Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

16:15

Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap

Date 2023-12-20

Distance 5f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Senado Square Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	142	—	087131	63	74	52	5d	—	—	-8	34.5	0.30/1	6/5 45%
C&D winner, has a 7lb penalty after last week's 6f win, due to go up 12lb, obvious chance
4 (8)	Samrogue Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Ross O'Sullivan	140	—	002313	61	73	60	19d	—	—	0	22.6	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Third behind Senado Square and Havana Notion last time when drawn high, merits respect
6 (1)	Havana Notion Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:John James Feane	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:John James Feane	135	—	500272	56	73	61	19d	—	—	0	12.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Holds a leading chance now following neck second to Senado Square with Samrogue in third
1 (13)	Loma Larnee Chestnut J:Colin Keane T:A Oliver	J:Colin Keane T:A Oliver	142	tp	0403	63	70	50	7d	—	—	-2	9.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Gave a solid display when third behind the two market leaders in a maiden here last week
10 (3)	Below Deck Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Luke Comer	J:Chris Hayes T:Luke Comer	128	—	800235	49	71	61	19d	—	—	-4	7.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Fifth on latest, has to reverse that form with Senado Square, Havana Notion and Samrogue
3 (16)	Lockdown Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Anthony McCann	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Anthony McCann	140	t	504829	61	72	50	26d	—	—	+3	7.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Runner-up over 6f here in October, failed to reproduce form over the same trip last time
5 (17)	Reinforce Chestnut J:Shane Foley T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Shane Foley T:Daniel James Murphy	139	et	-6D8430	60	68	49	14d	—	—	+2	5.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Decent form in maidens especially early in juvenile campaign, has become disappointing
8 (6)	Adams Barbour Bay J:Calum Hogan(7) T:Lee Smyth	J:Calum Hogan(7) T:Lee Smyth	130	tb	007060	51	73	60	19d	—	—	-2	1.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
All seven wins have come here but now apparently in decline, plenty to find on recent form
12 (10)	Maggie Thunder Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:G Hassett	J:Declan McDonogh T:G Hassett	126	—	-80880	47	69	44	19d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Three-time C&D winner; has struggled on turf and at this venue during light 2023 campaign
11 (12)	Just Another Chestnut J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Lee Smyth	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Lee Smyth	126	tp	-09807	47	73	42	14d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Newcastle AW winner, recent course form does not inspire confidence, held by Senado Square
14 (11)	Tynan Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:R K Watson	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:R K Watson	126	tp	82-808	47	69	18	14d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Career-best when second over C&D just over a year ago, nothing else of merit in his form
R15 (14)	Imperial Khan Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Liam G O'Brien	J:Robbie Colgan T:Liam G O'Brien	132	tp	725349	53	69	-	12d	—	—	+1	4.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
First reserve, turf winner in Britain, in rear over C&D on recent Irish debut
9 (15)	If But Maybe Bay J:Luke McAteer T:T G McCourt	J:Luke McAteer T:T G McCourt	129	v	490	50	72	55	19d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Best of three course maiden runs when fourth over 6f on debut, poor over 5f and 1m since
13 (5)	Qalahari Queen Bay J:Conor Maxwell T:T G McCourt	J:Conor Maxwell T:T G McCourt	126	v	800700	47	69	41	7d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Never closer than eighth in six handicap appearances, little apparent chance
NR (7)	Bonny Power Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Edward Lynam	J:NON-RUNNER T:Edward Lynam	134	—	650907	55	-	-	19d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
Non-runner
NR (2)	Un Bacio Ancora Bay J:TBC T:P J F Murphy	J: T:P J F Murphy	142	—	801009	63	72	44	5d	—	—	—	6.3	—	—
Second reserve, won a 6f claimer last month, three subsequent runs offer no encouragement
NR (9)	Phil's Dream Brown J:TBC T:John C McConnell	J: T:John C McConnell	135	—	50-900	56	65	21	5d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Third reserve, ordinary form on turf, well-fancied last week on AW debut, posed no threat

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Senado Square	6/5	11/10	6/5	10/11	11/10
Samrogue	11/4	5/2	11/4	3/1	5/2
Havana Notion	7/1	6/1	13/2	6/1	6/1
Loma Larnee	7/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2
Below Deck	11/2	7/1	7/1	15/2	13/2
Lockdown	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	20/1
Reinforce	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Adams Barbour	33/1	25/1	33/1	25/1	25/1
Maggie Thunder	80/1	80/1	100/1	66/1	80/1
Just Another	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Tynan	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
Imperial Khan	40/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	66/1
If But Maybe	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Qalahari Queen	150/1	150/1	150/1	66/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Senado Square

34.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 17.1 Odds: 14.2

6/5

2nd

Samrogue

22.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 13 Odds: 6.9

3/1

3rd

Havana Notion

12.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Loma Larnee

9.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Below Deck

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 4.6 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Lockdown

7.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Un Bacio Ancora

6.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Reinforce

5.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Imperial Khan

4.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1

66/1

Phil's Dream

1.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Bonny Power

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Adams Barbour

1.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Maggie Thunder

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Just Another

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Tynan

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

If But Maybe

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Qalahari Queen

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Senado Square	63	74	52
Loma Larnee	63	70	50
Un Bacio Ancora	63	72	44
Samrogue	61	73	60
Lockdown	61	72	50
Reinforce	60	68	49
Havana Notion	56	73	61
Phil's Dream	56	65	21
Bonny Power	55	—	—
Imperial Khan	53	69	—
Adams Barbour	51	73	60
If But Maybe	50	72	55
Below Deck	49	71	61
Maggie Thunder	47	69	44
Just Another	47	73	42
Tynan	47	69	18
Qalahari Queen	47	69	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Senado Square	5d ago	Quick return
Un Bacio Ancora	5d ago	Quick return
Phil's Dream	5d ago	Quick return
Loma Larnee	7d ago	Quick return
Qalahari Queen	7d ago	Quick return
Imperial Khan	12d ago	Quick return
Reinforce	14d ago	Fit
Just Another	14d ago	Fit
Tynan	14d ago	Fit
Samrogue	19d ago	Fit
Havana Notion	19d ago	Fit
Below Deck	19d ago	Fit
Adams Barbour	19d ago	Fit
Maggie Thunder	19d ago	Fit
If But Maybe	19d ago	Fit
Bonny Power	19d ago	Fit
Lockdown	26d ago	Fit