BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

13:20

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2023-12-10

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,339

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (6)	Global Warning Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	132	—	590966	58	75	60	74d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-17	10.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Latest win, over C&D, in early 2022, and below best over the last 12 months
1 (1)	Ravenglass Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Adrian Wintle	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Adrian Wintle	135	t	392279	61	74	60	3d	—	—	-3	10.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Close up over C&D in November but below best on last 2 starts, returned to 7f on Thursday
4 (10)	Diamondsinthesand Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	133	h	425631	59	74	63	22d	—	—	+5	19.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Came from well back to win over C&D last time; up 6lb; good chance of following up
6 (9)	Intoxicata Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	133	v	241123	59	73	65	24d	—	—	+8	20.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Now 3-4 in 7f handicaps on the AW and creditable 3rd latest after racing wide; solid
2 (8)	Conri Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	135	—	0-545	61	71	45	21d	—	—	-5	5.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
All starts at 6f; better for recent handicap debut after a break; worth a go at 7f
8 (3)	Sir Titan Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	131	—	634322	57	74	64	34d	—	—	+5	15.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Losing run goes back over 2 years but in good form over C&D and should put up a good show
5 (2)	King Of Speed Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	133	t	627535	59	71	61	25d	—	—	0	7.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Both wins at sprint trips on turf but acts on Tapeta; 7f may not be beyond him back here
11 (11)	Pop Favorite Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	127	b	841425	53	73	55	33d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+5	8.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Three 1m wins at Newcastle in 2023 but rarely runs at 7f and drawn wide; work to do
9 (7)	Hawajes Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	131	—	404807	57	71	44	23d	—	—	0	2.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Needs improvement on handicap form so far but a C&D race didn't go his way last time
10 (5)	River Wharfe Chestnut J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	128	—	650470	54	74	71	22d	—	—	-1	1.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Course winner at about 1m but mixed form in recent starts and dropped right out last time
NR (4)	Moai Bay J:TBC T:Ivan Furtado	J: T:Ivan Furtado	133	p	907050	59	70	41	17d	—	—	—	2.3	—	—
Won at 1m1f/1m in France as 2yo; disappointing in Britain so far but not dismissed
NR (12)	Rebelle Lady Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Iain Jardine	J:NON-RUNNER T:Iain Jardine	127	—	7630	53	-	-	75d	—	—	—	2.9	—	—

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Global Warning	2/1	9/4	5/2	5/2	2/1
Ravenglass	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Diamondsinthesand	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1	5/1
Intoxicata	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2
Conri	15/2	8/1	15/2	7/1	7/1
Sir Titan	9/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
King Of Speed	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Pop Favorite	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Hawajes	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
River Wharfe	33/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Intoxicata

20.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Diamondsinthesand

19.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 13.1 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Sir Titan

15.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Ravenglass

10.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 4 Odds: 4

5/1

Global Warning

10.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Pop Favorite

8.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

King Of Speed

7.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Conri

5.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Rebelle Lady

2.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Hawajes

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Moai

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

River Wharfe

1.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ravenglass	61	74	60
Conri	61	71	45
Diamondsinthesand	59	74	63
Intoxicata	59	73	65
King Of Speed	59	71	61
Moai	59	70	41
Global Warning	58	75	60
Sir Titan	57	74	64
Hawajes	57	71	44
River Wharfe	54	74	71
Pop Favorite	53	73	55
Rebelle Lady	53	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ravenglass	3d ago	Quick return
Moai	17d ago	Fit
Conri	21d ago	Fit
Diamondsinthesand	22d ago	Fit
River Wharfe	22d ago	Fit
Hawajes	23d ago	Fit
Intoxicata	24d ago	Fit
King Of Speed	25d ago	Fit
Pop Favorite	33d ago	Fit
Sir Titan	34d ago	Fit
Global Warning	74d ago	Fresh
Rebelle Lady	75d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Sir Titan	Front Runner
Ravenglass	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.