7.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Caesars Pearl

6.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brazen Idol	75	85	—
Level Up	75	89	50
Bright	73	85	65
Tyger Bay	72	90	72
Yesterday's Hero	70	84	73
Absolutelyflawless	69	89	67
Ultramarine	68	87	79
Honour Your Dreams	68	87	72
Thaki	68	89	66
Caesars Pearl	67	89	68
Midnightattheoasis	67	83	57
Impeller	66	87	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Absolutelyflawless	11d ago	Quick return
Caesars Pearl	11d ago	Quick return
Thaki	11d ago	Quick return
Ultramarine	13d ago	Quick return
Impeller	16d ago	Fit
Level Up	16d ago	Fit
Tyger Bay	18d ago	Fit
Midnightattheoasis	18d ago	Fit
Yesterday's Hero	19d ago	Fit
Honour Your Dreams	23d ago	Fit
Bright	39d ago	Fit
Brazen Idol	94d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.