Ayrshire Cancer Support Handicap Chase – Ayr

Ayr

14:45

Ayrshire Cancer Support Handicap Chase

Date 2023-12-20

Distance 2m4f110y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Busty Boy Chestnut J:Brian Hughes T:Daragh Bourke	J:Brian Hughes T:Daragh Bourke	168	—	125-12	105	110	95	21d	—	—	-9	24.4	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Won rules chasing debut at Kelso (from 5lb lower) two runs back; the one to beat.
2	Artic Row Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:N W Alexander	J:Sean Quinlan T:N W Alexander	154	t	F77-3P	91	-	-	42d	—	—	-10	19.1	0.53/1	85/40 32%
Early mistake paid for chance on rules chasing debut at Musselburgh; something to prove.
5	Fathers Advice Bay J:Callum Bewley T:R Mike Smith	J:Callum Bewley T:R Mike Smith	143	p	452U66	80	103	87	26d	—	—	-4	13.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Yet to win (0-22); didn't jump fluently at Catterick (2m3f) latest; cheekpieces applied.
3	Ardera Cross Chestnut J:Derek Fox T:William Young Jnr	J:Derek Fox T:William Young Jnr	152	p	43PP95	89	107	104	9d	—	—	+5	11.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Veteran; fine Ayr record (eight wins); out of sorts lately, so difficult to be confident.
4	Gun Merchant Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Alison Hamilton	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Alison Hamilton	148	p	2/U6-6	85	107	-	17d	—	—	+6	13.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
First go over fences since June 2022; could strip fitter since Carlisle; others preferred.
6	Any Job Will Do Chestnut J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:Jackie Stephen	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:Jackie Stephen	142	—	P/0-FP	79	-	-	67d	—	—	+4	8.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Maiden (0-11); hasn't shown much in four attempts over fences (P0FP); 10lb out of handicap

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Busty Boy	13/8	6/4	13/8	11/8	11/8
Artic Row	2/1	2/1	7/4	85/40	2/1
Fathers Advice	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Ardera Cross	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Gun Merchant	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Any Job Will Do	28/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Busty Boy

24.4

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Artic Row

19.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

85/40

3rd

Fathers Advice

13.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0.8 Odds: 5

4/1

Gun Merchant

13.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Ardera Cross

11.7

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Any Job Will Do

8.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Busty Boy	105	110	95
Artic Row	91	—	—
Ardera Cross	89	107	104
Gun Merchant	85	107	—
Fathers Advice	80	103	87
Any Job Will Do	79	—	—

Last Run