Weatherbys & Birdie Calendars Handicap Chase – Plumpton

Plumpton

15:10

Weatherbys & Birdie Calendars Handicap Chase

Date 2023-12-18

Distance 2m3f164y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,281

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Sir Rock Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Toby Lawes	J:Tom Cannon T:Toby Lawes	168	—	P-1R35	93	-	-	34d	—	—	-4	16.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Irish point winner; switched to chasing after two good efforts over hurdles this autumn
3	Methusalar Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Peter Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter Bowen	162	t	-0P46U	87	99	78	20d	—	—	-5	15.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Was stalking the leaders before coming to grief last time; remains on good mark; respected
6	West Orchard Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	158	t	-F261P	83	96	84	21d	—	—	+8	17.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Jumped well and made all here last month but it's not always that straightforward with him
7	Eurkash Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Paul Webber	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Paul Webber	155	p	3F3-24	80	97	90	20d	—	—	+1	10.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Went down fighting at Warwick two runs ago but remains without a win since 2020
9	Shaw's Cross Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Andy Irvine	J:Stan Sheppard T:Andy Irvine	154	p	425-34	79	102	76	18d	—	—	+1	9.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Course winner in January and both runs for new stable last month were very respectable
10	Cobbs Corner Bay J:James Davies T:Nick Gifford	J:James Davies T:Nick Gifford	148	—	82P-4B	73	94	77	19d	—	—	+1	7.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Made quite promising seasonal/chase debut but on the back foot when brought down last time
2	Who Is That Chestnut J:Freddie Gordon(5) T:Chris Gordon	J:Freddie Gordon(5) T:Chris Gordon	164	—	12P1-F	89	98	87	215d	—	—	+5	11.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Triple chase winner last season; not seen since taking a fall in May
4	Brown Bullet Bay J:James Best T:Andy Irvine	J:James Best T:Andy Irvine	159	p	130-56	84	-	-	29d	—	—	+5	9.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won off 5lb higher over hurdles here in March but looks risky on this return to chasing
5	Boys Of Wexford Bay J:David Noonan T:Henry Oliver	J:David Noonan T:Henry Oliver	158	—	233-P4	83	100	51	26d	—	—	+5	9.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Travelled well for a long way on latest outing and has become well handicapped
8	Elpologreg Bay J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	154	—	9-3594	87	90	20	27d	—	—	+6	10.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Well beaten when fourth on last month's chase/handicap debut; needs a big step forward
11	Noah's Light Bay J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Richenda Ford	J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Richenda Ford	148	tv	PV46P6	73	92	71	27d	—	—	+2	7.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Won over hurdles in Ireland in November 2021 but very disappointing for this stable since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sir Rock	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Methusalar	10/3	3/1	11/4	3/1	11/4
West Orchard	7/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Eurkash	8/1	7/1	7/1	8/1	7/1
Shaw's Cross	8/1	15/2	15/2	17/2	15/2
Cobbs Corner	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Who Is That	10/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Brown Bullet	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Boys Of Wexford	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Elpologreg	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Noah's Light	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

West Orchard

17.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 6.7 Odds: 2.9

7/1

2nd

Sir Rock

16.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Methusalar

15.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Who Is That

11.7

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Elpologreg

10.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Eurkash

10.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Brown Bullet

9.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Shaw's Cross

9.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Boys Of Wexford

9.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Cobbs Corner

7.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Noah's Light

7.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sir Rock	93	—	—
Who Is That	89	98	87
Methusalar	87	99	78
Elpologreg	87	90	20
Brown Bullet	84	—	—
West Orchard	83	96	84
Boys Of Wexford	83	100	51
Eurkash	80	97	90
Shaw's Cross	79	102	76
Cobbs Corner	73	94	77
Noah's Light	73	92	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shaw's Cross	18d ago	Fit
Cobbs Corner	19d ago	Fit
Methusalar	20d ago	Fit
Eurkash	20d ago	Fit
West Orchard	21d ago	Fit
Boys Of Wexford	26d ago	Fit
Elpologreg	27d ago	Fit
Noah's Light	27d ago	Fit
Brown Bullet	29d ago	Fit
Sir Rock	34d ago	Fit
Who Is That	215d ago	Long break