Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:45

Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-12-21

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (12)	Water Of Leith Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	132	—	466746	57	76	53	11d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-18	10.6	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Rarely seen over 5f these days and he may find things happening too quickly for him
6 (8)	Man On A Mission Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:Lewis Edmunds T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	132	p	078564	57	74	44	41d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-10	6.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Better effort when fourth at Chelmsford last time; 4lb below his last winning mark
11 (4)	May Remain Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	130	—	271142	55	73	65	199d	—	—	+2	19.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Showed he had the speed for 5f when winning at Wolverhampton in the spring; off 199 days
3 (10)	Dark Crusade Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	135	—	34-349	60	71	-	84d	—	—	-6	5.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
All starts over 5f on turf, making the frame five times, but he ran poorly on latest start
7 (7)	Victors Dream Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	132	—	223662	57	74	66	29d	—	—	+1	11.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Runner-up in three of his six starts on the AW, including last time; solid claims
2 (6)	Kaidu Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	135	p	243020	60	75	47	16d	—	—	+3	8.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Placed in three novices this year but failed to beat a rival in either of his handicaps
8 (5)	Stay Smart Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Mark Loughnane	132	t	213437	57	72	56	41d	—	—	+3	8.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Back off last winning mark, but has pulled too hard the last twice
10 (1)	Ustath Chestnut J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	131	—	481544	56	73	63	255d	—	—	0	6.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Front-runner; has won seven times here; not seen since April but has run well fresh before
12 (2)	Cubanista Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Olly Williams	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Olly Williams	129	—	008539	54	69	43	27d	—	—	0	4.3	4.50/1	18/1 5%
1-22 and a bit of a mixed bag this year; well beaten in all three starts on the AW
1 (9)	Dyed In The Wool Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	135	—	390007	60	74	43	16d	—	—	+1	3.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Form has regressed despite a plummeting mark; hard to fancy
5 (3)	Teresa Grace Chestnut J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	133	—	4-1589	58	71	18	29d	—	—	+1	2.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Made a successful stable debut at Thirsk in April but has not matched that form since
NR (11)	Cabeza De Llave Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Attwater	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Attwater	133	—	640473	58	73	59	35d	—	—	—	5	—	—
9lb below last winning mark; ran well at Chelmsford latest but this track may not suit

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Water Of Leith	5/2	9/4	9/4	85/40	2/1
Man On A Mission	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
May Remain	9/2	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2
Dark Crusade	6/1	6/1	13/2	7/1	6/1
Victors Dream	7/1	7/1	15/2	6/1	7/1
Kaidu	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Stay Smart	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Ustath	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Cubanista	16/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Dyed In The Wool	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Teresa Grace	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

May Remain

19.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 13 Odds: 5

5/1

2nd

Victors Dream

11.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 6.9 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Water Of Leith

10.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

5/2

Kaidu

8.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Stay Smart

8.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Man On A Mission

6.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Ustath

6.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Dark Crusade

5.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Cabeza De Llave

OR: 2 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Cubanista

4.3

OR: 1 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Dyed In The Wool

3.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Teresa Grace

2.5

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dark Crusade	60	71	—
Kaidu	60	75	47
Dyed In The Wool	60	74	43
Teresa Grace	58	71	18
Cabeza De Llave	58	73	59
Water Of Leith	57	76	53
Man On A Mission	57	74	44
Victors Dream	57	74	66
Stay Smart	57	72	56
Ustath	56	73	63
May Remain	55	73	65
Cubanista	54	69	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Water Of Leith	11d ago	Quick return
Kaidu	16d ago	Fit
Dyed In The Wool	16d ago	Fit
Cubanista	27d ago	Fit
Victors Dream	29d ago	Fit
Teresa Grace	29d ago	Fit
Cabeza De Llave	35d ago	Fit
Man On A Mission	41d ago	Fit
Stay Smart	41d ago	Fit
Dark Crusade	84d ago	Fresh
May Remain	199d ago	Long break
Ustath	255d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
May Remain	Front Runner
Ustath	Front Runner
Cabeza De Llave	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 12 runners classified.