BetUK Quebec Stakes (Listed Race) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:54

BetUK Quebec Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2023-12-31

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 1

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £28,355

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (6)	Tyrrhenian Sea Grey J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	136	—	0-2702	105	117	64	43d	—	—	-11	25.2	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Classy AW operator who just missed out in a C&D Listed event last month; leading claims
2 (1)	Base Note Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	136	v	155213	107	117	83	18d	—	—	+12	32.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Good AW record and he's run two fine races this winter; leading contender back at 1m2f
5 (3)	Blanchland Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Hollie Doyle T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	134	—	-86144	105	115	83	18d	—	—	+6	24	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Newcastle handicap win in October was a good effort; came up short in Listed events since
6 (4)	Makinmedoit Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	131	—	730044	96	112	99	25d	—	—	+5	14.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Three best RPRs have come over C&D; likely to be in the shake-up once again
8 (5)	Verbier Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ralph Beckett	J:Tom Marquand T:Ralph Beckett	129	—	132	82	97	24	18d	—	—	+15	22	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Unexposed maiden winner who ran into a well-touted newcomer here 18 days ago; this tougher
1 (7)	Alrehb Grey J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	136	—	073865	98	111	87	25d	—	—	+9	14.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Useful performer on AW; contender if this new trip unlocks any improvement
4 (2)	Youthful King Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Luke Dace	J:Marco Ghiani T:Luke Dace	136	—	913135	90	100	-	127d	—	—	+18	20.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Two front-running wins in Windsor handicaps this summer; looks to face a stiff task today
7 (8)	Zarabanda Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:David O'Meara	J:Clifford Lee T:David O'Meara	131	—	121708	91	106	91	18d	—	—	+13	14.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Won three handicaps this year but well beaten in this grade on her last three runs

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Tyrrhenian Sea	5/4	6/4	11/8	11/8	5/4
Base Note	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Blanchland	9/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Makinmedoit	9/1	17/2	9/1	8/1	15/2
Verbier	10/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Alrehb	18/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Youthful King	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Zarabanda	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Base Note

32.9

OR: 14.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Tyrrhenian Sea

25.2

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

6/4

3rd

Blanchland

OR: 13.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Verbier

OR: 8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Youthful King

20.6

OR: 10 Form: 10 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Makinmedoit

14.8

OR: 11.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Zarabanda

14.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 4 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Alrehb

14.3

OR: 12 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Base Note	107	117	83
Tyrrhenian Sea	105	117	64
Blanchland	105	115	83
Alrehb	98	111	87
Makinmedoit	96	112	99
Zarabanda	91	106	91
Youthful King	90	100	—
Verbier	82	97	24

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Base Note	18d ago	Fit
Blanchland	18d ago	Fit
Verbier	18d ago	Fit
Zarabanda	18d ago	Fit
Makinmedoit	25d ago	Fit
Alrehb	25d ago	Fit
Tyrrhenian Sea	43d ago	Fit
Youthful King	127d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Youthful King	Front Runner
Tyrrhenian Sea	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 8 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.