tote.co.uk New Year New Me Handicap Hurdle – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

13:45

tote.co.uk New Year New Me Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-01-01

Distance 1m7f124y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,562

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Panjari Bay J:Freddie Gingell(5) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Freddie Gingell(5) T:Paul Nicholls	161	—	5213	118	128	103	17d	—	—	+15	35.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Progressive in hood; big player, provided removal of headgear doesn't backfire
2	Williethebuilder Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	168	—	52-145	125	126	104	17d	—	—	+5	24.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Ties in closely with Panjari on latest effort; remains open to further progress
1	Caithness Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	168	—	44-113	125	125	119	45d	—	—	+11	21.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Solid record this term, making all twice at Kelso then good third at Cheltenham
5	Park Annonciade Bay J:Ben Bromley(5) T:S R B Crawford	J:Ben Bromley(5) T:S R B Crawford	163	t	721311	120	124	109	37d	—	—	+33	42.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Haydock win took his record in handicaps to 2-3; progressing well; has to be feared
7	Ballygeary Brown J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Donald McCain	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Donald McCain	162	—	110-31	119	129	101	30d	—	—	+10	19.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Back in deeper waters but has good strike-rates (4-6 over hurdles; 2-3 at 2m)
4	Collingham Bay J:Charlie Maggs(10) T:Donald McCain	J:Charlie Maggs(10) T:Donald McCain	165	p	1U7-56	122	131	88	30d	—	—	+14	19.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has a respectable record at Musselburgh; runner-up in this race last year
11	Scots Poet Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	147	t	4-242S	104	126	115	32d	—	—	+9	15.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Consistent sort who has won over C&D and should give his running
12	Cancan Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:N W Alexander	J:Danny McMenamin T:N W Alexander	145	—	228/P2	102	125	98	14d	—	—	+9	14.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Signs of retaining ability here last time but now goes up two grades
9	Cuban Cigar Bay J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Lucinda Russell	156	tp	12-241	113	127	115	32d	—	—	+12	17.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Fourth in this race last year; won narrowly over C&D on latest outing
3	Carcaci Castle Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	167	t	/11P-P	124	128	98	57d	—	—	+16	19.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Could well resume his progress back down in trip, being 3-3 over 2m/2m1f
10	Belle Of Annandale Chestnut J:Henry Brooke T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Henry Brooke T:Adrian Paul Keatley	156	v	1214	113	124	107	30d	—	—	+25	29.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
2-4 over hurdles, including C&D win; possibilities back here in first-time visor
6	Slugger Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Iain Jardine	J:Sean Quinlan T:Iain Jardine	162	t	26-214	119	119	91	54d	—	—	+15	18	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Refitted hood possibly contributed to C&D defeat last time; still unexposed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Panjari	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Williethebuilder	10/3	7/2	3/1	10/3	10/3
Caithness	13/2	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
Park Annonciade	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Ballygeary	8/1	17/2	17/2	15/2	8/1
Collingham	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Scots Poet	12/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Cancan	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Cuban Cigar	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Carcaci Castle	22/1	22/1	25/1	20/1	22/1
Belle Of Annandale	14/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Slugger	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Park Annonciade

42.9

OR: 17.5 Form: 22.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

Panjari

35.7

OR: 17 Form: 12.5 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Belle Of Annandale

29.6

OR: 15.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Williethebuilder

24.5

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Caithness

21.8

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Ballygeary

19.9

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Collingham

19.6

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Carcaci Castle

19.5

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Slugger

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Cuban Cigar

17.4

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Scots Poet

15.1

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Cancan

14.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Williethebuilder	125	126	104
Caithness	125	125	119
Carcaci Castle	124	128	98
Collingham	122	131	88
Park Annonciade	120	124	109
Ballygeary	119	129	101
Slugger	119	119	91
Panjari	118	128	103
Cuban Cigar	113	127	115
Belle Of Annandale	113	124	107
Scots Poet	104	126	115
Cancan	102	125	98

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cancan	14d ago	Fit
Panjari	17d ago	Fit
Williethebuilder	17d ago	Fit
Ballygeary	30d ago	Fit
Collingham	30d ago	Fit
Belle Of Annandale	30d ago	Fit
Scots Poet	32d ago	Fit
Cuban Cigar	32d ago	Fit
Park Annonciade	37d ago	Fit
Caithness	45d ago	Fit
Slugger	54d ago	Fresh
Carcaci Castle	57d ago	Fresh