Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:38

Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-12-21

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Billyjoh Grey J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	134	—	135574	74	91	78	40d	—	—	-17	17.2	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Unlucky not to go even closer when fourth at Chelmsford last time; respected down in grade
6 (12)	Beauty Choice Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	131	—	315743	71	90	70	5d	—	—	-2	15.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
In the frame in last two starts at Wolverhampton despite meeting traffic; drawn widest
7 (1)	Heartrate Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	131	p	411739	71	89	73	49d	—	—	+6	14.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Third over 6f at Wolverhampton in October but well held over 7f last time; claims
1 (10)	She's Centimental Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	135	—	050886	75	87	66	8d	—	—	0	8.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
C&D winner who wasn't beaten far at Kempton last time; down in class but drawn wide
9 (7)	Honour Your Dreams Bay J:Kyle McHugh(7) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Kyle McHugh(7) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	128	—	085292	68	90	72	17d	—	—	+6	14.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Second in two of three starts back on Tapeta, including last time; player off same mark
3 (3)	Tyke Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Michael Appleby	133	—	538810	73	88	79	58d	—	—	+8	15.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Both wins have come over C&D; return here is a plus but he looks the stable second string
4 (5)	Hougoumont Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:Julie Camacho	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Julie Camacho	132	h	-54790	72	86	-	120d	—	—	+1	7.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Beat just two rivals in last three outings; off four months; needs to get back on track
8 (4)	Thaki Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	128	t	080258	68	89	66	9d	—	—	+4	8.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Five-time AW winner but needs to do better than when eighth of 12 over C&D nine days ago
5 (6)	Sassy Belle Bay J:David Nolan T:David Evans	J:David Nolan T:David Evans	132	—	340591	72	89	69	72d	—	—	+12	16.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Two wins for Ed Walker; worth monitoring in the market on stable debut after 72 days off
10 (11)	Rooska Bay J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	126	—	232346	66	88	59	13d	—	—	+5	8.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Seven-race maiden; the return to sprinting needs to work now making his handicap debut
11 (8)	Captain Vallo Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	125	p	362600	65	87	72	83d	—	—	+3	6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
C&D winner who has become favourably treated but below form lately
12 (9)	Speed Dial Baileys Chestnut J:Laura Pearson T:James Tate	J:Laura Pearson T:James Tate	123	h	723189	63	89	78	16d	—	—	+8	10.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Two wins at Wolverhampton this year but last two efforts leave her with something to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Billyjoh	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4	11/8
Beauty Choice	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2
Heartrate	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
She's Centimental	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Honour Your Dreams	10/1	9/1	10/1	8/1	8/1
Tyke	11/1	11/1	12/1	10/1	10/1
Hougoumont	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Thaki	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Sassy Belle	25/1	20/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Rooska	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Captain Vallo	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Speed Dial Baileys	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Billyjoh

17.2

OR: 6 Form: 0.6 Odds: 10.6

6/4

2nd

Sassy Belle

16.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

25/1

3rd

Beauty Choice

15.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Tyke

15.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Heartrate

14.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Honour Your Dreams

14.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Speed Dial Baileys

10.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 6.9 Odds: 0.8

33/1

She's Centimental

8.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Rooska

8.6

OR: 4 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1

25/1

Thaki

8.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Hougoumont

7.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Captain Vallo

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
She's Centimental	75	87	66
Billyjoh	74	91	78
Tyke	73	88	79
Hougoumont	72	86	—
Sassy Belle	72	89	69
Beauty Choice	71	90	70
Heartrate	71	89	73
Honour Your Dreams	68	90	72
Thaki	68	89	66
Rooska	66	88	59
Captain Vallo	65	87	72
Speed Dial Baileys	63	89	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Beauty Choice	5d ago	Quick return
She's Centimental	8d ago	Quick return
Thaki	9d ago	Quick return
Rooska	13d ago	Quick return
Speed Dial Baileys	16d ago	Fit
Honour Your Dreams	17d ago	Fit
Billyjoh	40d ago	Fit
Heartrate	49d ago	Fresh
Tyke	58d ago	Fresh
Sassy Belle	72d ago	Fresh
Captain Vallo	83d ago	Fresh
Hougoumont	120d ago	Long break