Campion Insurance Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase (Listed Race)

Limerick

14:40

Date 2023-12-28

Distance 2m3f100y

Class Class 1

Going Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €26,550

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11	Captains Nephew Chestnut J:Mr T Power Roche(7) T:P J Rothwell	J:Mr T Power Roche(7) T:P J Rothwell	149	t	-05381	120	143	91	21d	—	—	+11	37	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Won well at Clonmel and effectively only 2lb higher thanks to a new claiming partner
3	Queen Jane Bay J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	163	t	511F-2	134	143	103	25d	—	—	+14	31	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Having her first run for 220 days when going close at Fairyhouse; more to offer
13	Happy Dreams Bay J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:Michael J McDonagh	J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:Michael J McDonagh	141	—	1U-326	112	139	-	12d	—	—	+7	18.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Respectable in defeat over hurdles this season; C&D winner who handles these conditions
9	Regina Dracones b/br J:E Walsh T:Thomas Gibney	J:E Walsh T:Thomas Gibney	151	—	PFP-33	122	149	111	25d	—	—	+12	20.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Strong stayer who looks vulnerable coming back to this trip
8	Dont Go Yet Bay J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Edward Cawley	J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Edward Cawley	154	—	42-313	125	138	118	26d	—	—	+14	20.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
No excuses when an 8l third in a Listed handicap at Fairyhouse last time
7	Clifton Warrior Chestnut J:Ben Harvey T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Ben Harvey T:Henry De Bromhead	155	—	P22-33	126	144	97	47d	—	—	+14	20.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Finished on the scene in all four runs over fences, including handicap debut at Gowran
12	Bonnie Kellie Bay J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:S Curling	J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:S Curling	147	—	5F-U15	118	140	63	25d	—	—	+12	18.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Bolted up at Clonmel before running poorly next time; possibilities if back to her best
6	Coqolino Bay J:Simon Torrens T:Gordon Elliott	J:Simon Torrens T:Gordon Elliott	159	t	/56-F3	130	137	86	33d	—	—	+15	22.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Lightly raced; third last time at Punchestown and jumping is open to improvement
1	Glengouly Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	166	—	/1FP5-	137	107	115	285d	—	—	+20	24	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Signed off last season below par, perhaps having lost his confidence following a fall
5	Big Debates Chestnut J:Phillip Enright T:Robert Tyner	J:Phillip Enright T:Robert Tyner	159	—	5-0002	130	140	-	32d	—	—	+16	21.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Possibilities if building on last month's welcome return to form over hurdles
10	Falco Blitz Bay J:Conor McNamara T:E McNamara	J:Conor McNamara T:E McNamara	150	—	3-0U43	121	146	97	32d	—	—	+17	20.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Doesn't win that often but he was a rallying third at Cork (2m5f, soft) the last time
4	Take All Bay J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	163	htp	P51646	134	144	97	32d	—	—	+22	24.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has ground to make up with Falco Blitz and Riaan on their recent Cork clash
NR	Riaan Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	166	—	1P-144	137	140	97	32d	—	—	—	21.8	—	—
Right behind Falco Blitz when only 2l away in a 2m5f handicap at Cork a month ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Captains Nephew	9/4	5/2	9/4	2/1	2/1
Queen Jane	7/2	9/2	4/1	7/2	4/1
Happy Dreams	7/1	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Regina Dracones	17/2	17/2	8/1	15/2	8/1
Dont Go Yet	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Clifton Warrior	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Bonnie Kellie	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Coqolino	12/1	11/1	11/1	9/1	10/1
Glengouly	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Big Debates	25/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	14/1
Falco Blitz	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Take All	40/1	40/1	40/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Captains Nephew

OR: 17.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Queen Jane

OR: 21 Form: 5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Take All

24.7

OR: 21 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Glengouly

OR: 21.8 Form: 1.2 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Coqolino

22.1

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Riaan

21.8

OR: 21.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Big Debates

21.4

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Falco Blitz

20.9

OR: 17.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Dont Go Yet

20.7

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Clifton Warrior

20.7

OR: 19 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Regina Dracones

20.5

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Happy Dreams

18.8

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Bonnie Kellie

18.7

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Glengouly	137	107	115
Riaan	137	140	97
Queen Jane	134	143	103
Take All	134	144	97
Coqolino	130	137	86
Big Debates	130	140	—
Clifton Warrior	126	144	97
Dont Go Yet	125	138	118
Regina Dracones	122	149	111
Falco Blitz	121	146	97
Captains Nephew	120	143	91
Bonnie Kellie	118	140	63
Happy Dreams	112	139	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Happy Dreams	12d ago	Quick return
Captains Nephew	21d ago	Fit
Queen Jane	25d ago	Fit
Regina Dracones	25d ago	Fit
Bonnie Kellie	25d ago	Fit
Dont Go Yet	26d ago	Fit
Big Debates	32d ago	Fit
Falco Blitz	32d ago	Fit
Take All	32d ago	Fit
Riaan	32d ago	Fit
Coqolino	33d ago	Fit
Clifton Warrior	47d ago	Fresh
Glengouly	285d ago	Long break