Mervyn Gray Construction Maiden Hurdle – Navan

Navan

12:00

Mervyn Gray Construction Maiden Hurdle

Date 2023-12-09

Distance 2m

Class

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo

Prize €7,375

Runners (26)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12	Milo Lises Brown J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	161	—	2-	-	-	-	228d	—	—	-16	14.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Chased home a stablemate on debut in a Punchestown bumper, winner scored on hurdling debut
3	Butcher Hollow Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Thomas Cooper	J:Sean Flanagan T:Thomas Cooper	161	—	1-1	-	-	-	42d	—	—	-1	25	0.75/1	3/1 25%
A 200,000GBP purchase after Tallow point win, looked smart when winning a Galway bumper
9	Jigoro Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	2	-	125	95	34d	—	—	-13	13	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Placed on sole start on Flat in France, chased home a useful sort on hurdling debut
8	Jasko Des Dames Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	161	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Flat winner over 1m4f on soft in France last winter, interesting recruit, wears tongue-tie
11	Lieber Nicc Bay J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
First foal out of an unraced mare, fair pedigree but trainer has two stronger contenders
26	The Great Unknown Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	154	—	3-	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	4.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Well-related filly, third in a point-to-point, one of three for the stable, interesting
13	Next Stop Paris Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Peter Fahey	J:Keith Donoghue T:Peter Fahey	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	9.75/1	40 3%
Half-brother to progressive chaser Jetoile, from a strong family, in good hands
14	Ossie's Lodge Chestnut J:A P Heskin T:A J Martin	J:A P Heskin T:A J Martin	161	—	83-18	-	110	41	7d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Bumper winner at Down Royal in May, made a satisfactory hurdling debut last Saturday
7	Jack Du Large Bay J:Jody McGarvey T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jody McGarvey T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	5	-	109	47	22d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Showed a tendency to jump to the right at Wexford, Jack Kennedy deserts him for Jigoro
1	Al Kalila Bay J:Brian Hayes T:S R B Crawford	J:Brian Hayes T:S R B Crawford	161	—	34	-	-	-	28d	—	—	+1	2.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Has made the frame in two bumpers in Scotland, likely to find a few of these too strong
20	Walk The Warrior Bay J:Danny Mullins T:Ms Margaret Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:Ms Margaret Mullins	161	—	9-5	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Good pedigree, has run in a bumper and a point-to-point, likely to need more experience
15	Paddy's Milestone Bay J:Peter Carberry T:S R B Crawford	J:Peter Carberry T:S R B Crawford	161	—	7-7	-	105	55	28d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Soundly beaten in a point, took a step in the right direction at Down Royal, more needed
18	Spatman De Cerisy Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:Paul Nolan	J:Jordan Gainford T:Paul Nolan	161	—	7	-	88	49	14d	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Already beaten when making a mistake two out on hurdling debut at Punchestown, may improve
19	Tell Us This Bay J:Ricky Doyle T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Ricky Doyle T:Gavin Cromwell	161	—	08	-	102	52	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Jumping needs to be more slick, may be of some interest when qualified for handicaps
5	Fernhill Fling Bay J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:P J Rothwell	J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:P J Rothwell	161	—	6	-	-	-	37d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Some merit in last month's run in a bumper at Thurles, not likely to pose a major threat
17	Royal Time Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:Shane Crawley	J:Donagh Meyler T:Shane Crawley	161	t	—	-	92	38	28d	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Never in serious contention first time out at Down Royal, not a likely contender
2	Big Tom Grey J:Benjamin P Kennedy(7) T:Mrs Mary Whelehan	J:Benjamin P Kennedy(7) T:Mrs Mary Whelehan	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Fourth foal, dam 2m hurdle winner, out of Flat/hurdles winner Annadot, from a small stable
6	Jacenry Bay J:Ben Harvey(3) T:D Harvey	J:Ben Harvey(3) T:D Harvey	161	—	0000	-	81	42	14d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Down the field on all four outings, can be safely left out of calculations
10	Juke Box Rock Grey J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Gavin Cromwell	161	—	000	-	60	29	9d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
No winning potential in three outings in maidens last month, perhaps a handicap prospect
16	Ragmans Corner Brown J:Kevin Sexton T:Gerard Keane	J:Kevin Sexton T:Gerard Keane	161	—	U	-	-	-	9d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Decent pedigree, 100-1 on debut at Clonmel when unseated at the first flight
21	Without Exception Bay J:Conor Owens(7) T:P J Rothwell	J:Conor Owens(7) T:P J Rothwell	161	—	000	-	71	18	7d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
No apparent chance on the evidence of three maiden hurdle outings in quick succession
22	Little Hero Bay J:Cian Walsh(7) T:Paul Mulligan	J:Cian Walsh(7) T:Paul Mulligan	154	—	0-0	-	73	33	14d	—	—	-1	0.2	99.75/1	400 0%
Tailed off in a bumper last term, not much better when big price on recent hurdling debut
23	Meoulflower Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:P Cluskey	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:P Cluskey	154	—	F0	-	85	-	29d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
Poor form on the Flat, jumping has let her down on her first two runs over hurdles
4	Earlofbrackenstown Chestnut J:Conor Maxwell T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Conor Maxwell T:Gavin Cromwell	161	—	00	-	94	42	13d	—	—	-1	0.4	49.75/1	200 1%
Made little impact in two outings last month, one of trainer's three runners, best watched
24	Missy Mu Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Shane Crawley	J:Phillip Enright T:Shane Crawley	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	62.25/1	250 0%
Half-sister to trainer's handicap hurdle winner Huckleberry Rock, dam bumper/hurdle winner
25	Tankardstown Diva Grey J:E Walsh(3) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	J:E Walsh(3) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	154	h	F-479	-	87	60	15d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Fourth in a small-field bumper, remote ninth when 100-1 on hurdling debut Fairyhouse

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Milo Lises	13/8	15/8	7/4	7/4	7/4
Butcher Hollow	11/4	11/4	3/1	11/4	5/2
Jigoro	2	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Jasko Des Dames	5	9/2	9/2	5	5
Lieber Nicc	18	16	18	18	18
The Great Unknown	25	25	25	25	28
Next Stop Paris	28	33	33	33	40
Ossie's Lodge	33	28	33	33	33
Jack Du Large	50	33	33	33	33
Al Kalila	66	50	50	50	50
Walk The Warrior	66/1	40	40	40	40
Paddy's Milestone	100	66	66	66	50
Spatman De Cerisy	150	150	200	200	200
Tell Us This	200	150	150	200	200
Fernhill Fling	150	80	80	80	80
Royal Time	200	200	200	200	200
Big Tom	250	125	100	100	80
Jacenry	500	250	200	200	200
Juke Box Rock	250	250	200	200	200
Ragmans Corner	250	250	200	200	200
Without Exception	500	250	250	250	250
Little Hero	400	250	250	250	250
Meoulflower	500	250	250	250	250
Earlofbrackenstown	50/1	150	150	150	200
Missy Mu	80	250	200	200	200
Tankardstown Diva	80	150	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Butcher Hollow

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 8

3/1

2nd

Milo Lises

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Jigoro

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8

9/4

Jasko Des Dames

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

9/2

The Great Unknown

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1

Al Kalila

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.4

Lieber Nicc

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Next Stop Paris

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ossie's Lodge

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Jack Du Large

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Walk The Warrior

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Paddy's Milestone

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Earlofbrackenstown

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200

Spatman De Cerisy

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Fernhill Fling

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Royal Time

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Missy Mu

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250

Tell Us This

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Big Tom

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Jacenry

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Juke Box Rock

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Ragmans Corner

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Without Exception

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Little Hero

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400

Meoulflower

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Tankardstown Diva

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Milo Lises	—	—	—
Butcher Hollow	—	—	—
Jigoro	—	125	95
Jasko Des Dames	—	—	—
Lieber Nicc	—	—	—
The Great Unknown	—	—	—
Next Stop Paris	—	—	—
Ossie's Lodge	—	110	41
Jack Du Large	—	109	47
Al Kalila	—	—	—
Walk The Warrior	—	—	—
Paddy's Milestone	—	105	55
Spatman De Cerisy	—	88	49
Tell Us This	—	102	52
Fernhill Fling	—	—	—
Royal Time	—	92	38
Big Tom	—	—	—
Jacenry	—	81	42
Juke Box Rock	—	60	29
Ragmans Corner	—	—	—
Without Exception	—	71	18
Little Hero	—	73	33
Meoulflower	—	85	—
Earlofbrackenstown	—	94	42
Missy Mu	—	—	—
Tankardstown Diva	—	87	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ossie's Lodge	7d ago	Quick return
Without Exception	7d ago	Quick return
Juke Box Rock	9d ago	Quick return
Ragmans Corner	9d ago	Quick return
Tell Us This	13d ago	Quick return
Earlofbrackenstown	13d ago	Quick return
Spatman De Cerisy	14d ago	Fit
Jacenry	14d ago	Fit
Little Hero	14d ago	Fit
Tankardstown Diva	15d ago	Fit
Jack Du Large	22d ago	Fit
Al Kalila	28d ago	Fit
Paddy's Milestone	28d ago	Fit
Royal Time	28d ago	Fit
Meoulflower	29d ago	Fit
Jigoro	34d ago	Fit
Fernhill Fling	37d ago	Fit
Butcher Hollow	42d ago	Fit
Milo Lises	228d ago	Long break
Jasko Des Dames	—	—
Lieber Nicc	—	—
The Great Unknown	—	—
Next Stop Paris	—	—
Walk The Warrior	—	—
Big Tom	—	—
Missy Mu	—	—