BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap Chase – Fontwell

Fontwell

13:42

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap Chase

Date 2023-12-26

Distance 2m1f165y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,406

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Hector Jaguen Bay J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary Moore	168	b	U1U-P7	102	110	66	42d	—	—	-3	19.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Well treated on form of C&D win; return to this grade and this track could see a revival.
6	Gorcombe Moonshine Bay J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Robert Walford	J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Robert Walford	142	p	26633-	76	-	-	257d	—	—	-2	18.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Comfortably held from this mark on his last two starts last season; each-way claims.
4	Ballymagee Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Rex Dingle T:Robbie Llewellyn	152	tp	604433	86	108	83	58d	—	—	+4	18.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
2lb drop doesn't obviously look the key to success; cheekpieces now added to tongue-tie.
3	Dusky Days Chestnut J:James Davies T:Jamie Snowden	J:James Davies T:Jamie Snowden	165	—	4O2-63	99	109	77	27d	—	—	+2	16.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Step up in trip positive and, if that helps draw further improvement, he's a big player.
5	Valirann Gold Bay J:Ned Fox(5) T:Harriet Brown	J:Ned Fox(5) T:Harriet Brown	147	t	33-985	81	108	45	11d	—	—	-1	11.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Unable to reach the form of his January 2m chase win since; others preferred.
8	Clondaw Robin Chestnut J:James Best T:Andy Irvine	J:James Best T:Andy Irvine	142	p	3P-652	76	102	85	15d	—	—	0	9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Creditable effort at Lingfield (2m, good to soft) latest; 7lb out of the handicap.
7	Broadoak Bay J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Fiona Shaw	J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Fiona Shaw	142	t	324P-P	76	104	74	209d	—	—	+2	8.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Form tailed off in the spring; bit to prove, including on soft; 5lb out of the handicap
NR	Speaker Thomas Bay J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Ben Pauling	J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Ben Pauling	168	t	61P-32	102	-	-	39d	—	—	—	13	—	—
Step up in trip and this early switch to chasing both positive; initial mark looks stiff.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Hector Jaguen	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4
Gorcombe Moonshine	7/2	7/2	4/1	3/1	10/3
Ballymagee	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1
Dusky Days	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1
Valirann Gold	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Clondaw Robin	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Broadoak	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hector Jaguen

19.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Gorcombe Moonshine

18.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 6.1 Odds: 6.2

4/1

3rd

Ballymagee

18.1

OR: 9 Form: 5.1 Odds: 4

5/1

Dusky Days

16.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Speaker Thomas

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Valirann Gold

11.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Clondaw Robin

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Broadoak

8.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hector Jaguen	102	110	66
Speaker Thomas	102	—	—
Dusky Days	99	109	77
Ballymagee	86	108	83
Valirann Gold	81	108	45
Gorcombe Moonshine	76	—	—
Clondaw Robin	76	102	85
Broadoak	76	104	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Valirann Gold	11d ago	Quick return
Clondaw Robin	15d ago	Fit
Dusky Days	27d ago	Fit
Speaker Thomas	39d ago	Fit
Hector Jaguen	42d ago	Fit
Ballymagee	58d ago	Fresh
Broadoak	209d ago	Long break
Gorcombe Moonshine	257d ago	Long break