Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div II) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:25

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-12-22

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Winning Time 1m 28.43s (slow by 3.53s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Thapa Vc (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Mark Rimell	7/2F	Won
2nd	No Saint (GB) Tom Eaves · Sam England	28/1	.5
3rd	San Isidro (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	18/1	.75
4th	Wilde And Dandy (GB) Marco Ghiani · Ivan Furtado	9/2	0.2
5th	Arika (USA) David Egan · Jane Chapple-Hyam	4/1	.75
6th	Supreme King (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · David Evans	11/2	.75
7th	The Toff (IRE) Phil Dennis · Katie Scott	33/1	1
8th	Admiral Nelson (GB) Cam Hardie · Peter Niven	9/2	0.3
9th	Motagally (GB) David Allan · Scott Dixon	8/1	1.5
10th	Bobby Shaft (GB) Andrew Mullen · John Wainwright	50/1	39

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Thapa Vc Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Rimell	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Rimell	134	t	777273	71	85	73	16d	—	—	-6	18	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Hold-up performer who lurks on a fair mark; first run here but expected to be involved
5 (7)	Arika Bay J:David Egan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:David Egan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	133	—	25-4	70	83	32	18d	—	—	-8	10.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Unexposed 4yo; sharper for this month's return from long absence; check betting
11 (11)	Wilde And Dandy Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	128	—	297182	65	84	65	11d	—	—	+3	18.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two best runs for this yard have come at Chelmsford; more needed back up in class
10 (5)	Admiral Nelson Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Peter Niven	J:Cam Hardie T:Peter Niven	129	t	006001	66	91	73	13d	—	—	+4	18	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Winning stable debut at Newcastle 13 days ago; up 4lb but still has handicapping scope
1 (12)	Supreme King Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:David Evans	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:David Evans	135	—	542450	72	84	71	15d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-1	10.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Capable at this level but he hasn't been at his best the last twice; others safer
4 (1)	Motagally Bay J:David Allan T:Scott Dixon	J:David Allan T:Scott Dixon	133	b	020068	70	84	60	59d	—	—	0	8.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Generally struggled this year but his York second in May came off an 8lb higher mark
7 (4)	San Isidro Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	131	h	-99000	68	79	39	81d	—	—	+1	5.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Struggled for a couple of yards since coming to Britain; had wind op since latest run
6 (9)	No Saint Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	132	—	189748	69	81	50	14d	—	—	+2	5.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Still has low mileage and can come on for recent stable debut at Newcastle
9 (6)	The Toff Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	129	p	183708	66	81	78	37d	—	—	+3	5.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Chance on his best form but makes his stable debut with something to prove
8 (10)	Bobby Shaft Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:John Wainwright	J:Andrew Mullen T:John Wainwright	130	—	16/080	67	71	37	28d	—	—	+3	4.7	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Still to prove he retains ability after his mammoth absence
NR (3)	Shaw Park Bay J:TBC T:Scott Dixon	J: T:Scott Dixon	134	—	225074	71	82	52	14d	—	—	—	6.3	—	—
Came from off the pace to finish 4th at Newcastle two weeks ago; more needed to break duck
NR (8)	Pavlodar Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Appleby	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Appleby	127	t	556218	64	-	-	109d	—	—	—	13	—	—
Non-runner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Thapa Vc	5/2	11/4	11/4	3/1	5/2
Arika	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Wilde And Dandy	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Admiral Nelson	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2
Supreme King	7/1	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Motagally	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
San Isidro	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1	18/1
No Saint	28/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	25/1
The Toff	40/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Bobby Shaft	100/1	66/1	66/1	40/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wilde And Dandy

18.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Thapa Vc

OR: 5.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Admiral Nelson

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 4

6/1

Pavlodar

OR: 3.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0

—

Arika

10.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Supreme King

10.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Motagally

8.5

OR: 5 Form: 1 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Shaw Park

6.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

The Toff

5.8

OR: 4 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.9

40/1

San Isidro

5.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

No Saint

5.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Bobby Shaft

4.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Supreme King	72	84	71
Thapa Vc	71	85	73
Shaw Park	71	82	52
Arika	70	83	32
Motagally	70	84	60
No Saint	69	81	50
San Isidro	68	79	39
Bobby Shaft	67	71	37
Admiral Nelson	66	91	73
The Toff	66	81	78
Wilde And Dandy	65	84	65
Pavlodar	64	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wilde And Dandy	11d ago	Quick return
Admiral Nelson	13d ago	Quick return
No Saint	14d ago	Fit
Shaw Park	14d ago	Fit
Supreme King	15d ago	Fit
Thapa Vc	16d ago	Fit
Arika	18d ago	Fit
Bobby Shaft	28d ago	Fit
The Toff	37d ago	Fit
Motagally	59d ago	Fresh
San Isidro	81d ago	Fresh
Pavlodar	109d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Thapa Vc	Hold Up
Shaw Park	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.