Racing Welfare Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:00

Racing Welfare Handicap

Date 2023-12-21

Distance 7f

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £8,370

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (1)	Prince Of Zenda Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Hugo Palmer	J:Hayley Turner T:Hugo Palmer	125	v	2-2910	81	102	-	47d	—	—	-9	20.1	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Well beaten in a Newmarket handicap last month; career best required to take this
1 (6)	Sterling Knight Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	135	—	075513	91	103	84	15d	—	—	+9	24.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Good efforts the last twice and he's a solid contender in a modest race for the grade
4 (4)	Miami Thunder Bay J:David Egan T:George Scott	J:David Egan T:George Scott	129	—	501200	85	103	69	76d	—	—	+2	19.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Chance on his peak AW form this summer; drops in trip on stable debut; contender
5 (8)	Riot Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	128	tp	532511	84	103	85	14d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+18	31.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Chasing a C&D hat-trick and did well to score two weeks ago; this looks tougher though
8 (2)	Love De Vega Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	124	—	840545	80	100	80	12d	—	—	+1	10	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Behind Sterling Knight on penultimate start; excuse latest; fair mark but others stronger
7 (5)	Revolutionise Grey J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	124	t	233268	80	104	79	12d	—	—	+4	14.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Not found his best so far this winter but on a good mark and type to bounce back soon
3 (3)	Darwell Lion Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	131	—	-40718	87	102	78	12d	—	—	+13	17.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Four AW wins to his name; needs to better recent stable debut that's quite likely
2 (7)	Tremblant Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	131	—	437130	87	99	73	81d	—	—	+15	17.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
7.5f AW winner for Andre Fabre in August (RPR 90); sold 35,000gns since; market useful

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Prince Of Zenda	2/1	7/4	2/1	9/4	15/8
Sterling Knight	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
Miami Thunder	5/1	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Riot	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Love De Vega	17/2	17/2	8/1	15/2	15/2
Revolutionise	13/2	9/1	9/1	17/2	15/2
Darwell Lion	22/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Tremblant	50/1	25/1	40/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Riot

31.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 19.1 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Sterling Knight

24.7

OR: 10.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Prince Of Zenda

20.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8.9

9/4

Miami Thunder

19.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 5.2

5/1

Tremblant

17.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 7.7 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Darwell Lion

17.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Revolutionise

14.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 4 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Love De Vega

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sterling Knight	91	103	84
Darwell Lion	87	102	78
Tremblant	87	99	73
Miami Thunder	85	103	69
Riot	84	103	85
Prince Of Zenda	81	102	—
Love De Vega	80	100	80
Revolutionise	80	104	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Love De Vega	12d ago	Quick return
Revolutionise	12d ago	Quick return
Darwell Lion	12d ago	Quick return
Riot	14d ago	Fit
Sterling Knight	15d ago	Fit
Prince Of Zenda	47d ago	Fresh
Miami Thunder	76d ago	Fresh
Tremblant	81d ago	Fresh