BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Div II) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:00

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-12-15

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Intoxicata Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	134	v	411232	59	72	64	5d	—	—	-4	26.2	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Improving filly who should give it another good go; good early pace would aid her cause
5 (10)	She's The Danger Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	133	—	626781	58	75	61	21d	—	—	+1	18	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Game winner of a 6f handicap here 3 weeks ago; 2lb rise fair and effective at 7f; chance
9 (4)	Kodi Noir Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	129	hp	143206	54	72	64	8d	—	—	-5	8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Quirky but capable; better than the result last week; one to consider
4 (12)	Turbo Command Grey J:David Nolan T:Alison Hamilton	J:David Nolan T:Alison Hamilton	133	—	237580	58	72	58	26d	—	—	-6	5.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Two C&D wins in the first part of the year; dangerous if bouncing back to that level
3 (8)	Absolute Dream Chestnut J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	134	—	710030	59	70	44	6d	—	—	-2	9.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
None too consistent but the ability if there if he's having one of his good days
8 (5)	Champagne Supanova Bay J:Jason Hart T:Richard Spencer	J:Jason Hart T:Richard Spencer	130	p	35-303	55	73	49	143d	—	—	-4	3.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Lightly raced in the last 2 years; conditions should be fine but others look safer
12 (11)	Van Zant Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ruth Carr	J:Cam Hardie T:Ruth Carr	121	—	306025	46	72	62	38d	—	—	-2	5.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
18-race maiden but he went close at Wolverhampton in October; others look safer
10 (3)	Chookie Dunedin Bay J:Billy Garritty T:R Mike Smith	J:Billy Garritty T:R Mike Smith	129	p	430898	54	79	-	74d	—	—	-3	3.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Yet to shine for this yard but dangerously well treated if return to AW floats his boat
7 (1)	Amber Dew Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	131	—	905400	56	67	59	30d	—	—	-1	2.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Stopped quickly on her stable debut last month (well backed); poor strike-rate; risky
1 (9)	Star Of St James Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	135	—	804338	60	69	19	23d	—	—	+4	6.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Drops in class but he'll need to leave his recent stable debut well behind him
NR (7)	Violeta Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Ben Haslam	132	p	457955	57	75	43	31d	—	—	—	1.8	—	—
16-race maiden; two sound runs since headgear was added; should give her running again
NR (2)	Tom Tulliver Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	125	b	540743	50	76	63	8d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Two course wins in March; promising return here last week; in the mix with a repeat

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Intoxicata	15/8	2/1	2/1	2/1	7/4
She's The Danger	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Kodi Noir	6/1	13/2	13/2	11/2	11/2
Turbo Command	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	13/2
Absolute Dream	6/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Champagne Supanova	12/1	10/1	11/1	9/1	10/1
Van Zant	16/1	12/1	14/1	10/1	12/1
Chookie Dunedin	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Amber Dew	25/1	22/1	25/1	20/1	20/1
Star Of St James	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Intoxicata

26.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 14.6 Odds: 9.4

2/1

2nd

She's The Danger

OR: 2 Form: 11 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Absolute Dream

9.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Kodi Noir

OR: 1 Form: 3.4 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Star Of St James

6.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Turbo Command

5.9

OR: 2 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Van Zant

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Champagne Supanova

3.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Chookie Dunedin

3.3

OR: 1 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Tom Tulliver

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Amber Dew

2.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Violeta

1.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Star Of St James	60	69	19
Intoxicata	59	72	64
Absolute Dream	59	70	44
She's The Danger	58	75	61
Turbo Command	58	72	58
Violeta	57	75	43
Amber Dew	56	67	59
Champagne Supanova	55	73	49
Kodi Noir	54	72	64
Chookie Dunedin	54	79	—
Tom Tulliver	50	76	63
Van Zant	46	72	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Intoxicata	5d ago	Quick return
Absolute Dream	6d ago	Quick return
Kodi Noir	8d ago	Quick return
Tom Tulliver	8d ago	Quick return
She's The Danger	21d ago	Fit
Star Of St James	23d ago	Fit
Turbo Command	26d ago	Fit
Amber Dew	30d ago	Fit
Violeta	31d ago	Fit
Van Zant	38d ago	Fit
Chookie Dunedin	74d ago	Fresh
Champagne Supanova	143d ago	Long break