Unibet Support Safe Gambling EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Date 2023-12-20

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (8)	Friendly Soul Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-22	10	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Bred in the purple and a fascinating contender on debut
12 (11)	Lightning Touch Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	128	—	4	-	90	75	54d	—	—	-20	8.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Promising fourth on her Lingfield debut in October; holds an Irish Oaks entry
2 (7)	Blessed Honour Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Charlie Appleby	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Looks the part of breeding and strength in the market would be significant
6 (4)	Flying Finn Bay J:P J McDonald T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:P J McDonald T:Adrian Paul Keatley	128	—	2	-	79	38	7d	—	—	-1	7.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Just beaten on her debut over C&D a week ago, but this looks a deeper race
8 (12)	Izipizi Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Enough to like on breeding, but Friendly Soul looks the stable's first string
5 (6)	Fairy Glen Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Stable has plenty of winning 2yo newcomers but apprentice-ridden on debut
4 (1)	Eavestone Bay J:Raul Da Silva T:Roger Varian	J:Raul Da Silva T:Roger Varian	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Stable has plenty of 2yos win first time but Lightning Touch looks the yard's main hope
3 (2)	Crimson Coronet Bay J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Stable has few 2yos go in first time and she looks one for middle-distances next year
13 (10)	Private Getaway Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	128	—	37	-	73	38	14d	—	—	+1	2.5	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Showed promise in one start for Ollie Sangster but well held on debut for this yard
11 (5)	Last Empress Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:Roger Varian	J:Kyle Strydom T:Roger Varian	128	—	9	-	65	25	14d	—	—	-1	0.4	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Always behind on her recent Lingfield debut; improvement needed
1 (13)	Amiwithani Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	128	—	7	-	72	35	14d	—	—	-1	0.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well held on his recent Lingfield debut; may need more time
10 (9)	Lannosea Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed Dunlop	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed Dunlop	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Would be a rare winning 2yo newcomer from the yard
14 (14)	Sapphire Sirocco Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Pat Phelan	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Pat Phelan	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Stable not known for winning 2yo newcomers and she has the outside stall
NR (3)	Kalpana Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Stable had a winning 2yo newcomer here a week ago but this filly may be one for later on

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Friendly Soul	6/4	15/8	7/4
Lightning Touch	15/8	9/4	7/4
Blessed Honour	7/2	3/1	10/3
Flying Finn	10/1	10/1	9/1
Izipizi	16/1	14/1	14/1
Fairy Glen	20/1	16/1	16/1
Eavestone	28/1	22/1	22/1
Crimson Coronet	50/1	40/1	40/1
Private Getaway	150/1	66/1	80/1
Last Empress	200/1	150/1	150/1
Amiwithani	200/1	150/1	150/1
Lannosea	150/1	80/1	80/1
Sapphire Sirocco	250/1	150/1	175/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Friendly Soul

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10

15/8

2nd

Lightning Touch

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

9/4

3rd

Flying Finn

7.5

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Blessed Honour

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Private Getaway

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Fairy Glen

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Izipizi

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Eavestone

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Crimson Coronet

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Last Empress

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200/1

Amiwithani

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Lannosea

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Sapphire Sirocco

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Kalpana

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Friendly Soul	—	—	—
Lightning Touch	—	90	75
Blessed Honour	—	—	—
Flying Finn	—	79	38
Izipizi	—	—	—
Fairy Glen	—	—	—
Eavestone	—	—	—
Crimson Coronet	—	—	—
Private Getaway	—	73	38
Last Empress	—	65	25
Amiwithani	—	72	35
Lannosea	—	—	—
Sapphire Sirocco	—	—	—
Kalpana	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Flying Finn	7d ago	Quick return
Private Getaway	14d ago	Fit
Last Empress	14d ago	Fit
Amiwithani	14d ago	Fit
Lightning Touch	54d ago	Fresh
Friendly Soul	—	—
Blessed Honour	—	—
Izipizi	—	—
Fairy Glen	—	—
Eavestone	—	—
Crimson Coronet	—	—
Lannosea	—	—
Sapphire Sirocco	—	—
Kalpana	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.