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Dundalk (AW)

19:15

Date 2023-12-15

Distance 6f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €9,735

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (7)	Volatile Analyst Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	132	—	570642	82	102	66	28d	—	—	-1	18.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Back to form over C&D last month but may not confirm form with Daamberdiplomat
10 (2)	Gobi Star Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Patrick Martin	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Patrick Martin	127	tb	625311	77	97	78	16d	—	—	+18	29.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Hat-trick seeker but will need a strong pace now dropped in trip
5 (10)	Collective Power Chestnut J:Colin Keane T:Edward Lynam	J:Colin Keane T:Edward Lynam	132	—	293137	82	97	-	58d	—	—	+8	19.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
First AW run since C&D win in April and career-best needed off this mark
4 (5)	Daamberdiplomat Chestnut J:Rory Mulligan(10) T:J P Murtagh	J:Rory Mulligan(10) T:J P Murtagh	133	—	574443	83	99	62	28d	—	—	+4	14.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Unlucky-in-running C&D third last month; definitely one to consider
6 (4)	Inishmot Prince Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:T G McCourt	J:James Ryan(5) T:T G McCourt	132	v	991411	82	98	74	7d	—	—	+23	30.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Dundalk specialist recorded eighth win last Friday; career-high mark now, still respected
8 (3)	Dontspoilasale Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Miss Natalia Lupini	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Miss Natalia Lupini	130	—	274002	80	99	71	7d	—	—	+8	14.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Clear second to Inishmot Prince here last Friday; not sure he can reverse that form
11 (13)	Jered Maddox Bay J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	127	—	021647	77	99	87	28d	—	—	+7	12.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Never one to rule out; hold-up performer so wide draw no big deal
9 (6)	Ostraka Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	128	b	14576	78	97	59	28d	—	—	+5	10.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
More encouraging over C&D last month but bit to find with a couple of today's rivals
2 (14)	Prisoner's Dilemma Chestnut J:Donagh O'Connor T:J F Levins	J:Donagh O'Connor T:J F Levins	136	tp	857580	86	98	66	96d	—	—	+6	10.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Four-time Dundalk winner but returning from a break and not the best of draws
1 (12)	Final Voyage Bay J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	142	—	-21478	92	97	75	193d	—	—	+11	15.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Best on AW but over longer trips and lacks a recent run
3 (8)	Rough Diamond Bay J:Sorcha Woods(7) T:Edward Lynam	J:Sorcha Woods(7) T:Edward Lynam	136	—	3168-0	86	97	-	216d	—	—	+5	10.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Absent since May but C&D winner has run well fresh (and for this rider)
14 (11)	Petit Calvados Bay J:Shane Foley T:E J O'Neill	J:Shane Foley T:E J O'Neill	124	p	4-6380	74	100	75	28d	—	—	+5	6.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Plenty to find with several of these on last month's C&D run, albeit from a wide draw
13 (1)	Charming Lady Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:T G McCourt	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:T G McCourt	126	—	176178	76	96	31	7d	—	—	+11	11.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Plenty to find with stablemate Inishmot Prince on last Friday's comeback run here
NR (9)	Marsa Bay J:TBC T:Edward Lynam	J: T:Edward Lynam	127	—	13-963	77	98	-	166d	—	—	—	6.8	—	—
Lacks a recent run but big chance if returning in form of Curragh third in July

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Volatile Analyst	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Gobi Star	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Collective Power	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Daamberdiplomat	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Inishmot Prince	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Dontspoilasale	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Jered Maddox	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Ostraka	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Prisoner's Dilemma	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Final Voyage	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Rough Diamond	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Petit Calvados	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Charming Lady	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Inishmot Prince

30.1

OR: 8 Form: 20 Odds: 2.1

9/1

2nd

Gobi Star

29.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 19.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

3rd

Collective Power

19.1

OR: 8 Form: 8 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Volatile Analyst

18.7

OR: 8 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

3/1

Final Voyage

15.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Dontspoilasale

14.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Daamberdiplomat

14.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Jered Maddox

12.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 4 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Charming Lady

11.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Ostraka

10.6

OR: 7 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Rough Diamond

10.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Prisoner's Dilemma

10.2

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Marsa

6.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Petit Calvados

6.5

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Final Voyage	92	97	75
Prisoner's Dilemma	86	98	66
Rough Diamond	86	97	—
Daamberdiplomat	83	99	62
Volatile Analyst	82	102	66
Collective Power	82	97	—
Inishmot Prince	82	98	74
Dontspoilasale	80	99	71
Ostraka	78	97	59
Gobi Star	77	97	78
Jered Maddox	77	99	87
Marsa	77	98	—
Charming Lady	76	96	31
Petit Calvados	74	100	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Inishmot Prince	7d ago	Quick return
Dontspoilasale	7d ago	Quick return
Charming Lady	7d ago	Quick return
Gobi Star	16d ago	Fit
Volatile Analyst	28d ago	Fit
Daamberdiplomat	28d ago	Fit
Jered Maddox	28d ago	Fit
Ostraka	28d ago	Fit
Petit Calvados	28d ago	Fit
Collective Power	58d ago	Fresh
Prisoner's Dilemma	96d ago	Long break
Marsa	166d ago	Long break
Final Voyage	193d ago	Long break
Rough Diamond	216d ago	Long break