Merry Christmas From Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle

Ayr

14:10

Date 2023-12-20

Distance 2m5f91y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,624

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Ballin Bay b/br J:Craig Nichol T:Pauline Robson	J:Craig Nichol T:Pauline Robson	152	—	6643-1	99	115	83	21d	—	—	+1	31.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Made all at Kelso latest; unexposed 5yo who could have more to offer; highly respected
6	Enemy At The Gate Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Donald Whillans	J:Sean Quinlan T:Donald Whillans	151	—	823-42	98	114	79	21d	—	—	-4	18.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Second to Ballin Bay at Kelso and can improve upon that form if jumping better
1	Here Comes McCoy Brown J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	168	t	/U33-3	115	113	99	28d	—	—	+7	24.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Respectable third on last month's reappearance at Warwick and could build on that run
7	Cream Of The West Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:N W Alexander	J:Danny McMenamin T:N W Alexander	150	—	2/60-3	97	115	100	28d	—	—	+6	21.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
On a competitive opening mark judged on his Hexham third and is open to improvement
3	Coral Blue Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Daragh Bourke	J:Brian Hughes T:Daragh Bourke	159	t	6118-9	106	115	88	27d	—	—	+9	15.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
No return to form on reappearance but may have needed the run and could get back on track
4	Nowinittowinit Bay J:Mr S Connor(7) T:S R B Crawford	J:Mr S Connor(7) T:S R B Crawford	158	t	671-15	105	114	77	20d	—	—	+11	15	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won two in a row in the spring and not written off but now has something to prove
2	Mount Melleray Chestnut J:Jamie Hamilton T:Alison Hamilton	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Alison Hamilton	168	p	422/4-	115	112	-	416d	—	—	+13	17.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Long absence to defy but he's well handicapped on his chase form and is not discounted

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Ballin Bay	2/1	15/8	7/4	7/4	15/8
Enemy At The Gate	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Here Comes McCoy	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Cream Of The West	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Coral Blue	10/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Nowinittowinit	18/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Mount Melleray	25/1	20/1	25/1	20/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ballin Bay

31.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 10 Odds: 9.4

2/1

2nd

Here Comes McCoy

24.3

OR: 16.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Cream Of The West

21.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Enemy At The Gate

18.7

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Mount Melleray

17.6

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Coral Blue

15.9

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Nowinittowinit

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Here Comes McCoy	115	113	99
Mount Melleray	115	112	—
Coral Blue	106	115	88
Nowinittowinit	105	114	77
Ballin Bay	99	115	83
Enemy At The Gate	98	114	79
Cream Of The West	97	115	100

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nowinittowinit	20d ago	Fit
Ballin Bay	21d ago	Fit
Enemy At The Gate	21d ago	Fit
Coral Blue	27d ago	Fit
Here Comes McCoy	28d ago	Fit
Cream Of The West	28d ago	Fit
Mount Melleray	416d ago	Long break