BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30

BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-12-18

Distance 1m4f51y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Composite Bay J:Hector Crouch T:George Boughey	J:Hector Crouch T:George Boughey	133	—	3	-	78	43	9d	—	—	-16	11.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Stayed on for third in C&D contest nine days ago; open to progress
7 (6)	Story Horse Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	133	—	74562	73	83	51	30d	—	—	-12	21.4	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Nearly made all in C&D handicap most recently; enters calculations
3 (11)	Caustic Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Owen Burrows	J:Oisin Murphy T:Owen Burrows	133	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Runner-up in two bumpers; son of Galileo looks interesting switched to this code
6 (3)	Lord Melbourne Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	p	3238	80	85	35	30d	—	—	+5	16.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Had excuses for heavy defeat over C&D last time; leading player on peak effort
1 (8)	Polemon Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	137	t	422	75	82	-	313d	—	—	+10	16.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Absent since his consistent efforts on Polytrack early this year
10 (1)	Daytona Beach Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Rae Guest	J:Rossa Ryan T:Rae Guest	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Scored decisively on penultimate bumper start; Dubawi filly is one to consider
2 (12)	Thirtyfourstitches Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	137	p	36	-	76	42	9d	—	—	0	2.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ten-time hurdles winner; something to find on C&D Flat efforts
8 (2)	The Bunt Bay J:George Wood T:Simon Pearce	J:George Wood T:Simon Pearce	133	t	64-	-	77	-	361d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Showed ability last December for the Crisfords; check the betting
9 (5)	Villazon Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Deborah Faulkner	J:Dougie Costello T:Deborah Faulkner	133	—	39	-	73	-	9d	—	—	+2	2.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well beaten over C&D nine days ago for new stable
5 (10)	Implied Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jennie Candlish	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jennie Candlish	133	p	97	-	47	5	30d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Soundly beaten in both outings
11 (7)	Blondelle Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Christine Dunnett	128	v	005604	46	61	28	11d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Inconsistent sort; not guaranteed to back up latest effort
12 (9)	She's Good For Me Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Weston	J:Laura Pearson T:David Weston	128	—	94	-	52	23	27d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Poor RPRs in a couple of 9.5f contests here

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Composite	5/2	9/4	9/4
Story Horse	6/4	13/8	6/4
Caustic	4/1	7/2	7/2
Lord Melbourne	6/1	13/2	13/2
Polemon	12/1	12/1	11/1
Daytona Beach	20/1	20/1	20/1
Thirtyfourstitches	40/1	28/1	28/1
The Bunt	33/1	50/1	50/1
Villazon	200/1	200/1	200/1
Implied	250/1	200/1	200/1
Blondelle	250/1	200/1	200/1
She's Good For Me	250/1	100/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Story Horse

21.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Polemon

16.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

3rd

Lord Melbourne

16.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Composite

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Caustic

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Thirtyfourstitches

2.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Villazon

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Daytona Beach

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

The Bunt

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

She's Good For Me

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Implied

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Blondelle

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lord Melbourne	80	85	35
Polemon	75	82	—
Story Horse	73	83	51
Blondelle	46	61	28
Composite	—	78	43
Caustic	—	—	—
Daytona Beach	—	—	—
Thirtyfourstitches	—	76	42
The Bunt	—	77	—
Villazon	—	73	—
Implied	—	47	5
She's Good For Me	—	52	23

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Composite	9d ago	Quick return
Thirtyfourstitches	9d ago	Quick return
Villazon	9d ago	Quick return
Blondelle	11d ago	Quick return
She's Good For Me	27d ago	Fit
Story Horse	30d ago	Fit
Lord Melbourne	30d ago	Fit
Implied	30d ago	Fit
Polemon	313d ago	Long break
The Bunt	361d ago	Long break
Caustic	—	—
Daytona Beach	—	—