Ayrshire Cancer Support Boxing Day Dip Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Ayr

11:50

Date 2023-12-20

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,085

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Leitrim Chief Chestnut J:Danny McMenamin T:James Ewart	J:Danny McMenamin T:James Ewart	156	—	7333/	120	122	-	648d	—	—	+8	30.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Absent since March 2022 but leading claims if able to reproduce the form shown back then
10	Blow The Budget Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	149	—	54-P3	-	114	93	21d	—	—	-16	6.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Third on recent stable debut at Kelso and that form puts her firmly in calculations
12	Spit Spot Chestnut J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	149	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Fair form in October on final Flat start and entitled to respect on stable/hurdle debut
7	Professor Klump Grey J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	156	t	53-5	-	95	56	41d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
3rd in a point; weakened quickly when favourite on hurdle debut but tongue-tie could help
5	Nab Wood Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Nicky Richards	J:Sean Quinlan T:Nicky Richards	156	—	67	-	103	44	62d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
No threat so far but not without ability; this is a weak race; not discounted each-way
6	Ozzy Cosmo Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	156	t	4	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Promising 4th in Irish maiden point and could be a player
2	Jaminoz Bay J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	156	b	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Operated at lowly level on Flat but won twice this autumn; no surprise to see a good run
4	Marty McFly Bay J:Callum Bewley T:R Mike Smith	J:Callum Bewley T:R Mike Smith	156	t	143-72	-	105	85	17d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Hard to pin down what he achieved when second in Carlisle match but he's not ruled out
11	Rory's Story Bay J:John Kington T:Tristan Davidson	J:John Kington T:Tristan Davidson	149	h	P35347	-	100	47	27d	—	—	0	2.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Soundly beaten on both hurdle starts and improvement is needed
8	Royal Prospect Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Susan Corbett	J:Sam Coltherd T:Susan Corbett	156	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
With stamina a doubt on hurdle debut, this 8yo Flat recruit may be best watched
9	Thunder Gap Bay J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Maurice Barnes	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Maurice Barnes	156	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Nine-race Flat maiden who is probably best watched on this stable and hurdle debut
1	Golden Valour Bay J:William Shanahan(5) T:R Mike Smith	J:William Shanahan(5) T:R Mike Smith	156	v	P	-	-	-	42d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Modest on Flat nowadays and pulled up at 125-1 on last month's hurdle debut at Musselburgh

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Leitrim Chief	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4	5/2
Blow The Budget	3/1	10/3	11/4	5/2	11/4
Spit Spot	5/1	9/2	5/1	7/2	5/1
Professor Klump	6/1	13/2	7/1	11/2	13/2
Nab Wood	8/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Ozzy Cosmo	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Jaminoz	16/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Marty McFly	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Rory's Story	50/1	40/1	50/1	33/1	40/1
Royal Prospect	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
Thunder Gap	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	100/1
Golden Valour	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Leitrim Chief

30.8

OR: 17.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Blow The Budget

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

3rd

Spit Spot

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

Professor Klump

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Rory's Story

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Nab Wood

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Ozzy Cosmo

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Jaminoz

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Marty McFly

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Royal Prospect

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Thunder Gap

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Golden Valour

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Leitrim Chief	120	122	—
Blow The Budget	—	114	93
Spit Spot	—	—	—
Professor Klump	—	95	56
Nab Wood	—	103	44
Ozzy Cosmo	—	—	—
Jaminoz	—	—	—
Marty McFly	—	105	85
Rory's Story	—	100	47
Royal Prospect	—	—	—
Thunder Gap	—	—	—
Golden Valour	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Marty McFly	17d ago	Fit
Blow The Budget	21d ago	Fit
Rory's Story	27d ago	Fit
Professor Klump	41d ago	Fit
Golden Valour	42d ago	Fit
Nab Wood	62d ago	Fresh
Leitrim Chief	648d ago	Long break
Spit Spot	—	—
Ozzy Cosmo	—	—
Jaminoz	—	—
Royal Prospect	—	—
Thunder Gap	—	—