Unibet More Extra Place Races Nursery Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

16:55

Unibet More Extra Place Races Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-12-06

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,281

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	Honest Desire Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	t	5526	78	92	63	28d	—	—	-10	19.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Gelded ahead of his nursery debut here where he was poorly drawn and never involved
3 (2)	Kodiac Thriller Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Charles Hills	J:Richard Kingscote T:Charles Hills	129	—	2504	79	93	68	28d	—	—	-7	15.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Never dangerous in fourth after missing the kick here last time; ran well
1 (5)	Balon D'Or Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	136	—	467604	86	92	-	60d	—	—	-2	13.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Only 1-9 but highly tried of late and he has the form to be threatening off this mark
2 (7)	Western Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Richard Hannon	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Richard Hannon	130	—	53032	80	95	71	28d	—	—	+6	19.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Comfortably his best RPR yet when going close on his nursery debut over C&D four weeks ago
5 (3)	Biographer Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	124	tv	354	74	92	78	35d	—	—	+2	9.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Didn't quite see out 7f last time at Lingfield and that was just about his best run yet
6 (6)	I'm Spartacus Chestnut J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	122	—	737173	72	91	64	18d	—	—	+10	15.5	5.25/1	22 5%
Got going a bit too late from midfield when a closing third at Wolverhampton
7 (4)	Free As A Bird Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Ed Walker	J:Hayley Turner T:Ed Walker	116	—	743	66	91	84	25d	—	—	+5	7.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Respectable runs over 6f and this mark gives her a fighting chance on nursery debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Honest Desire	13/8	15/8	7/4	7/4	15/8
Kodiac Thriller	3	11/4	3	3	5/2
Balon D'Or	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Western	6	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Biographer	11	10	10	10	10
I'm Spartacus	22	18	16	18	16
Free As A Bird	33	28	28	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Honest Desire

19.9

OR: 7 Form: 3.5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Western

19.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 8 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

I'm Spartacus

15.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.4

Kodiac Thriller

15.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Balon D'Or

13.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Biographer

9.6

OR: 6 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1

Free As A Bird

7.8

OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Balon D'Or	86	92	—
Western	80	95	71
Kodiac Thriller	79	93	68
Honest Desire	78	92	63
Biographer	74	92	78
I'm Spartacus	72	91	64
Free As A Bird	66	91	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
I'm Spartacus	18d ago	Fit
Free As A Bird	25d ago	Fit
Honest Desire	28d ago	Fit
Kodiac Thriller	28d ago	Fit
Western	28d ago	Fit
Biographer	35d ago	Fit
Balon D'Or	60d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
I'm Spartacus	Mid-Pack
Kodiac Thriller	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 7 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.