Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

14:42

Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-12-22

Distance 2m102y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Aqwaam Grey J:David Egan T:Ian Williams	J:David Egan T:Ian Williams	142	—	202112	83	91	79	7d	—	—	-1	40.1	—	—
Found his niche as an AW stayer in recent outings and should go well again
4 (5)	Western Stars Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Jim Boyle	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Jim Boyle	134	p	116581	75	91	63	2d	—	—	+6	23.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won under Joe Leavy in 2m event on Lingfield Polytrack on Wednesday; escapes a penalty
9 (9)	Sea Me Dance Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	129	—	465311	76	90	80	17d	—	—	+17	28.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Moves up to 1m6f (here) and 2m (Lingfield) on last two starts both brought wins
10 (6)	De Vega's Warrior Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Michael Appleby	J:Marco Ghiani T:Michael Appleby	126	p	748332	67	87	70	31d	—	—	+9	14.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
There have been five seconds, including over 2m at Chelmsford on latest outing
3 (7)	Pons Aelius Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joanna Mason T:Charlie Johnston	136	—	457464	77	89	70	35d	—	—	+3	8.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Respectable fourth to Aqwaam at Newcastle last time but others are preferred for the win
7 (2)	Haaland Chestnut J:George Bass(3) T:Gay Kelleway	J:George Bass(3) T:Gay Kelleway	131	p	356316	78	89	67	35d	—	—	+12	16.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won well at Newcastle (2m) before creditable sixth off this 7lb higher mark to Aqwaam
2 (1)	Animato Chestnut J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	137	p	243325	78	88	73	8d	—	—	+10	14	4.50/1	18/1 5%
2nd to Aqwaam at Newcastle (2m) on AW debut in first-time cheekpieces; only 5th last week
8 (3)	Smart Champion Bay J:Dougie Costello T:David Simcock	J:Dougie Costello T:David Simcock	129	—	076343	70	89	44	78d	—	—	+8	10	10.00/1	40/1 2%
8yo who is 0-10 this year despite coming steadily down the weights
6 (11)	East End Girl Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Alastair Ralph	J:Cam Hardie T:Alastair Ralph	133	—	59-515	74	90	57	—	—	—	+5	6.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Back to form over hurdles in recent starts; also won over 2m on Newcastle AW Flat in June
5 (8)	Award Dancer Bay J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	134	—	034100	75	87	-	35d	—	—	+11	12.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
1m6f turf win in October; tailed off last twice, with a respiratory noise; wind op since
11 (10)	Red Force One Grey J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	126	p	-90P88	67	77	43	43d	—	—	+4	4.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Latest turf came over hurdles in May; in a rut over hurdles, on Flat and AW since, however

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Aqwaam	evn	evn	evn	evn	evn
Western Stars	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Sea Me Dance	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
De Vega's Warrior	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Pons Aelius	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Haaland	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Animato	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Smart Champion	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
East End Girl	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Award Dancer	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Red Force One	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aqwaam

40.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 13.3

—

2nd

Sea Me Dance

28.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

3rd

Western Stars

23.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 12 Odds: 5

7/2

Haaland

16.9

OR: 7 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.4

14/1

De Vega's Warrior

14.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Animato

OR: 7 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Award Dancer

12.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Smart Champion

OR: 5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Pons Aelius

8.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

East End Girl

6.5

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Red Force One

4.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aqwaam	83	91	79
Haaland	78	89	67
Animato	78	88	73
Pons Aelius	77	89	70
Sea Me Dance	76	90	80
Western Stars	75	91	63
Award Dancer	75	87	—
East End Girl	74	90	57
Smart Champion	70	89	44
De Vega's Warrior	67	87	70
Red Force One	67	77	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Western Stars	2d ago	Quick return
Aqwaam	7d ago	Quick return
Animato	8d ago	Quick return
Sea Me Dance	17d ago	Fit
De Vega's Warrior	31d ago	Fit
Pons Aelius	35d ago	Fit
Haaland	35d ago	Fit
Award Dancer	35d ago	Fit
Red Force One	43d ago	Fit
Smart Champion	78d ago	Fresh
East End Girl	—	—